Kasuwancin Nikkei 225 - Jagorar Mafari

Tarihin Nikkei 225

Nikkei ta samo sunanta ne daga jaridar Nihon Keizai Shimbun (Nikkei) wadda ta ke yin kididdige ƙididdiga a kullum tun ranar 7 ga Satumba, 1950. An ƙididdige ma'aunin a baya zuwa 16 ga Mayu, 1949.

An kafa Nikkei a lokacin da Japan ta sami ci gaban masana'antu da sake ginawa bayan yakin duniya na biyu.

Manyan abubuwan da suka faru a cikin Tarihin Nikkei 225

Tsakanin 1985 zuwa 1990 an sami babban kumfa a cikin tattalin arzikin Japan. A wannan lokacin, farashin hannun jari da ƙimar gidaje sun ninka sau uku. Lokacin da kumfa ya fashe, Nikkei ya rasa fiye da 33% na ƙimar sa a cikin ƙasa da shekara guda.

Wannan raguwa ya ci gaba har zuwa Oktoba 2008 lokacin da Nikkei ya rasa fiye da 80% na darajar da yake da shi a cikin Disamba 1989 lokacin da ya kafa muhimmiyar mahimmanci.

Bayan dogon lokaci na haɗin gwiwa na gefe wanda ya ɗauki kusan shekaru 4, Nikkei ya sake dawowa sosai, wanda bankin Japan da gwamnatin Japan suka ƙarfafa shi, kuma ya sami 150% mai ban sha'awa tsakanin Yuni 2012 da Yuni 2015.

A halin yanzu (2017/05/21), Nikkei yana ciniki a 19,680, wanda shine kusan 6% a ƙasa da babban mahimmanci wanda aka saita baya a watan Yuni 2015.

Yadda ake Kasuwancin Nikkei 225

Ko da yake akwai wasu hanyoyin kasuwanci na Nikkei, za mu mai da hankali ne kawai kan yadda ake yin shi retail forex ciniki dandamali.

Girman Kwangilar Nikkei 225

Tare da dillalan forex da yawa, mafi ƙarancin adadin kwangilar Nikkei da zaku iya kasuwanci shine 10. Wasu dillalai suna da matsakaicin adadin kwangiloli a kowace ciniki, kamar misali, 1000. Yawancin lokaci zaku iya kasuwanci ƙari na kwangila 10 kawai.

Ƙimar ƙima na kwangilar Nikkei 10 shine sau goma na farashin yanzu na index. Farashin na yanzu shine yen Jafananci 19,680, don haka ƙimar ƙima na kwangiloli 10 shine yen 196,800.

Don ƙididdige ƙimar ƙima a cikin dalar Amurka, kawai raba 196,800 ta canjin USD/JPY na yanzu na 111.280 don samun adadin $1768.51.

An yi sa'a, ba kwa buƙatar $1768.51 don siye ko siyar da kwangilolin Nikkei 10. Ya kamata ku sami damar yin ciniki tare da aƙalla 1:100 leverage, wanda ke nufin dole ne ku sanya ƙaramin adadin ƙasa da $18.

Ɗayan dillalai na yana da ƙaramin girman ciniki na kwangiloli 100 akan Nikkei. Suna ba da damar 1: 200, wanda ke nufin kuna buƙatar kusan $ 88.50 don buɗe matsayin kwangilar 100.

Tabbas, kuna buƙatar ƙarin daidaito don kula da matsayin da zarar ya buɗe saboda duk wani asarar da ke iyo yana buƙatar goyan bayan gefen kyauta (samuwa).

Pip Darajar Nikkei 225

Maki ɗaya (1.0) yana da darajar yen Japan 1. Saboda haka, ƙimar pip (ko ƙimar ma'ana) na kwangilar Nikkei 10 shine yen 10.

Ƙimar pip na girman cinikin kwangilar kwangilar 10 koyaushe shine yen Jafananci 10 ko da menene farashin index. Wannan saboda an nakalto fihirisar a yen.

Koyaya, ƙimar pip a dalar Amurka ta dogara ne akan canjin USD/JPY. Don haka, ƙimar pip na Nikkei a cikin USD yana da ƙarfi. Don ƙididdige darajar pip na cinikin kwangiloli 10 akan Nikkei a cikin USD, kawai raba yen 10 ta canjin USD/JPY: yen 10 da aka raba ta 111.280 yayi daidai da $0.0896. Bari mu juya wannan lambar zuwa $0.09.

Ƙididdigar ƙimar pip Nikkei da USD/JPY iri ɗaya ne. Idan kuna son ƙarin koyo game da cinikin USD/JPY, ga hanyar haɗi zuwa labarin da aka keɓe musamman ga wannan biyu: Kasuwancin Kasuwancin USD/JPY.

Lissafin Riba da Asara

Anan a FXLeaders, muna da ƙarin mil don baiwa yan kasuwa mafi kyau forex sigina mai yiwuwa. A cikin 2016 kadai, mun sami babban pips 4,907!

Kwanan nan mun ƙara wasu kayan aikin kuɗi masu ban sha'awa a cikin shirin siginar mu waɗanda suka haɗa da zinare, ɗanyen mai, da ƙaƙƙarfan ma'aunin daidaito - Nikkei 225.

Ba zan iya jira don ganin farkon watanni 6 'Nikkei bayanan siginar ba, saboda wannan kayan aiki mai canzawa yana da babban damar haɓaka adadin pips da muke yi. Bari mu dubi yadda ake lissafin ribar da aka samu akan siginar ciniki na Nikkei, tare da misali mai sauƙi:

Bari mu lissafta nawa za ku samu idan kun sayi kwangilar Nikkei 160 akan 19,500 kuma ku buga maƙasudin riba 80/pip akan 19,580. Bari mu ɗauka cewa canjin USD/JPY ya kasance kusa da 111.111 na tsawon lokacin cinikin. Bari kuma mu ɗauka asusun asusun kasuwancin ku na tushen kuɗin dalar Amurka ce.

Darajar pip shine $ 0.09 saboda canjin USD/JPY shine 111.111. Wannan shine ƙimar pip na girman matsayi na kwangila 10.

Girman cinikin da muke kallo shine kwangiloli 160. Don haka, ƙimar pip akan wannan ciniki shine 16 X $ 0.09 = $ 1.44. Kawai ninka wannan ta pips 80 kuma zaku sami adadin $ 115.20.

Kayan aikin da ke da alaƙa da Nikkei 225

Kuɗi masu alaƙa

Yen na Jafananci yana da ƙaƙƙarfan haɗin kai zuwa Nikkei 225. Don haka, USD/JPY yana da alaƙa da Nikkei, tare da haɗin gwiwar shekara guda na 0.89. Yen yawanci yana shafar Nikkei.

Dalilin wannan dalili shi ne cewa Yen mai rauni yana taimakawa fitar da Japan zuwa waje. Misali, farashin hannun jari na manyan kamfanonin kera motoci a Japan yakan yi girma idan yen ya yi rauni. Akwai manyan kamfanonin motoci da yawa da aka jera akan Nikkei.

Kamfanoni da yawa da aka jera akan Nikkei 225 manyan masu fitar da kayayyaki ne da aka kera kamar nau'ikan injuna da motoci daban-daban. Yen mai rauni yana ƙoƙarin haɓaka ribar waɗannan kamfanoni sosai.

Ko da yake yen yawanci yana shafar Nikkei, na ƙarshe kuma yana iya yin tasiri akan yen, ba shakka. Ko watakila in ce, Nikkei tare da sauran manyan ma'auni na ma'auni na iya shafar yen Jafananci.

Kun gani, Yen shine a amintaccen kudin waje wanda ke nuna godiya lokacin da masu zuba jari suka firgita kuma su rage bayyanar su ga kadarorin haɗari kamar hannun jari.

Wannan, da kuma gaskiyar cewa yen wani muhimmin kuɗin kuɗi ne, sau da yawa yakan haifar da kudade daga hannun jari zuwa cikin yen da aka yi amfani da su don sayen waɗannan hannun jari a farkon wuri.

Kun ga, farashin rancen yen na ɗan lokaci ne saboda ƙimar riba mai ƙarancin ƙima. Don haka, yana iya zama mai fa'ida sosai don amfani da yen don siyan kadarori masu haɗari tare da yawan amfanin ƙasa.

'Matsalar' ita ce, lokacin da masu zuba jari suka rage fallasa su ga waɗannan kadarorin masu haɗari, ana buƙatar mayar da kuɗin zuwa yen na Japan. Wannan na iya haifar da Nikkei da sauran fihirisa su ragu yayin da yen Jafananci ke tashi lokaci guda.

Nikkei yana da alaƙa da alaƙa da duk nau'ikan kuɗin Japan zuwa wani mataki.

Fihirisar Daidaituwar Daidaitawa

Mafi mahimmancin fihirisa don kallo lokacin da kuke kasuwanci da Nikkei tabbas shine Dow Jones Index na Masana'antu na Amurka.

Idan Dow ya yi kyau a wata rana ta musamman, Nikkei yana kula da bin kwatankwacin gobe. Sabanin haka, mummunan rana ga Dow sau da yawa yana nufin Nikkei na iya yin kasuwanci da ƙasa a rana mai zuwa, musamman a farkon ranar kasuwancin Japan.

Ka ga, tattalin arzikin Japan yana gudana ne a kan fitar da kayayyaki zuwa ketare kuma galibin abubuwan da ake fitarwa suna zuwa Amurka. Don haka, yanayin tattalin arzikin Amurka ya shafi duniyar kasuwancin Japan kai tsaye.

Saboda haka Nikkei yana da alaƙa sosai da Dow (0.93) da sauran fihirisar daidaiton Amurka kamar S&P500 (0.90) da Nasdaq (0.84). Lambobin da ke cikin baka sune alaƙar shekara ɗaya zuwa Nikkei 225.

Nikkei 225 yana da alaƙa da alaƙa da galibin manyan fihirisar ma'auni na duniya. Wasu ƙarin misalai sun haɗa da Jamusanci Dax (0.92), Ostiraliya 200, da Faransanci CAC 40 (0.90).

Manyan abubuwan da suka shafi Nikkei 225

Daga cikin al'amuran tattalin arziki da siyasa da yawa waɗanda ke yin tasiri ga Nikkei, akwai kaɗan waɗanda zasu iya haifar da canji mai mahimmanci a cikin wannan ma'aunin daidaito.

1. Manufofin Kuɗi - Ayyuka da Sharhi ta Bankin Japan da Tarayyar Tarayya

Manufofin kuɗi tabbas ɗaya ne daga cikin mahimman direbobin Nikkei. Bankin Japan (BOJ) ne ke kula da manufofin kudi na Japan kuma yana aiwatar da manufofin tattalin arzikin gwamnatin Japan.

Hakazalika, Tarayyar Tarayya ta Amurka ce ke tafiyar da manufofin kuɗi a Amurka

Matakan da bankin na Japan ya dauka don tabbatar da daidaiton tsarin hada-hadar kudi na kasarsu na iya haifar da tashin hankali a cikin Nikkei, kamar misali, kyakkyawan tasirin da sassaukar kididdigar da aka samu kan wannan kididdigar hannun jari a cikin 'yan shekarun nan.

Kamar yadda na ambata, tattalin arzikin Japan ya dogara da tattalin arzikin Amurka. Saboda haka, Tarayyar Amurka (FED) kuma tana taka muhimmiyar rawa a farashin Nikkei.

Misali, matakan da FED ta ɗauka don ƙarfafa tattalin arzikinta, kamar hauhawar riba, na iya ƙarfafa dalar Amurka. USD/JPY na iya motsawa sama da haka, wanda yawanci yana da kyau ga masu fitar da Jafananci kuma ba shakka, Nikkei.

2. Manyan Al'amuran Siyasa

Manyan al'amuran siyasa na iya haifar da gagarumin motsi a cikin Nikkei. Zaben shugaban kasa na Amurka inda Donald Trump ya lashe na daya irin wannan misali. Sakamakon wannan zaben ya haifar da kyandir na yau da kullun akan Nikkei, tare da kewayon maki 1300.

Tabbas, kuri'ar Brexit a watan Yuni 2016 kuma ta haifar da babban canji a cikin Nikkei wanda ya buga kyandir na kusan maki 1700, yana raguwa tare da sauran alamun alamun duniya.

3. Bala'iyoyi

Girgizar kasa akai-akai tana faruwa a ciki da kusa da Japan. Nikkei ba ya da kyau game da bala'o'in da ke lalata masana'antu da ababen more rayuwa na ƙasar.

4. Alamun Tattalin Arziki

Ana amfani da alamomin tattalin arziki don nazarin yadda tattalin arzikin kasa ke tafiya, da hasashen ci gaban tattalin arzikin nan gaba. Akwai manyan nau'ikan alamomin tattalin arziki guda uku, wato jagora, koma baya, da alamomin daidaituwa.

Alamomi kamar lambobin GDP (Gross Domestic Product), lambobin CPI (Fihirisar Farashin Mabukaci), shawarar ƙimar riba, ƙimar rashin aikin yi, haɓakar albashi, samar da masana'antu, da lambobin tallace-tallace, ana fitar da su akai-akai a duka Amurka da Japan.

Ko da yake waɗannan ba su ne kawai mahimman alamomin tattalin arziki ba, suna da babban ƙarfin motsa kasuwannin Nikkei da Amurka; musamman yanke shawara game da ƙimar riba, GDP da lambobin CPI, da bayanan kasuwar aiki (kamar lambobin biyan kuɗi marasa aikin gona na Amurka, ƙimar rashin aikin yi, da sauransu).

Labaran tattalin arziki daga duka Japan da Amurka na iya motsa Nikkei sosai.

Ana ɗaukar Nikkei ɗaya daga cikin fihirisar ma'auni mai saurin canzawa. Ka tuna da wannan lokacin da kake kasuwanci!

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