Citibank Reports Positive Prediction for Bitcoin

Citibank Reports Positive Prediction for Bitcoin

An idea that has been getting thrown around recently is that Bitcoin (BTC) could hit a fresh year-to-date (YTD) high on the back of the upcoming US Presidential Election.

This idea was sponsored by a recent quarterly commodity outlook published by American banking behemoth, Citigroup. The firm based its predictions on gold (XAU/USD) and its possible price dynamics ahead of the election season in November. It highlighted that gold could record a new YTD high despite its current bearishness.

Meanwhile, Bitcoin, which has shared a strong correlation with gold since March, tumbled through this week amid similar geopolitical triggers. The benchmark cryptocurrency touched $10,100 briefly following the Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s announcement of the inability of the bank to support the US economy in the absence of a second Coronavirus stimulus package. Many analysts have predicted that the proposed stimulus measures may not be approved until after the elections.

This delay has caused a lot of investors to flee from safer assets like gold and Bitcoin, to the US dollar (DXY). But for Citibank, this price dynamic in gold and Bitcoin isn’t going to last.

Meanwhile, Tyler Winklevoss, co-founder of the Gemini exchange, has advised that people should go long on Bitcoin to save their capital from the incoming crisis.

BTCUSD – 4-Hour Chart

Key BTC Levels to Watch

Bitcoin continues to trade under a directionless sentiment as investors look on in anticipation. Based on our 4-hour chart, we can observe that BTC has made some attempts at the upside recently, but remains strongly opposed by the top of our pivot point at $10,800 and the prevailing descending trendline.

BTC has to defeat both indicators in one swipe and break strongly above $10,800 before any bullish recovery can take place. Subsequently, the next level to beat is the $11,200 resistance.

Total market capital: $342 billion

Bitcoin market capital: $198 billion

Bitcoin dominance: 57.8%

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Bitcoin Price Analysis — September 15

Bitcoin Price Analysis — September 15

Bitcoin (BTC) bulls had a good run today as they pushed the benchmark cryptocurrency closer to the $11k target and sought to break out of the recent downtrend.

The cryptocurrency appears to have benefited from the recent bearishness in the US dollar (DXY). This has sent both gold and Bitcoin, as well as the equity markets, flying.

Today’s price action, coupled with yesterday’s, is beneficial for the cryptocurrency’s near-term outlook. However, it is worth mentioning that BTC is yet to break above the $11,000 key resistance.

An analyst has cited that BTC is currently trading under a key technical resistance line and that its reaction to this level will establish a near-term trend.

Meanwhile, some fundamental factors are acting against BTC, including the discovery that many traders are selling their BTC at a loss rather than with a profit. This could be an indication that recent top buyers are using this rally to offload their holdings.

Some analysts are hopeful that BTC will continue to scale more highs as technical and fundamental factors suggest further upside gains are imminent.

BTCUSD – 4-Hour Chart

Key BTC Levels Watch

Based on sights from our chart, it is clear that BTC’s recent price action is tilting towards the upside.

At press time, Bitcoin is trading up at 1.8% at its current price of $10,875, the highest point for the cryptocurrency in over a week. This marks a significant rise from its recent $9,880 low, however, it is still far from its $12,400 YTD-high.

The ascending trendline is expected to strongly support Bitcoin against any drop in the near-term. There’s a confluence of indicators ($10,500 support line, ascending trendline, and 50 SMA) at the $10,500 price point, suggesting that a drop below that level might be unlikely in the near-term.

Total market capital: $348 billion

Bitcoin market capital: $200 billion

Bitcoin dominance: 57.4%

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Bitcoin Price Analysis — September 13

Bitcoin Price Analysis — September 13

Bitcoin (BTC) has dropped dramatically to the $10,300 area in the past few hours, after a brief attempt to break out of its current range. This decline is believed to have been an orchestrated pump-and-dump strategy by whales on smaller traders.

BTC grew by over $120 in a few hours, followed by a modest consolidation before bears induced a sharp correction, which sent Bitcoin back to its starting price point.

This is the second “fakeout” for the benchmark cryptocurrency at the $10,580 level, as it continues to trade within the $10,500 – $9,880 consolidation range.

BTCUSD – 4-Hour Chart

Key BTC Levels to Watch

Before the fall, Bitcoin had been trading well above a strong ascending trendline. However, this drop has caused it to go below this trendline, which has been supporting the cryptocurrency for a while now. As $9 billion has left the cryptocurrency market in the past 24 hours, this line has now become a resistance for Bitcoin to contend with in the near-term.

The upper-$10,500 region remains the key area for Bitcoin bulls to break for them to take back control. If BTC overcomes that level, we could see the $10,800 and $11,000 region again. A successful break above the $11k mark will reinstate Bitcoin’s original bullish sentiment, which would help the cryptocurrency break its YTD record.

Meanwhile, immediate support can be found at the 50SMA ($10,262) followed by the $10,000 psychological line. Further declines from that level could bring the $9,800-600 region in the short-term.

So far, BTC has evaded closing a candle below the $10k level. If this happens in the near-term, however, it could cause bulls to lose confidence and trigger an intense sell-off.

Total market capital: $337 billion

Bitcoin market capital: $190 billion

Bitcoin Dominance: 56.3%

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Bitcoin Likely to Tumble in the Near-Term as Volatility Fades

Bitcoin Likely to Tumble in the Near-Term as Volatility Fades

It has been a slow and choppy couple of weeks for Bitcoin (BTC). The cryptocurrency came tumbling down to the upper-$9,000 level after it recorded a fresh YTD high around $12,400 a few weeks ago.

Weirdly, this offers little or no insight into the near-term outlook of BTC, although it has shown just how strong bears currently are.

One analyst has noted that he is betting against Bitcoin, as he expects the cryptocurrency to reach the long-awaited $9,600 CME gap. He cites yesterday’s defeat from the $10,500 resistance as a sign of fresh weakness. However, he holds that a good break above the $10,500 line could reshape BTC’s short-term bias.

Meanwhile, the recent price action around Bitcoin has significantly influenced investors’ bias, as data indicates that overall market sentiment remains very scrambled with more traders leaning towards bearish for the near-term prospects of the cryptocurrency.

That said, a confluence of technical indicators and the bearish-leaning bias among investors could precipitate a sharp decline for the benchmark cryptocurrency.

BTCUSD – Hourly Chart

Key BTC Levels to Watch

Bitcoin has traded in a consolidated range between $10,500 and $9,900 for more than seven consecutive sessions. The key level to break remains the $10,500 pivot area, followed by the $10,800, and the $11,000 psychological line.

On the flip side, bears need to break below the $9,900 support before they can take BTC to the $9,600 CME gap. A strong rebound is expected to happen if Bitcoin eventually falls to that level.

Total market capital: $334 billion

Bitcoin market capital: $190 billion

Bitcoin dominance: 56.8%

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Bitcoin Price Analysis — September 9

Bitcoin Price Analysis — September 9

Bitcoin (BTC) has now spent close to seven days battling with the $10,000 mark, as bulls continue to hold that line and prevent any significant decline.

It is still unclear in what direction a breakout could occur soon, but it looks like the bulls are winning despite the enduring BTC weakness.

Crypto traders always say that when bitcoin breaks above a crucial resistance, it seldom trades below that level again. Given Bitcoin’s performance in the past few days, it appears that this is the case now.

Despite the several attempts to break below the 5-digit level, the sell-off has failed to secure a close below that level. Instead, it has left several wicks behind and these wicks are starting to shorten indicating that bears are getting tired.

By tomorrow, the seventh daily candle will be completed. If that candle maintains its position above the $10k mark, a strong bullish spike could ensue afterward.

Meanwhile, for the past decade, September has held the reputation for being a red month for the benchmark cryptocurrency. That said, it would be interesting to see how things play out for Bitcoin in the near-term.

BTCUSD 4-Hour Chart

Key BTC Levels to Watch

Bitcoin remains locked in a narrow channel between $10,345 and $9,880. Given the weakening condition of bears, we could see BTC climb higher soon. Bitcoin could break the bearish sentiment if it breaks back into the $10,500-800 pivot zone, which could propel it to further highs.

On the flip side, a break and close below the $10k mark is all bears need to take Bitcoin closer to the $9,600 CME gap.

Total market capital: $332.8 billion

Bitcoin market capital: $189 billion

Bitcoin dominance: 56.9%

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Whales are Holding On To Bitcoin Despite Recent Weakness

Whales are Holding On To Bitcoin Despite Recent Weakness

The price of Bitcoin (BTC) is falling largely because the market is growing fearful of a replay of the dreaded ‘Black Thursday.’ However, considering the extent to which whales have acquired BTC over the months, a replay of that event is highly unlikely.

Still, it remains unclear what the cause of the sudden trend is. Could it be due to the acquisition of BTC by wealthy individuals as a hedge against the unknown?

It can be said that this is unlikely to be the case thanks to the extreme volatility of the cryptocurrency. An asset capable of crashing by more than $2,000 under 48 hours surely is not an excellent hedge against uncertainty.

Little wonder why equities investors laughed off the argument that Bitcoin was an anti-correlated asset to hedge a portfolio with.

Meanwhile, the narrative has shifted once again towards inflation and BTC’s usefulness as a hedge against a declining US dollar (DXY). Also, the benchmark cryptocurrency appears to have a close correlation with gold (XAU/USD), which is a strong safe-haven refuge for investors. Apart from being a good hedge against the dollar, gold gets its safe-haven appeal by giving investors private ownership over a physical commodity out of the reach of the government.

Bitcoin is even way better in this regard given its digital nature. This is why whales will continue to use it as a hedge against anything.

BTCUSD 4-Hour Chart

Key BTC Levels to Watch

Bitcoin spent the majority of its day battling with the $10,000 strong support as traders stay on the sidelines amidst intense uncertainty. The cryptocurrency broke below the support—slightly—on several occasions during the day but was quickly met with decent bullish support. This consolidation phase has endured for about four days now between the $10,500 line and the $9,880 support.

That said, it appears that bulls are starting to tire as bears keep the $9,600 CME gap in focus.

Total market capital: $322 billion

Bitcoin market capital: $185 billion

Bitcoin dominance: 57.4%

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Bitcoin Remains Locked in a Battle With the $10,000 Round Figure

Bitcoin Remains Locked in a Battle With the $10,000 Round Figure

Bitcoin (BTC) remains in its struggle to stay above the coveted 5-digit level but seems to be losing the battle as it has broken beneath that level several times in the past few days.

At the start of the day, Bitcoin exhibited significant weakness as bears sent it as low as $9,880 where it carried out a sharp rebound to the $10,200 level. It appears to have gotten stuck around this level as bulls continue to struggle with the mounting selling pressure.

However, one analyst believes that Bitcoin could still be bullish despite its persisting weakness. The analyst notes that this decline is simply a modest retrace with a major recovery on its way.

For this prediction to come to pass, Bitcoin has to hold above the $10,000 line. A failure to do so could spell devastation for bulls in the near-term.

BTCUSD 4-Hour Chart

Key BTC Levels to Watch

At press time, Bitcoin is trading down at 0.67% on the day at $10,190. This is a modest climb from its daily low at $9,880 and several points below its daily high at $10,312.

Today’s dip was bought aggressively by bulls at the $9,880 support, sending it back above $10k. This makes that support very crucial and possible BTC’s last defense from the $9,600 CME gap.

However, given the current market conditions, it appears that the CME gap might be filled soon. In the last 24 hours, more than $15 billion has left the cryptocurrency market signifying a sell-off in progress.

That said, the gap getting filled soon could liberate the cryptocurrency and send it back above its YTD highs.

Right now, all eyes are on the $10,000 as Bitcoin’s reaction to this level in the coming hours will help the benchmark crypto regain directional stability.

Total market capital: $328 billion

Bitcoin market capital: $188 billion

Bitcoin dominance: 57.3%

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Bitcoin “Fighting for Life” Above $10,000

Bitcoin “Fighting for Life” Above $10,000

Just a couple of days ago, Bitcoin (BTC) was flying high above the $12,000 mark. Fast-forward to today and the benchmark cryptocurrency is struggling to close today’s candle above the $10,000 key support.

It all came crashing for Bitcoin when the US equity markets picked up strong demand, causing excess supply for the cryptocurrency. Meanwhile, the main problem for BTC came when the creator SUSHI (a popular DeFi asset), Chef Nomi, sold huge portions of his holdings. This triggered a sell-off in DeFi assets, Ethereum, and ultimately, Bitcoin.

In the past 24 hours, BTC has reached its lowest point since July 26 ($9,878).

BTCUSD – 4-Hour Chart

Key BTC Levels to Watch

The most important level to watch here is the $10,000 mark. BTC could find short-term respite if it ends the day above this level. If Bitcoin loses its hold of this area, we could see the $9,800, and subsequently the $9,600 CME gap.

On the flip side, there could be a strong correction from this level, which could send the primary cryptocurrency back into the $10,500 – $10,800 pivot region and later to the $11,000 level. After that, the 11,200 – 11,650 region will come into play again.

Meanwhile, according to indications from our MACD on the 4-hour chart, BTC is well within oversold conditions now and a strong rebound is currently brewing, giving more credence to a near-term Bitcoin recovery.

Also, this week’s correction came with intense volume, which has been recorded to be the highest for the past 30 days. That said, it only makes sense that a correction to the upside should be expected. Bitcoin will become bullish again if it crosses the $11,000 mark.

Total Market Cap: $325.9 billion

Bitcoin Market Cap: $188 billion

BTC Dominance Index: 57.8%

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Bitcoin Spirals Below $11,000 After a Slight Consolidation

Bitcoin Spirals Below $11,000 After a Slight Consolidation

Bitcoin (BTC) has undergone a dramatic loss extension, as it shed more than $1000 in just under 24 hours.

In yesterday’s analysis, we speculated that Bitcoin could consolidate for a while before a major breakout. Based on our 4-hour chart, that is exactly what happened. After a while of holding around the $11,400-200 region, BTC finally gave in to the mounting pressure and dipped.

Bears succeeded in taking Bitcoin to the $11,000 psychological line, which immediately opened the door to further correcting.

The crypto market contracted by $28 billion today alone.

BTCUSD 4-Hour Chart

Key BTC Levels to Watch

At press time, the benchmark cryptocurrency is trading at $10,700, up by 2.7% from its daily low ($10,470). However, given the current climate in the market, it is difficult to predict what Bitcoin might do next.

The next support level, after the $10,500-470 level, is the $10,200 line. This area could open BTC up to a break below the 5-digit price range as a fresh sell-off will be triggered in anticipation of the CME Bitcoin futures gap filling.

The gap-fill will occur if Bitcoin falls below the $10,000 mark. After this, we’re likely going to see a rebound towards the $10,500 level and the $11,000 mark again.

The $10k line is the level to watch because a break below that level could switch the conditions around BTC to oversold for the first time since the Coronavirus-induced crash in March. This could trigger many trading bots into buying, which would help the cryptocurrency recuperate.

However, if Bitcoin caps any further declines from this level, the major level to watch is the $11k mark and subsequently the $11,400 and higher.

Total market capital: $351 billion

Bitcoin market capital: $197 billion

Bitcoin dominance: 56%

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Could Bitcoin’s Recent Rally be an Orchestration by Whales?

Could Bitcoin’s Recent Rally be an Orchestration by Whales?

Investors have been trooping into Bitcoin (BTC) and other cryptocurrencies since August 37, with the overall market capitalization rising from $348 billion to its current peak at $400 billion.

This inflow of capital has assisted Bitcoin to grow by over $800 from its August low of $11,115 set four days ago as it approaches the all-important $12,000 level. Bitcoin has now cleared the strong $11,650 – $11,800 resistance region just today.

Some analysts are now asking if this the beginning of a fresh bull run, which could take BTC to a new YTD high, or if it is just another ploy by whales to precipitate a pump and dump momentum to shake out ‘weak hands.’

Based on our 4-hour chart, the 50 and 100 Simple Moving Average have intersected, suggesting that bulls are highly favored currently.

The major worry, at press time, is that BTC is now venturing into overbought territories, which could mount pressure on Bitcoin and cause trading bots to dump the market. This could trigger a fresh selloff in Bitcoin.

BTCUSD – 4-Hour Chart

Key Levels to Watch

Currently, Bitcoin is trapped around the strong $11,995 level which has remained unbroken for a few weeks now. The benchmark cryptocurrency needs to clear this level to open it up to higher hurdles.

If the crypto picks up momentum, the first hurdle to overcome is the $12,056 pivot zone followed by the YTD-high of $12,400, and finally the $12,800 weekly resistance.

That said, if this volatility-rush turns out to be a whale manipulation pattern, then we should expect a sharp correction to the downside ($11,650 and lower)in the near-term. From there, Bitcoin could experience another bout of consolidation before attempting a recovery.

Total market capital: $392 billion

Bitcoin market capital: $222 billion

Bitcoin dominance: 56.6%

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