US Dollar Index Imalimbana ndi Msika ndi Fed Outlook Diverge

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Mlozera wa dollar yaku US, womwe umadziwika kuti DXY index, wakumana ndi zovuta zazikulu chifukwa ukutsikira pamlingo wofunikira kwambiri, zomwe zikuwonetsa kusagwirizana pakati pa msika ndi momwe bungwe la US Federal Reserve limayendera pazandalama.

Pamsonkhano wawo waposachedwapa, a Malo osungirako zachilengedwe adasankha kusunga chiwongola dzanja pamiyezo yawo yamakono. Komabe, adadabwitsa msika ndi njira yowonjezereka ya hawkish powonetsa maulendo awiri owonjezera a 2023. Chisankhochi chikuwonetsa nkhawa za Fed chifukwa cha kuchepa kwaulesi kwa inflation. Kuphatikiza apo, zinthu monga kulimba kwachuma pakukhwimitsa zinthu zachuma, kukwera kwangongole kwaposachedwa ku US, komanso kuchepa kwa ziwopsezo zamabanki zitha kukhudza kwambiri chitsogozo cha Fed.

Maonedwe Osiyanasiyana: Fed vs. Market

Ngakhale chiwembu cha madontho a Fed chikuwonetsa kuthekera kwa kukwera kwamitengo iwiri pofika kumapeto kwa chaka, msika udali wokayikakayika, mitengo yamtengo wapatali yosakwana 100% mwayi wokwera kamodzi mu 2023 komanso kuyembekezera kutsika komwe kungachitike posachedwa. chaka. Wapampando wa Fed Powell, komabe, anagogomezera kuti kuchepetsedwa kwa mlingo kudzachitika kokha pamene kukwera kwa mitengo kwatsika kutanthawuza komanso kutsika kwambiri, zomwe zingatenge zaka zingapo.

Mitengo yamtengo wapatali pamsika imachokera ku chikhulupiriro chakuti zolosera za kukwera kwa mitengo ya Fed nthawi zonse zimapeputsa kukwera kwa inflation. Komanso, zizindikiro monga kukwera kwa mitengo yamtengo wapatali ndi mitengo ya kunja kwa dziko zikusonyeza kale kufewetsa kwa ntchito zachuma. Ngakhale akuluakulu a Fed adakweza kukula kwachuma kwa 2023 ndipo akuyembekeza kuchepa kwapang'onopang'ono kwa inflation, akuyembekezerabe kuti chiwerengero cha PCE chamtengo wapatali chichepetse kuchoka pa 4.7% mpaka 3.9% kumapeto kwa 2023, poyerekeza ndi 3.6% pa- chiŵerengero cha chaka chomwe chinawonedwa mu March.

Kodi US Dollar Index Ikupita ku 101.50?

Lachisanu lapitalo, index ya dollar yaku US idatsika mpaka 4-sabata yotsika pafupifupi 102.00 isanachire pang'ono mpaka 102.3. dola amalonda aziyang'anira kuti awone momwe DXY imayambira sabata m'maola ochepa. Izi zati, titha kuyang'ana kupitilizabe kupitilira kwa 101.50 otsika.

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