Whales Remain Firmly Bullish Despite Bitcoin’s Directionless Bout

Whales Remain Firmly Bullish Despite Bitcoin’s Directionless Bout

Bitcoin (BTC) has been plagued with mixed signals for a good deal of time now. Although it has been slowly climbing higher, the lower-$11,000 area appears to be a very aggressive resistance zone.

The intensity of selling pressure it garners in this area indicates that bulls may not be dominating as once believed. This could mean that BTC could be on the brink of another major decline.

However, despite the lingering weakness, the current holdings of whales paint a different picture for the near-term possibility of the benchmark cryptocurrency.

Recent data from a crypto analytics firm, CryptoQuant, shows that whales are firmly holding on to their positions despite several rejections from the $11k level. The CEO of the firm made this announcement via Twitter, explaining that the Exchange Whale Ratio has now reached a fresh yearly low, keeping in mind that lower whale selling bolsters Bitcoin.

If this trend continues, it could indicate that there would be less macro selling pressure, which could help its bullish prospects in the coming days and weeks.

BTCUSD – 4-Hour Chart

Key BTC Levels to Watch

At press time, Bitcoin is trading lower around $10,860. It has been trading in a tight range between $11,050 and $10,700 for about three sessions now. As mentioned earlier, bulls have failed multiple times to clear the $11k resistance despite backing by whales. Every attempt has been met with strong selling pressure, which drives the price lower.

Meanwhile, bulls have likewise kept Bitcoin from falling below $10,800. However, a fall below that level will likely be supported strongly by the confluence of indicators below (ascending trendline and 50 SMA) at $10,600.

Total market capital: $350 billion

Bitcoin market capital: $201 billion

Bitcoin dominance: 57.4%

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New Report Shows that Bitcoin Could Go Under Soon

New Report Shows that Bitcoin Could Go Under Soon

The open interest of Bitcoin (BTC) has been observed to be growing once again, indicating that a possible large price movement is brewing.

Over the last 24 hours, the cryptocurrency fell by more than 2%from $11,100 to $10,900, where it is currently lingering around. The $11,100 was a much-talked-about level by analysts and it is interesting to see how BTC was cleanly rejected from that line.

Meanwhile, the recent volatility spike in Bitcoin coincides with the upcoming expiration of about 77,000 BTC options contracts. According to reports, the BTC options open interest is currently hovering above 134,000 contracts.

Historically, September appears to be a very slow month for the cryptocurrency when it comes to volatility. That said, the high level of options open interest implies that a surge in volatility in October is very likely.

Whether that volatility would cause a significant drawdown or will help Bitcoin record higher YTD numbers remains largely uncertain. However, if Bitcoin goes according to past performance, we’re likely to see a new all-time high in about 15 months after its recent halving.

In the near-term, Bitcoin could remain trapped between $9,000 and $12,000, as the accumulation phase continues.

Meanwhile, the September options expiration, which occurs on the last Friday of every month, Bitcoin will confirm a directional bias.

BTCUSD – 4-Hour Chart

Key BTC Levels to Watch

Bitcoin remains in a struggle to claim the $11,000-200 zone in the near-term. However, it appears to be running out of steam to help keep it above the $10,800 support line. If a fall should occur, it is unclear how far BTC is likely to fall, however, the $10,500 pivot area seems like a good place to start.

Meanwhile, Bitcoin has begun a descent from centering into overbought territory, indicating that this decline could be drawn-out.

On the flip side, BTC has to break above the $11,200 mark to confirm a bullish bias.

Total market capital: $353 billion

Bitcoin market capital: $202 billion

Bitcoin dominance: 57%

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Analysts Predict a Fall is Coming in Bitcoin

Analysts Predict a Fall is Coming in Bitcoin

Bitcoin (BTC) has broken a key resistance despite weakness across other altcoins. After bottoming out at $9,800 last week, the cryptocurrency has grown by more than $1,000 as it now trades at $11,027 at press time. This surge was likely a ripple-effect from MicroStrategy’s 10,000 BTC purchase.

However, many traders fear that this goodish bounce may come to an end soon. Analysts have set their eyes on the $11,200 resistance as the potential area where Bitcoin could come under selling pressure.

Meanwhile, this doesn’t affect the long-term fundamentals of BTC, which many revered commentators believe is positive.

One analyst has pointed out that BTC is currently forming a pattern structurally identical to the crash in March. If history repeats itself, then we could see a significant descent from the $11,200 resistance level.

However, whatever the fate of Bitcoin might be in the near-term, most analysts believe that Bitcoin’s long-term upside bias will remain intact.

BTCUSD – 4-Hour Chart

Key BTC Levels to Watch

BTC has finally broken above the $11,000 psychological line. However, it appears that the cryptocurrency lacks the momentum to climb higher in the near-term.

Considering the expectations of analysts for BTC in the near-term, we could see a slight reversal to the mid-$10,000 level. This sentiment is further bolstered by the fact that Bitcoin has just entered overbought conditions on our MACD indicator.

However, if Bitcoin manages to record a clean break above $11,200, we could see the benchmark cryptocurrency climb to the $11,650 supply level.

Total market capital: $350.6 billion

Bitcoin market capital: $204 billion

Bitcoin dominance: 58.2%

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Bitcoin Price Analysis — September 15

Bitcoin Price Analysis — September 15

Bitcoin (BTC) bulls had a good run today as they pushed the benchmark cryptocurrency closer to the $11k target and sought to break out of the recent downtrend.

The cryptocurrency appears to have benefited from the recent bearishness in the US dollar (DXY). This has sent both gold and Bitcoin, as well as the equity markets, flying.

Today’s price action, coupled with yesterday’s, is beneficial for the cryptocurrency’s near-term outlook. However, it is worth mentioning that BTC is yet to break above the $11,000 key resistance.

An analyst has cited that BTC is currently trading under a key technical resistance line and that its reaction to this level will establish a near-term trend.

Meanwhile, some fundamental factors are acting against BTC, including the discovery that many traders are selling their BTC at a loss rather than with a profit. This could be an indication that recent top buyers are using this rally to offload their holdings.

Some analysts are hopeful that BTC will continue to scale more highs as technical and fundamental factors suggest further upside gains are imminent.

BTCUSD – 4-Hour Chart

Key BTC Levels Watch

Based on sights from our chart, it is clear that BTC’s recent price action is tilting towards the upside.

At press time, Bitcoin is trading up at 1.8% at its current price of $10,875, the highest point for the cryptocurrency in over a week. This marks a significant rise from its recent $9,880 low, however, it is still far from its $12,400 YTD-high.

The ascending trendline is expected to strongly support Bitcoin against any drop in the near-term. There’s a confluence of indicators ($10,500 support line, ascending trendline, and 50 SMA) at the $10,500 price point, suggesting that a drop below that level might be unlikely in the near-term.

Total market capital: $348 billion

Bitcoin market capital: $200 billion

Bitcoin dominance: 57.4%

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Bitcoin Picks-Up Bullish Momentum, Anticipates Second Leg Up

Bitcoin Picks-Up Bullish Momentum, Anticipates Second Leg Up

Luck has found Bitcoin (BTC) as it finally breaks above the $10,580 range top and is now marching towards the $11,000 psychological line.

The surge was likely sponsored by an influx of about $12 billion into the cryptocurrency market during the earlier hours of today. This investment influx has lifted the entire crypto market out of depression and has helped BTC clear several key resistance levels.

While this appears to be a very positive development, many traders are skeptical that this could be yet another ploy by whales to cashout on small traders, adding that BTC could reverse sharply once it enters overbought conditions.

BTCUSD – 4-Hour Chart

Key BTC Levels to Watch

Following the recent rally, Bitcoin is now trading within the $10,800-500 pivot zone and back above the mini-trendline. This puts it in an excellent position for bulls to attempt a second leg up towards $11k. A break above the key psychological level could send the cryptocurrency above the $11,200 level and restore its original bullishness.

However, bulls will have to be cautious and not get blindsided as the $9,600 CME gap remains open. If this bull run turns out to be another whale “heist,” we could see a sharp decline to the previous low areas.

As mentioned earlier, traders will be looking to see how Bitcoin reacts when it enters overbought conditions above 115.60 on the MACD indicator.

Total market capital: $349billion

Bitcoin market capital: $198 billion

Bitcoin dominance: 56.7%

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Bitcoin Price Analysis — September 13

Bitcoin Price Analysis — September 13

Bitcoin (BTC) has dropped dramatically to the $10,300 area in the past few hours, after a brief attempt to break out of its current range. This decline is believed to have been an orchestrated pump-and-dump strategy by whales on smaller traders.

BTC grew by over $120 in a few hours, followed by a modest consolidation before bears induced a sharp correction, which sent Bitcoin back to its starting price point.

This is the second “fakeout” for the benchmark cryptocurrency at the $10,580 level, as it continues to trade within the $10,500 – $9,880 consolidation range.

BTCUSD – 4-Hour Chart

Key BTC Levels to Watch

Before the fall, Bitcoin had been trading well above a strong ascending trendline. However, this drop has caused it to go below this trendline, which has been supporting the cryptocurrency for a while now. As $9 billion has left the cryptocurrency market in the past 24 hours, this line has now become a resistance for Bitcoin to contend with in the near-term.

The upper-$10,500 region remains the key area for Bitcoin bulls to break for them to take back control. If BTC overcomes that level, we could see the $10,800 and $11,000 region again. A successful break above the $11k mark will reinstate Bitcoin’s original bullish sentiment, which would help the cryptocurrency break its YTD record.

Meanwhile, immediate support can be found at the 50SMA ($10,262) followed by the $10,000 psychological line. Further declines from that level could bring the $9,800-600 region in the short-term.

So far, BTC has evaded closing a candle below the $10k level. If this happens in the near-term, however, it could cause bulls to lose confidence and trigger an intense sell-off.

Total market capital: $337 billion

Bitcoin market capital: $190 billion

Bitcoin Dominance: 56.3%

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Bitcoin Likely to Tumble in the Near-Term as Volatility Fades

Bitcoin Likely to Tumble in the Near-Term as Volatility Fades

It has been a slow and choppy couple of weeks for Bitcoin (BTC). The cryptocurrency came tumbling down to the upper-$9,000 level after it recorded a fresh YTD high around $12,400 a few weeks ago.

Weirdly, this offers little or no insight into the near-term outlook of BTC, although it has shown just how strong bears currently are.

One analyst has noted that he is betting against Bitcoin, as he expects the cryptocurrency to reach the long-awaited $9,600 CME gap. He cites yesterday’s defeat from the $10,500 resistance as a sign of fresh weakness. However, he holds that a good break above the $10,500 line could reshape BTC’s short-term bias.

Meanwhile, the recent price action around Bitcoin has significantly influenced investors’ bias, as data indicates that overall market sentiment remains very scrambled with more traders leaning towards bearish for the near-term prospects of the cryptocurrency.

That said, a confluence of technical indicators and the bearish-leaning bias among investors could precipitate a sharp decline for the benchmark cryptocurrency.

BTCUSD – Hourly Chart

Key BTC Levels to Watch

Bitcoin has traded in a consolidated range between $10,500 and $9,900 for more than seven consecutive sessions. The key level to break remains the $10,500 pivot area, followed by the $10,800, and the $11,000 psychological line.

On the flip side, bears need to break below the $9,900 support before they can take BTC to the $9,600 CME gap. A strong rebound is expected to happen if Bitcoin eventually falls to that level.

Total market capital: $334 billion

Bitcoin market capital: $190 billion

Bitcoin dominance: 56.8%

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BTC/USD Price Analysis: Further Upside Could Be Imminent

BTC/USD Price Analysis: Further Upside Could Be Imminent

Bitcoin (BTC) remained in a directionless fit today, although appeared to be inching ever so closely to the upside. Records show that about $11 billion has flooded back into the global crypto market over the past 48 hours.

A large percentage of this influx of investment comes from the recent pickup in Ethereum (ETH), which is currently the best-performing cryptocurrency among the top 10 largest cryptos by market cap.

Based on a recent report from Skew, a crypto analytics firm, there have been significant gains in ETH futures trading volume compared to BTC, as ETH currently accounts for 46% of Huobi’s derivatives volume and BTC coming behind with 36%.

This positive momentum is largely driven by the DeFi market, which is still considered as a hot investment by the crypto community.

Meanwhile, some analysts believe that the benchmark cryptocurrency is set to see further highs in the near-term courtesy of the equities market. They believe that the recent stock market drop was stimulated by Bitcoin’s decline from its recent highs around $12,400.

That said, the equities markets have begun a recovery from its recent fall, suggesting that Bitcoin could get a modest boost in the short-term as well.

BTCUSD – Hourly Chart

Key BTC Levels to Watch

Bitcoin appears to be picking up new bullish momentum after its last drop to the $9,900 area. Over the past 48 hours, the crypto has been steadily recording higher lows, while recording slightly higher highs. This is an indication that a bull rally could be imminent.

BTC is likely going to make another attempt to break into the $10,500 pivot zone, where it can get a further boost to the $11,000 region.

On the flip side, any drop from this level will immediately be supported by the 21-day SMA around 10,220. Further declines from that level will be strongly supported by the lasting $10,000 psychological level.

Total market capital: $337 billion

Bitcoin market capital: $190 billion

Bitcoin dominance: 56.3%

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Bitcoin Price Analysis — September 9

Bitcoin Price Analysis — September 9

Bitcoin (BTC) has now spent close to seven days battling with the $10,000 mark, as bulls continue to hold that line and prevent any significant decline.

It is still unclear in what direction a breakout could occur soon, but it looks like the bulls are winning despite the enduring BTC weakness.

Crypto traders always say that when bitcoin breaks above a crucial resistance, it seldom trades below that level again. Given Bitcoin’s performance in the past few days, it appears that this is the case now.

Despite the several attempts to break below the 5-digit level, the sell-off has failed to secure a close below that level. Instead, it has left several wicks behind and these wicks are starting to shorten indicating that bears are getting tired.

By tomorrow, the seventh daily candle will be completed. If that candle maintains its position above the $10k mark, a strong bullish spike could ensue afterward.

Meanwhile, for the past decade, September has held the reputation for being a red month for the benchmark cryptocurrency. That said, it would be interesting to see how things play out for Bitcoin in the near-term.

BTCUSD 4-Hour Chart

Key BTC Levels to Watch

Bitcoin remains locked in a narrow channel between $10,345 and $9,880. Given the weakening condition of bears, we could see BTC climb higher soon. Bitcoin could break the bearish sentiment if it breaks back into the $10,500-800 pivot zone, which could propel it to further highs.

On the flip side, a break and close below the $10k mark is all bears need to take Bitcoin closer to the $9,600 CME gap.

Total market capital: $332.8 billion

Bitcoin market capital: $189 billion

Bitcoin dominance: 56.9%

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Whales are Holding On To Bitcoin Despite Recent Weakness

Whales are Holding On To Bitcoin Despite Recent Weakness

The price of Bitcoin (BTC) is falling largely because the market is growing fearful of a replay of the dreaded ‘Black Thursday.’ However, considering the extent to which whales have acquired BTC over the months, a replay of that event is highly unlikely.

Still, it remains unclear what the cause of the sudden trend is. Could it be due to the acquisition of BTC by wealthy individuals as a hedge against the unknown?

It can be said that this is unlikely to be the case thanks to the extreme volatility of the cryptocurrency. An asset capable of crashing by more than $2,000 under 48 hours surely is not an excellent hedge against uncertainty.

Little wonder why equities investors laughed off the argument that Bitcoin was an anti-correlated asset to hedge a portfolio with.

Meanwhile, the narrative has shifted once again towards inflation and BTC’s usefulness as a hedge against a declining US dollar (DXY). Also, the benchmark cryptocurrency appears to have a close correlation with gold (XAU/USD), which is a strong safe-haven refuge for investors. Apart from being a good hedge against the dollar, gold gets its safe-haven appeal by giving investors private ownership over a physical commodity out of the reach of the government.

Bitcoin is even way better in this regard given its digital nature. This is why whales will continue to use it as a hedge against anything.

BTCUSD 4-Hour Chart

Key BTC Levels to Watch

Bitcoin spent the majority of its day battling with the $10,000 strong support as traders stay on the sidelines amidst intense uncertainty. The cryptocurrency broke below the support—slightly—on several occasions during the day but was quickly met with decent bullish support. This consolidation phase has endured for about four days now between the $10,500 line and the $9,880 support.

That said, it appears that bulls are starting to tire as bears keep the $9,600 CME gap in focus.

Total market capital: $322 billion

Bitcoin market capital: $185 billion

Bitcoin dominance: 57.4%

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