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M'chaka chomwe chinkawoneka ngati chodalirika cha yuro, ndalamazo zakwera mochititsa chidwi ndi 3.5% poyerekeza ndi dola, zomwe zikuyenda pansi pa $ 1.10. Otsatsa ndalama akhala akuyembekezera mwachidwi pamene akubetcha kuti yuro ikupitiriza kukwera, akulingalira kuti US Federal Reserve idzayimitsa kayendetsedwe kake ka kukwera mtengo kwa European Central Bank (ECB) isanasinthe.
Komabe, zidziwitso zaposachedwa kuchokera ku lipoti lathunthu la Reuters zikuwonetsa zovuta zomwe zingachitike ku eurozone. ECB ikupeza kuti ikulimbana ndi vuto lovuta: kukwera kwa mitengo yamtengo wapatali komanso kuchepa kwachuma. Conundrum iyi ili ndi mamembala ambiri a hawkish a ECB akuganizira kutha kwa njira zawo zomangirira pamene kukwera kwa mitengo kumatsika ndipo kukula kumayamba kuchepa.
Mkulu wa ECB Anena Zowonjezereka Zokwera Zosatheka
Lachinayi lapitali, ECB idachitapo kanthu mwachangu kukweza chiwongola dzanja chake chachikulu ndi mfundo za 25, zomwe zikufika pa zaka 23 za 3.75%, pofuna kuchepetsa kukwera kwa inflation, komwe kunakwera kwambiri 4.1% mu June, kupitirira kwambiri cholinga cha ECB kuti chikhale pansi pa 2%.
Komabe, ndemanga za Purezidenti wa ECB Christine Lagarde zidawonetsa kuti pamenepo mwina sangakhale malo ambiri kukweranso kwamitengo, popeza banki imayang'anitsitsa zomwe zikubwera musanasankhe zochita zamtsogolo.
Kusamala kwa Lagarde kudakhudza momwe yuro idagwirira ntchito, zomwe zidapangitsa kuti itsike ndi 0.9% poyerekeza ndi dollar pomwe misika idawona kusintha komwe kungathe kutsata njira yovutirapo. Chifukwa chake, misika yandalama yasintha momwe amawonera, tsopano akuyerekeza mwayi wa 40% wowonjezeranso chiwongola dzanja cha kotala la ECB mu Seputembala, kutsika kuchokera pakuyerekeza koyambirira kwa 60%.
Njira yochenjera ya ECB ilidi yokhazikika, chifukwa cha kuchuluka kwa mphepo zomwe zikuyang'anizana ndi chuma cha eurozone.
Euro Yamphamvu Ikhoza Kukhala Yoipa kwa ECB Pakalipano
Kulimba kwa yuro kumabweretsa vuto lina kwa ECB. The trade-weighted index, gauge of the ma euro mtengo wotsutsana ndi dengu landalama, wakhala ukuyandikira kwambiri kuposa mbiri yakale. Ngakhale izi zitha kuwoneka ngati zabwino pamtunda, zasokoneza kwambiri mpikisano wogulitsira kunja kwa eurozone ndikupangitsa kuti zinthu zakunja zikhale zotsika mtengo, zomwe zimapangitsa kuti pakhale zovuta pakukula ndi kukwera kwa mitengo.
Poganizira zomwe zikuchitikazi, akatswiri ena tsopano akuwonetsa kukayikira za kukhazikika kwa msonkhano wa euro. Iwo akukhulupirira kuti ECB posachedwapa itenga kaimidwe kovutirapo, makamaka popeza kuchepa kwachuma kwachuma kumayamba kukhudza kulumikizana ndi mfundo zake.
Kuonjezera kukayikiraku, yuro ikhoza kukumana ndi mavuto ena ngati bungwe la US Federal Reserve lingasonyeze kuti likufuna kusintha ndondomeko yake yogula ma bond mu August kapena September, zomwe zingathe kulimbikitsa madola ntchito. Ngakhale kuti Fed idakweza mitengo posachedwapa, msika ukuganiza kuti uku kungakhale kusuntha komaliza kwa nthawiyi.
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