Ukuhweba i-Nikkei 225 – Umhlahlandlela Wabaqalayo

Umlando we-Nikkei 225

I-Nikkei ithola igama layo ephephandabeni i-Nihon Keizai Shimbun (Nikkei) ebelibala inkomba nsuku zonke kusukela ngo-September 7, 1950. Inkomba yabalwa emuva ngokuhlehliswayo kwaze kwaba nguMeyi 16, 1949.

I-Nikkei yasungulwa ngesikhathi lapho iJapan yayinezimboni futhi yakhiwa kabusha ngemva kweMpi Yezwe Yesibili.

Imicimbi Emikhulu Emlandweni we-Nikkei 225

Phakathi kuka-1985 no-1990 kwakukhona ibhamuza elikhulu lempahla emnothweni waseJapane. Ngalesi sikhathi, izintengo zesitoko namanani ezindlu ezithengiswayo aphindeke kathathu. Lapho ibhamuza liqhuma, i-Nikkei yalahlekelwa ngaphezu kuka-33% yenani layo esikhathini esingaphansi konyaka.

Lokhu kwehla kwaqhubeka kwaze kwaba ngu-Okthoba 2008 lapho i-Nikkei ilahlekelwe ngaphezu kuka-80% yenani eyayinalo ngoDisemba 1989 lapho isungula inani eliphakeme elibalulekile.

Ngemuva kwesikhathi eside sokuhlanganiswa kwezinhlangothi okuthathe cishe iminyaka emi-4, i-Nikkei yaphindeka kakhulu, yagqugquzelwa ukugqugquzelwa komnotho yiBhange LaseJapan kanye nohulumeni waseJapan, futhi yazuza i-150% emangazayo phakathi kukaJuni 2012 noJuni 2015.

Okwamanje (2017/05/21), i-Nikkei ihweba ku-19,680, okungaba ngu-6% ngaphansi kwezinga eliphakeme elibalulekile elibuyiselwe emuva ngoJuni 2015.

Uyidayisa kanjani i-Nikkei 225

Yize zikhona ezinye izindlela zokuhweba nge-Nikkei, sizogxila kuphela ekutheni kwenziwa kanjani amapulatifomu okuhweba e forex.

I-Nikkei 225 Usayizi Wenkontileka

Ngabathengi abaningi be-forex, inani elincane lezinkontileka ze-Nikkei ongazithengisa ziyi-10. Abanye abadayisi banenani eliphakeme lezinkontileka ngokuhweba ngakunye, njengesibonelo, i-1000. Ungakwazi ukuhwebelana kuphela ngezinkontileka eziyi-10.

Inani elicatshangwayo lezinkontileka ze-Nikkei ezingu-10 liphindwe kashumi kunentengo yamanje yenkomba. Intengo yamanje yi-yen yaseJapane engu-19,680, ngakho-ke inani lenkontileka le-10 liyi-196,800 yen.

Ukuze ubale inani lokucabanga ngedola laseMelika, vele uhlukanise u-196,800 ngesilinganiso sokushintsha imali samanje se-USD/JPY esingu-111.280 ukuze uthole inani elingu-$1768.51.

Ngenhlanhla, awudingi u-$1768.51 ukuze uthenge noma udayise izinkontileka ze-Nikkei eziyi-10. Kufanele ukwazi ukuhweba okungenani ngo-1:100, okusho ukuthi kuzodingeka ubeke imali encane engaphansi kuka-$18.

Omunye wabathengi bami unosayizi omncane wokuhweba wezinkontileka eziyi-100 ku-Nikkei. Banikeza amandla angu-1:200, okusho ukuthi udinga cishe u-$88.50 ukuze uvule isikhundla senkontileka eyi-100.

Yebo, udinga ukulingana okwengeziwe ukuze ugcine isikhundla uma sesivuliwe ngoba noma yikuphi ukulahlekelwa okuntantayo kudinga ukusekelwa imajini yamahhala (etholakalayo).

I-Pip Value ye-Nikkei 225

Iphuzu elilodwa lenkomba (1.0) libiza i-yen yaseJapane engu-1. Ngakho-ke, inani lepayipi (noma inani lephoyinti) lenkontileka ye-Nikkei engu-10 yi-yen engu-10.

Inani lepayipi likasayizi wokuhweba wezinkontileka eziyi-10 lihlala liyi-yen yaseJapan eyi-10 kungakhathaliseki ukuthi iyini intengo yenkomba. Lokhu kungenxa yokuthi inkomba icashunwe ngeyen.

Nokho, inani lepayipi ngedola laseMelika lincike esilinganisweni sokushintshana se-USD/JPY. Ngakho-ke, inani lepayipi le-Nikkei nge-USD liyashintshashintsha. Ukuze ubale inani lepayipi lokuhweba lezinkontileka eziyi-10 ku-Nikkei nge-USD, vele uhlukanise amayen ayi-10 ngesilinganiso sokushintsha imali ye-USD/JPY: amayen angu-10 ahlukaniswe ngo-111.280 alingana no-$0.0896. Masihlanganise le nombolo ibe ngu-$0.09.

Izibalo zenani lepayipi le-Nikkei ne-USD/JPY ziyefana. Uma ungathanda ukufunda okwengeziwe mayelana nokuhweba nge-USD/JPY, nasi isixhumanisi se-athikili enikezelwe ngokukhethekile kulokhu kubhanqwa: Ukuhweba nge-USD/JPY Currency Pair.

Inzuzo Nokulahlekelwa Ukubalwa

Lapha kwa-FXLeaders, sihamba ibanga elide ukuze sinikeze abadayisi i best forex amasignali kungenzeka. Ngo-2016 kuphela, safaka ama-pips angu-4,907 amangalisayo!

Muva nje sengeze amathuluzi ezezimali ajabulisa ngempela ohlelweni lwethu lwamasignali ahlanganisa igolide, uwoyela ongahluziwe, kanye nenkomba ye-equity enamandla - i-Nikkei 225.

Angisakwazi ukulinda ukubona idatha yezinyanga ezingu-6 zokuqala zamasignali e-Nikkei, njengoba leli thuluzi eliguquguqukayo linamandla amakhulu okuthuthukisa inani lamapayipi esiwenzayo. Ake sibheke ukuthi singabala kanjani inzuzo eyenziwe kumasiginali wokuhweba we-Nikkei, ngesibonelo esilula:

Ake sibale ukuthi ungenza malini uma uthenga izinkontileka ze-Nikkei ezingu-160 ngo-19,500 bese ufinyelela amaphuzu angu-80/iphuzu lenzuzo engu-19,580. Ake sithi izinga lokushintshisana nge-USD/JPY lihlala liseduze no-111.111 ngesikhathi sohwebo. Ake futhi sicabange ukuthi imali eyisisekelo ye-akhawunti yakho yokuhweba idola laseMelika.

Inani lepayipi lingu-$0.09 ngoba izinga lokushintshanisa le-USD/JPY lingu-111.111. Leli inani lepayipi likasayizi wendawo yenkontileka engu-10.

Usayizi wohwebo esiwubhekile yizinkontileka eziyi-160. Ngakho, inani lepayipi kulokhu kuhweba ngu-16 X $0.09 = $1.44. Vele uphindaphinde lokhu ngamapayipi angu-80 futhi uzothola inani elingu-$115.20.

Izinsimbi Ezihlobene Ne-Nikkei 225

Izimali Ezihlobene

I-yen yaseJapane inokuxhumana okunamandla okuphambene ne-Nikkei 225. Ngakho-ke, i-USD/JPY ihlotshaniswa kahle ne-Nikkei, ngokuhlanganiswa konyaka owodwa we-0.89. I-yen ngokuvamile ithinta i-Nikkei.

Isizathu salokhu ukuthi i-yen ebuthakathaka isiza ukuthunyelwa kwe-Japan kwamanye amazwe. Isibonelo, izintengo zesitoko zezinkampani ezinkulu zezimoto eJapan zivame ukunyuka lapho i-yen iba buthaka. Kunezinkampani eziningi zezimoto ezinkulu ezisohlwini lwe-Nikkei.

Izinkampani eziningi ezisohlwini lwe-Nikkei 225 zingabathengisi abakhulu bezimpahla ezikhiqiziwe njengezinhlobo ezahlukene zemishini nezimoto. I-yen ebuthakathaka ivame ukukhulisa inzuzo yalezi zinkampani kakhulu.

Nakuba i-yen ngokuvamile ithinta i-Nikkei, le yakamuva ingaba nomthelela ku-yen, kunjalo. Noma mhlawumbe kufanele ngithi, i-Nikkei kanye nezinye izinkomba zokulingana ezinkulu zingathinta i-yen yaseJapane.

Uyabona, iYen iyinhlangano imali ephephile yezindawo okuvame ukwazisa lapho abatshalizimali besaba futhi benciphisa ukuchayeka kwabo ezimpahleni ezinobungozi njengezitoko.

Lokhu, kanye neqiniso lokuthi i-yen iyimali ebalulekile yokuxhasa ngemali, ngokuvamile kubangela ukuthi izimali zigeleze zisuka esitokisini zibuyele ku-yen eyayisetshenziselwa ukuthenga lezi zitoko kwasekuqaleni.

Uyabona, izindleko zokuboleka yen zincane ngenxa yezinga layo lenzalo eliphansi kakhulu. Ngakho-ke, kungaba yinzuzo enkulu ukusebenzisa i-yen ukuze uthenge izimpahla ezinobungozi ngesivuno esiphezulu.

'Inkinga' iwukuthi, lapho abatshalizimali benciphisa ukuchayeka kwabo kulezi zimpahla eziyingozi, izimali zidinga ukubuyiselwa ku-yen yaseJapane. Lokhu kungabangela ukuthi i-Nikkei nezinye izinkomba zehle ngenkathi i-yen yaseJapane ikhuphuka kanyekanye.

I-Nikkei ihlotshaniswa kahle nawo wonke amapheya emali yaseJapan ngezinga elithile.

Ama-Equity Indices ahlobene

Inkomba ebaluleke kakhulu okufanele uyibuke lapho uhweba i-Nikkei cishe i-Dow Jones Industrial Index yase-United States.

Uma i-Dow yenza kahle ngosuku oluthile, i-Nikkei ijwayele ukulandela okufanayo ngakusasa. Ngokuphambene, usuku olubi lwe-Dow ngokuvamile lusho ukuthi i-Nikkei ingahweba ngosuku olulandelayo, ikakhulukazi ekuqaleni kosuku lwebhizinisi lwaseJapane.

Uyabona, umnotho wase-Japan usebenza kakhulu ekuthunyelweni kwamanye amazwe futhi okuningi kwalokhu kuthunyelwa kwamanye amazwe kuya e-United States. Ngakho-ke, izwe lebhizinisi laseJapane lithinteka ngokuqondile isimo somnotho waseMelika.

I-Nikkei ngenxa yalokho ihlotshaniswa kakhulu ne-Dow (0.93) nezinye izinkomba zezabelo ze-US ezifana ne-S&P500 (0.90) ne-Nasdaq (0.84). Izinombolo ezikubakaki ziwukuhlobana konyaka owodwa ku-Nikkei 225.

I-Nikkei 225 ihlotshaniswa kahle neziningi zezinkomba zokulingana zomhlaba wonke ezinkulu. Ezinye izibonelo zifaka i-German Dax (0.92), i-Australia 200, kanye ne-French CAC 40 (0.90).

Imicimbi Emikhulu Ethinta i-Nikkei 225

Ezehlakalweni eziningi zezomnotho nezombusazwe ezithonya i-Nikkei, kukhona ezimbalwa ezingabangela ukuguquguquka okukhulu kule nkomba ye-equity.

1. Inqubomgomo Yezimali - Izenzo kanye nokuphawula kweBhange lase-Japan kanye ne-Federal Reserve

Inqubomgomo yezimali ngokuqinisekile ingenye yezindlela ezibaluleke kakhulu zokushayela i-Nikkei. I-Bank of Japan (BOJ) iphethe inqubomgomo yezimali yase-Japan futhi iphoqelela izinqubomgomo zezomnotho zikahulumeni wase-Japan.

Ngokufanayo, i-Federal Reserve yase-United States ilawula inqubomgomo yezimali e-US

Izenzo ezithathwe iBhange LaseJapan ukuze kugcinwe ukuzinza kwesistimu yezezimali yezwe labo kungabangela ukunyakaza okunodlame e-Nikkei, njengesibonelo, umthelela omuhle ukuncipha kwenani okube nawo kule nkomba yesitoko eminyakeni yamuva.

Njengoba sengishilo, umnotho waseJapan uncike kakhulu emnothweni wase-US. Ngakho-ke, i-United States Federal Reserve (FED) nayo idlala indima ebalulekile ngentengo ye-Nikkei.

Isibonelo, izenzo ezithathwe yi-FED zokuqinisa izintambo zezomnotho, njengokukhuphuka kwezinga lenzalo, zingaqinisa idola laseMelika. I-USD/JPY ingase yenyuke phezulu, ngokuvamile elungele abathumeli bangaphandle baseJapane kanye ne-Nikkei.

2. Izehlakalo Ezinkulu Zezombangazwe

Imicimbi emikhulu yezepolitiki ingabangela umnyakazo omkhulu eNikkei. Ukhetho lukamongameli waseMelika lapho uDonald Trump athatha khona ukunqoba lungesinye salezo zibonelo. Umthelela walolu khetho ubangele ikhandlela elikhulu lansuku zonke ku-Nikkei, elinamaphuzu angu-1300.

Yiqiniso, ivoti le-Brexit ngoJuni 2016 liphinde labangela ukuguquguquka okukhulu ku-Nikkei eyaphrinta ikhandlela le-bearish lamaphuzu acishe abe ngu-1700, lehla nezinye izinkomba zokuma komhlaba.

3. Izinhlekelele Zemvelo

Ukuzamazama komhlaba kuvame ukuvela eduze naseJapane. I-Nikkei ayizwani kahle nezinhlekelele zemvelo ezilimaza izimboni nengqalasizinda yezwe.

4. Izinkomba Zezomnotho

Izinkomba zomnotho zisetshenziselwa ukuhlaziya ukuthi umnotho wezwe uqhuba kahle kangakanani, nokubikezela ukukhula komnotho esikhathini esizayo. Kunezigaba ezintathu eziyinhloko zezinkomba zomnotho, okuyizinkomba eziholayo, ezisalela emuva, kanye neziqondane.

Izinkomba ezifana nezinombolo ze-GDP (Isamba Somkhiqizo Wasekhaya), izinombolo ze-CPI (Inkomba Yentengo Yabathengi), izinqumo zenani lenzalo, izinga lokungasebenzi, ukukhula kwamaholo, ukukhiqizwa kwezimboni, nezinombolo zokuthengisa okudayisa, zikhishwa njalo e-US nase-Japan.

Nakuba lezi kungezona zodwa izinkomba zezomnotho ezibalulekile, zinamandla amakhulu okuhambisa i-Nikkei ne-US equity market; ikakhulukazi izinqumo zenani lenzalo, izinombolo ze-GDP ne-CPI, nedatha yemakethe yezabasebenzi (njengezinombolo zokukhokhelwa kwe-nonfarm yase-US, izinga lokungasebenzi, njll.).

Izindaba zezomnotho ezivela e-Japan nase-United States zingayishukumisa kakhulu i-Nikkei.

I-Nikkei ibhekwa njengenye yezinkomba zokulingana eziguquguqukayo kakhulu. Gcina lokhu engqondweni lapho ukuhweba!

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