Kugulitsa Nikkei 225 - Buku Loyamba

Mbiri ya Nikkei 225

Dzina la Nikkei limachokera ku nyuzipepala ya Nihon Keizai Shimbun (Nikkei) yomwe yakhala ikuwerengera ndondomekoyi tsiku ndi tsiku kuyambira pa September 7, 1950. Mndandandawu unawerengedwa kubwereranso mpaka May 16, 1949.

Nikkei idakhazikitsidwa munthawi yomwe Japan idatukuka ndikumangidwanso pambuyo pa Nkhondo Yachiwiri Yapadziko Lonse.

Zochitika Zazikulu mu Mbiri ya Nikkei 225

Pakati pa 1985 ndi 1990 panali kuphulika kwakukulu kwa chuma cha Japan. Panthawiyi, mitengo yamtengo wapatali komanso malo ogulitsa nyumba idakwera katatu. Pamene kuwira kuphulika, Nikkei anataya mtengo wake woposa 33% pasanathe chaka.

Kutsika uku kudapitilira mpaka Okutobala 2008 pomwe Nikkei idataya kuposa 80% yamtengo womwe inali nawo mu Disembala 1989 pomwe idakhazikitsa chofunikira kwambiri.

Pambuyo pa kuphatikizika kwa m'mbali kwa nthawi yayitali komwe kudatenga zaka pafupifupi 4, Nikkei idakulanso kwambiri, yolimbikitsidwa ndi kulimbikitsidwa kwachuma ndi Bank of Japan ndi boma la Japan, ndipo idapeza 150% yochititsa chidwi pakati pa June 2012 ndi June 2015.

Pakalipano (2017/05/21), Nikkei ikugulitsa pa 19,680, yomwe ili pafupi 6% pansi pamtengo wofunikira womwe unakhazikitsidwa mu June 2015.

Momwe Mungagulitsire Nikkei 225

Ngakhale pali njira zina zogulitsira Nikkei, tingoyang'ana momwe zimachitikira nsanja zamalonda zamalonda za forex.

Kukula kwa Mgwirizano wa Nikkei 225

Ndi amalonda ambiri a forex, chiwerengero chochepa cha ma contract a Nikkei omwe mungagulitse ndi 10. Ogulitsa ena ali ndi ndalama zambiri zamalonda pa malonda, monga mwachitsanzo, 1000. Nthawi zambiri mumatha kugulitsa ma increments a 10 contracts.

Mtengo wamtengo wapatali wa makontrakitala 10 a Nikkei ndi nthawi khumi kuposa mtengo wapano wa index. Mtengo wapano ndi 19,680 yen waku Japan, kotero kuti mtengo wamakontrakitala 10 ndi yen 196,800.

Kuti muwerenge mtengo wamtengo wapatali mu dola yaku US, ingogawani 196,800 ndi USD/JPY yomwe ilipo tsopano ya 111.280 kuti mupeze ndalama zokwana $1768.51.

Mwamwayi, simufunika $1768.51 kuti mugule kapena kugulitsa ma contract 10 a Nikkei. Muyenera kuchita malonda ndi osachepera 1:100, zomwe zikutanthauza kuti muyenera kuyika ndalama zochepa zosakwana $18.

M'modzi mwamabizinesi anga ali ndi kukula kochepa kwa malonda a 100 pa Nikkei. Amapereka mwayi wa 1: 200, zomwe zikutanthauza kuti mukufunikira pafupifupi $ 88.50 kuti mutsegule malo a mgwirizano wa 100.

Zachidziwikire, mufunika ndalama zowonjezera kuti musunge malowo ikangotsegulidwa chifukwa kutaya kulikonse koyandama kumafunika kuthandizidwa ndi malire aulere (opezeka).

Mtengo wa Pip wa Nikkei 225

Mfundo imodzi (1.0) ndiyofunika 1 yen yaku Japan. Chifukwa chake, mtengo wa pip (kapena mtengo) wamakontrakitala 10 a Nikkei ndi 10 yen.

Mtengo wa pip wa kukula kwa malonda a 10 nthawi zonse ndi 10 yen yaku Japan ngakhale mtengo wake ndi wotani. Izi zili choncho chifukwa indexyo imagwidwa mawu mu yen.

Komabe, mtengo wa pipi mu dollar yaku US umadalira USD/JPY kusinthana. Chifukwa chake, mtengo wa pip wa Nikkei mu USD ndiwosintha. Kuti muwerenge mtengo wa malonda a 10- contract pa Nikkei mu USD, ingogawani yen 10 ndi USD/JPY mtengo wosinthira: 10 yen yogawidwa ndi 111.280 ikufanana ndi $0.0896. Tiyeni titengere nambalayi mpaka $0.09.

Mawerengedwe a mtengo wa Nikkei ndi USD/JPY pip ndi ofanana. Ngati mukufuna kudziwa zambiri za kugulitsa USD/JPY, nawu ulalo wankhani yoperekedwa kwa awiriwa: Kugulitsa USD/JPY Currency Pair.

Kuwerengera Phindu ndi Kutayika

Pano ku FXLeaders, timapita mtunda wowonjezera kuti tipatse amalonda zizindikiro zabwino za forex zotheka. Mu 2016 yokha, tidanyamula ma pips 4,907 odabwitsa!

Posachedwa tawonjeza zida zandalama zosangalatsa kwambiri ku pulogalamu yathu yama siginecha zomwe zikuphatikiza golide, mafuta osapsa, ndi index yamphamvu ya equity - Nikkei 225.

Sindingathe kudikirira kuti ndiwone miyezi yoyambirira ya 6 'Nikkei akuwonetsa deta, popeza chida chosasunthikachi chili ndi kuthekera kwakukulu kowonjezera kuchuluka kwa ma pips omwe timapanga. Tiyeni tiwone momwe tingawerengere phindu lomwe limapangidwa pazikwangwani zamalonda za Nikkei, ndi chitsanzo chosavuta:

Tiyeni tiwerengere kuchuluka kwa zomwe mungapange mutagula ma contract a Nikkei 160 pa 19,500 ndikugunda phindu la 80 point/pip pa 19,580. Tiyerekeze kuti kusinthanitsa kwa USD/JPY kumakhalabe kufupi ndi 111.111 panthawi yonseyi. Tiyerekezenso kuti ndalama zoyambira akaunti yanu yogulitsa ndi dollar yaku US.

Mtengo wa pip ndi $0.09 chifukwa ndalama za USD/JPY ndi 111.111. Uwu ndiye mtengo wa pip wa kukula kwa ma contract 10.

Kukula kwamalonda komwe tikuwona ndi makontrakitala 160. Choncho, mtengo wa pip pa malonda awa ndi 16 X $ 0.09 = $ 1.44. Ingochulukitsani izi ndi 80 pips ndipo mupeza ndalama zokwana $115.20.

Zida Zogwirizana ndi Nikkei 225

Ndalama Zogwirizana

Yen ya ku Japan ili ndi mgwirizano wamphamvu wotsutsana ndi Nikkei 225. Choncho, USD / JPY imagwirizana bwino ndi Nikkei, ndi mgwirizano wa chaka chimodzi wa 0.89. Yen nthawi zambiri imakhudza Nikkei.

Chifukwa cha izi ndikuti yen yofooka imathandiza ku Japan kunja. Mwachitsanzo, mitengo ya masheya amakampani akuluakulu amagalimoto ku Japan imakonda kukwera pamene yen ifooka. Pali makampani angapo akuluakulu amagalimoto omwe adalembedwa pa Nikkei.

Makampani ambiri omwe adalembedwa pa Nikkei 225 ndi ogulitsa akuluakulu azinthu zopangidwa monga mitundu yosiyanasiyana yamakina ndi magalimoto. Yen yofooka imakonda kukulitsa phindu lamakampani awa kwambiri.

Ngakhale kuti yen nthawi zambiri imakhudza Nikkei, yotsirizirayo imatha kukhala ndi zotsatira pa yen, ndithudi. Kapena mwina ndinene kuti, ma Nikkei pamodzi ndi ma benchmark equity indices amatha kukhudza yen yaku Japan.

Mukuwona, Yen ndi a ndalama zotetezeka zomwe zimakonda kuyamikiridwa pamene osunga ndalama achita mantha ndikuchepetsa kuwonekera kwawo kuzinthu zowopsa monga masheya.

Izi, komanso kuti yen ndi ndalama zofunikira zothandizira ndalama, nthawi zambiri zimapangitsa kuti ndalama zichoke m'matangadza kubwerera ku yen zomwe zinagwiritsidwa ntchito pogula malondawa poyamba.

Mukuwona, mtengo wobwereketsa yen ndi wamphindi chifukwa cha chiwongola dzanja chotsika kwambiri. Chifukwa chake, zitha kukhala zopindulitsa kwambiri kugwiritsa ntchito yen kugula zinthu zowopsa ndi zokolola zambiri.

'Vuto' ndiloti, pamene osunga ndalama amachepetsa kukhudzidwa kwawo ndi zinthu zoopsazi, ndalamazo ziyenera kubwezeredwa ku yen ya ku Japan. Izi zitha kupangitsa kuti Nikkei ndi ma indices ena achepe pomwe yen yaku Japan ikukwera nthawi imodzi.

Nikkei imagwirizana bwino ndi ndalama zonse za ku Japan pamlingo wina.

Zogwirizana ndi Equity Indices

Mlozera wofunikira kwambiri womwe mungawone mukamagulitsa Nikkei mwina ndi Dow Jones Industrial Index yaku United States.

Ngati Dow ichita bwino tsiku linalake, Nikkei amakonda kutsata tsiku lotsatira. Mosiyana ndi zimenezi, tsiku loipa la Dow nthawi zambiri limatanthauza kuti Nikkei akhoza kugulitsa tsiku lotsatira, makamaka kumayambiriro kwa tsiku la bizinesi la Japan.

Mukuwona, chuma cha Japan chimayenda makamaka pazogulitsa kunja ndipo zambiri zomwe zimatumizidwa kunja zimapita ku United States. Chifukwa chake, dziko lazamalonda ku Japan limakhudzidwa mwachindunji ndi chuma cha America.

Chifukwa chake Nikkei imagwirizana kwambiri ndi Dow (0.93) ndi ma indices ena aku US monga S&P500 (0.90) ndi Nasdaq (0.84). Ziwerengero zomwe zili m'mabulaketi ndizolumikizana kwa chaka chimodzi ku Nikkei 225.

Nikkei 225 imagwirizana bwino ndi ma index ambiri padziko lonse lapansi. Zitsanzo zina zikuphatikizapo German Dax (0.92), Australia 200, ndi French CAC 40 (0.90).

Zochitika Zazikulu Zomwe Zimakhudza Nikkei 225

Pazochitika zambiri zachuma ndi ndale zomwe zimakhudza Nikkei, pali zochepa zomwe zingayambitse kusinthasintha kwakukulu mu ndondomekoyi.

1. Ndondomeko ya Ndalama - Zochita ndi Ndemanga za Bank of Japan ndi Federal Reserve

Ndondomeko yazachuma ndi imodzi mwamadalaivala ofunikira kwambiri a Nikkei. Bank of Japan (BOJ) ndi yomwe imayang'anira ndondomeko yazachuma ku Japan ndikukhazikitsa mfundo zachuma za boma la Japan.

Momwemonso, Federal Reserve yaku United States imayang'anira ndondomeko yazachuma ku US

Zomwe Bank of Japan achita kuti asungitse bata lazachuma m'dziko lawo zitha kuyambitsa chiwawa ku Nikkei, monga mwachitsanzo, zotsatira zabwino zomwe kuchepetsa kuchuluka kwachulukira kwakhala nako pa index index iyi m'zaka zaposachedwa.

Monga ndanenera kale, chuma cha Japan chimadalira kwambiri chuma cha US. Chifukwa chake, United States Federal Reserve (FED) imagwiranso ntchito yofunika kwambiri pamtengo wa Nikkei.

Mwachitsanzo, zomwe FED idachita pofuna kulimbitsa mphamvu zachuma, monga kukwera kwa chiwongoladzanja, kungalimbikitse dola ya US. USD/JPY imatha kusunthira pamwamba, zomwe nthawi zambiri zimakhala zabwino kwa ogulitsa aku Japan komanso, Nikkei.

2. Zochitika Zazikulu Zandale

Zochitika zazikulu zandale zitha kuyambitsa kusuntha kwakukulu ku Nikkei. Chisankho cha pulezidenti wa US komwe Donald Trump adapambana ndi chitsanzo chimodzi. Zotsatira za chisankhochi zidapangitsa kuti pakhale kandulo yayikulu tsiku lililonse pa Nikkei, yokhala ndi mfundo za 1300.

Zachidziwikire, voti ya Brexit mu June 2016 idayambitsanso kusakhazikika kwakukulu mu Nikkei yomwe idasindikiza kandulo ya bearish pafupifupi mfundo za 1700, kutsika ndi zizindikiro zina zapadziko lonse lapansi.

3. Masoka Achilengedwe

Zivomezi zimachitika kawirikawiri ku Japan komanso pafupi ndi Japan. A Nikkei sachita bwino pakagwa masoka achilengedwe omwe amawononga mafakitale ndi zomangamanga mdziko muno.

4. Zizindikiro Zachuma

Zizindikiro za zachuma zimagwiritsidwa ntchito kupenda momwe chuma cha dziko chikuyendera bwino, ndikuwonetseratu kukula kwachuma m'tsogolomu. Pali mitundu itatu yayikulu yazizindikiro zachuma, zomwe ndi, zotsogola, zotsalira, ndi zizindikiro zongochitika mwangozi.

Zizindikiro monga manambala a GDP (Gross Domestic Product), manambala a CPI (Consumer Price Index), zosankha za chiwongola dzanja, kuchuluka kwa kusowa kwa ntchito, kukula kwa malipiro, kupanga mafakitale, ndi manambala ogulitsa malonda, zimatulutsidwa nthawi zonse ku US ndi Japan.

Ngakhale izi sizizindikiro zokhazokha zofunika zachuma, ali ndi kuthekera kwakukulu kosuntha misika ya Nikkei ndi US equity; makamaka zosankha za chiwongoladzanja, GDP ndi manambala a CPI, ndi deta ya msika wogwira ntchito (monga manambala a malipiro a US nonfarm, chiwerengero cha kusowa ntchito, ndi zina zotero).

Nkhani zachuma zochokera ku Japan ndi United States zitha kusuntha Nikkei kwambiri.

Nikkei imadziwika kuti ndi imodzi mwazinthu zomwe zimasokonekera kwambiri. Kumbukirani izi mukamagulitsa!

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