Yuro na Fuskantar rashin tabbas a Tsakanin hauhawar farashin kaya da damuwar girma

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A cikin abin da ya yi kama da shekara mai ban sha'awa ga Yuro, kudin ya sami gagarumin karuwa na 3.5% akan dala, yana shawagi kawai a ƙarƙashin alamar $ 1.10. Masu saka hannun jari dai sun yi ta samun kwarin gwuiwa a yayin da suke ci gaba da samun karuwar kudin Euro, suna hasashen cewa babban bankin Amurka zai dakatar da zagayowar hauhawar farashin kayayyaki kafin babban bankin Turai (ECB) ya juya baya.

Koyaya, bayanan baya-bayan nan daga cikakken rahoton na Reuters ya ba da haske kan yuwuwar kalubalen da ke gaban kungiyar Tarayyar Turai. ECB ta sami kanta tana kokawa da wani mawuyacin hali: hauhawar hauhawar farashin kayayyaki tare da raunin tattalin arziki. Wannan rikice-rikice yana da ma mafi yawan mambobi na ECB suna la'akari da kawo karshen matakan da suke da shi yayin da hauhawar farashin kaya ya kwanta kuma ci gaba ya fara raguwa.

Shugaban ECB ya ce Karin Haɗin Kuɗi ba zai yuwu ba

A ranar alhamis da ta gabata kawai, ECB ta yi wani yunƙuri na gaske yana haɓaka mahimmin ƙimar riba da maki 25, wanda ya kai shekaru 23 mai girma na 3.75%, a yunƙurin rage hauhawar hauhawar farashin kayayyaki, wanda ya ƙaru zuwa 4.1% mai ban tsoro a cikin watan Yuni, wanda ya mamaye burin ECB na kiyaye shi ƙasa da 2%.

Sai dai kalaman shugabar ECB Christine Lagarde sun yi nuni da cewa akwai watakila ba daki da yawa ba don ƙarin hauhawar farashin, yayin da bankin ke sa ido sosai kan bayanan da ke shigowa kafin yanke shawarar duk wani motsi na gaba.

Kalaman taka-tsantsan da Lagarde ta yi ya yi tasiri cikin gaggawa kan ayyukan Yuro, lamarin da ya sa ya ragu da kashi 0.9% idan aka kwatanta da dala yayin da kasuwanni ke ganin akwai yuwuwar sauyin yanayi zuwa wata hanya mara kyau. Sakamakon haka, kasuwannin kuɗi sun daidaita hasashensu, yanzu suna ƙididdige damar 40% na ƙarin ƙimar ECB kwata a watan Satumba, ƙasa daga kiyasin farko na 60%.

Hanyar taka tsantsan na ECB hakika yana da tushe mai kyau, idan aka yi la'akari da dumbin iska a halin yanzu da ke fuskantar tattalin arzikin Tarayyar Turai.

Yuro mai ƙarfi na iya zama mara kyau ga ECB A yanzu

Ƙarfin Yuro yana haifar da ƙarin ƙalubale ga ECB. Ma'auni mai nauyin ciniki, ma'auni na na euro ƙima a kan kwandon kuɗi, yana ƙara kusantar rikodin rikodi. Duk da yake wannan yana iya zama kamar mai kyau a saman ƙasa, ya yi mummunar tasiri ga gasa ga ƙasashen Turai da ke fitar da kayayyaki zuwa kasashen waje da kuma sanya shigo da kaya mai rahusa, wanda ke haifar da illa ga ci gaban gabaɗaya da hauhawar farashin kayayyaki.

Dangane da wannan ci gaba, wasu manazarta a yanzu suna bayyana ra'ayinsu game da dorewar taron na Euro. Sun yi imanin cewa nan ba da jimawa ba ECB na iya ɗaukar wani matsayi mai banƙyama, musamman yayin da raunin bayanan tattalin arziki ya fara tasiri ga hanyoyin sadarwa da yanke shawara.

Bugu da ƙari ga rashin tabbas, Yuro na iya fuskantar ƙarin matsin lamba idan Tarayyar Tarayya ta Amurka ta nuna aniyar ta na yin amfani da shirin sayan haɗin gwiwa a watan Agusta ko Satumba, mai yuwuwar haɓaka haɓakar tattalin arziƙin. dalar yi. Kodayake Fed kwanan nan ya haɓaka rates, kasuwa yana tsammanin cewa wannan na iya zama mataki na ƙarshe na yanzu.

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