Ukuhweba nge-Elliot Wave Theory: Ingxenye 2

Izilinganiso ezihambayo zima phezulu naphansi kwawo wonke amagagasi.

Isithombe esingezansi sibonisa ukuthi izilinganiso ezihambayo kanye nethiyori ye-Elliot wave isebenza kanjani ngokubambisana. I-50 MA ephuzi imisa ukuya phezulu, ngaleyo ndlela iqede igagasi lokuqala futhi iqale igagasi lokulungisa lesibili. I-20 MA empunga manje iphenduka ibe usekelo futhi ibambe intengo ukuthi isuke phansi, okusho ukuthi igagasi lesibili seliphelile. Kugagasi lesithathu, i-100 MA ebomvu iqala ukusebenza futhi igagasi liyanyamalala lapho inani lisondela kulo. Ngemva kwalokho, igagasi lesine liqala futhi liphele kuphela lapho lifinyelela endaweni lapho kukhona ukuhlangana kwama-avareji ahambayo angu-20, 50 kanye ne-100 manje asebephenduke usekelo. Bese iqala igagasi lokugcina, elithatha inani elingaphezu kwe-100 MA elibushelelezi ngokubomvu.

Ungakwazi futhi ukuhwebelana ngethiyori ye-Elliot wave ngama-avareji anyakazayo ngokusebenzisa isilinganiso esinyakazayo ukuze uhlonze ukuqala kwegagasi elisha. Isikhathi esincane sokuhamba okumaphakathi okufana no-5 MA, 8 MA, 10 MA noma 20 MA sisebenza kangcono kakhulu kulelisu. Ngokuyinhloko, ulinda kuze kube yilapho intengo ihamba ngaphezu noma ngaphansi kwesilinganiso esihambayo, esiqinisekisa ukuthi igagasi elisha seliqalile. Ungakwazi ukuvula indawo kuleyo ndlela ngokushesha ngemva kwekhefu, kodwa kukhona ubungozi bokuphuma okungelona iqiniso. Ngakho-ke ngincamela ukulinda intengo ize ibuyele esilinganisweni esinyakazayo bese ngithengisa ngesitobhi - kungaba ngaphezu kwesilinganiso esinyakazayo noma ngaphezu kwegagasi elidlule eliphakeme ku-downtrend.

Igagasi liqala ngemva kokuba intengo yeqe isilinganiso esinyakazayo.

Ukuvuselela inkumbulo yakho mayelana nezilinganiso ezihambayo: Izilinganiso Zokuhwebelana Ezinyakazayo - Amasu Okuhweba Nge-Forex

Ukuhweba ngomgomo we-Elliot wave ngokusekela namazinga okumelana

Amazinga okusekela nawokumelana asetshenziswa kakhulu ekuhwebeni. Kulula ukuzibona, ngakho-ke abantu abaningi basekela okufakiwe kwabo futhi baphume kukho. Zingasetshenziswa ekuhwebeni kwebanga, kepha endabeni yethiyori ye-Elliot wave, zisetshenziswa ekuhwebeni kwezitayela. Le ndlela ifana nohlelo lwe-Darvas Box.

Njengoba sazi, ku-uptrend, uma izinga lokumelana liphukile, liphenduka libe ukusekela. Ngakho-ke lapho igagasi elikhuphukayo lale phethini liphuka ngaphezu kwezinga lokumelana, igagasi elilandelayo lokulungisa lisekelwa ukumelana kwangaphambilini. Lokhu kusho ukuthi leli zinga lizoba ukuphela kwegagasi lesibili; singathenga lapha ngokumisa noma ngaphansi kokumelana noma ngaphansi kwezinga lokuqala legagasi lokuqala. Okuphambene kusebenza ku-downtrend Elliot wave pattern.

Okubi kule ndlela ukuthi ungaqala ukuhweba kuphela ngemuva kokuphela kwegagasi lesibili. Ungabona eshadini elingezansi ukuthi phezulu kwegagasi lokuqala linikeza ukumelana, liphendukela ekusekeleni futhi libambe intengo phansi kwegagasi lesine lesigaba se-motive (Fig. 4). Esigabeni sokulungisa, inikeza ukusekela futhi yakha phansi kwegagasi elingu-A.

Izinga lokumelana legagasi lokuqala linikeza ukwesekwa kugagasi lesine lesigaba sezisusa, kanye negagasi lokuqala lesigaba sokulungisa.

Ukubuyekeza Amazinga Okusekela Nokumelana: Amazinga Okusekela Nokumelana - Amasu Okuhweba Nge-Forex

Ukuhweba umgomo we-Elliot wave ngezinkomba ze-Stochastic ne-RSI

I-RSI ingenye inkomba edume kakhulu phakathi kwabahwebi abangochwepheshe. Nokho, ngikhetha inkomba Stochastic. Yize ifana ne-RSI, ngokubona kwami, isebenza kangcono. Ikhombisa phezulu naphansi ngokushesha kune-RSI. Zombili zifundeka kalula futhi zizihumushe; uthenga lapho izinkomba zifika endaweni edayiswe ngokweqile (30 nge-RSI kanye ne-20 ye-Stochastic), futhi udayise lapho zifika endaweni ethengwe ngokweqile ngo-70 nge-RSI kanye no-80 nge-Stochastic.

Ungenza okufanayo uma usebenzisa lezi zinkomba ku-Elliot wave theory. Uma lezi zinkomba sezithengiwe ngokweqile kusho ukuthi i-up wave isiphelile, ngakho-ke, kufanele uthengise. Uma izinkomba sezidayiswe ngokweqile kusho ukuthi igagasi lokulandelela seliphelile futhi ungakwazi ukuthenga ukuze ugibele igagasi elilandelayo ukhuphuke.

Iphethini yegagasi ye-Elliot isebenza kahle uma ihlanganiswe ne-Stochastics

Ishadi elingenhla lichaza lelisu ngokucacile kakhulu; njengoba ubona i-Stochastic iyinkomba enhle kakhulu. Hlanza bese uphinda izikhathi ezinhlanu kumagagasi amahlanu esigaba esisheshayo. Bese wenza okufanayo ngamagagasi amathathu esigaba sokulungisa. Ngisho noma umehluko phakathi kwamazinga athengwa kakhulu nathengiswe ngokweqile kulezi zinkomba ezimbili uhlale ufana, ngephethini yokwenyuka kwamagagasi ayashesha, ngaleyo ndlela ukuzuza kwentengo kuba kukhudlwana ngesikhathi i-Stochastic ne-RSI ifinyelela emazingeni athenge ngokweqile. Usebenzisa indlela efanayo kodwa ngakolunye uhlangothi ngephethini yegagasi ye-Elliot ephansi.

Siyazi ukuthi amathrendi amaningi ayenzeka kumagagasi, ngakho-ke ithiyori ye-Elliot wave iwusizo kakhulu. Kodwa ukuze uyiguqule ibe isu, kufanele uyihlanganise nezinye izinkomba ezifana nalezi ezichazwe ngenhla. Uma ngikala izinkomba kuye ngokuthi zisebenza kahle kangakanani ne-EWT, ngokubona kwami, kuzohamba kanje:

1. I-EW enezilinganiso ezihambayo
2. EW nge-Stochastics kanye ne-RSI
3. EW enamazinga okusekela/ukumelana kanye
4. EW nge-Fibonacci

Uma ubheka amashadi angenhla ungabona ukuthi ngigcina iningi lalezi zinkomba zivuliwe, ngakho-ke akudingeki ngiqagele noma ngikhethe isu elilodwa phezu kwelinye. Ngibona nje ukuthi amagagasi aqhubeka kanjani nokuthi iyiphi inkomba esebenza okwamanje kuleyo phethini ethile, ngakho-ke ngiphakamisa ukuthi wenze okufanayo.