Panakō o ʻEnelani: Hoʻonui hou nā Virus i ka hiki ʻole o ka hoʻokele waiwai

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Ua hoʻolaha ʻo UK ma ka Poalua ua koho hou ʻia ʻo Jonathan Haskel i ke Kōmike Hoʻolālā Kālā Waiwai (Bank) ʻEnelani (BoE). Ua koho ʻia ʻo Catherine L. Mann i ka MPC o ka Panakō o ʻEnelani. ʻAʻole e loli kēia loli i ka hana a ka paona Pelekane e kūʻē i kāna mea hoʻokūkū nui. Ke kālepa nei ka lua GBP / USD ma 1.3895 i ka manawa kākau, ma lalo o 0.25 pakeneka i ka lā. I kēia manawa, ma 0.8560, ke kau nei ka pālua o EUR / GBP i nā loaʻa liʻiliʻi o kēlā me kēia lā.

Ma ka hālāwai o kēia pule, e hoʻomau ka BOE i kahi leo hoihoi. Eia nō naʻe, hāʻawi ʻia i nā pōpilikia, ʻo ia nō ke kolu o ka mahele o ka maʻi, i alakaʻi ʻia ai i ka huikau i ka hāpai ʻana i ke kapu, hiki wawe ke ʻōlelo ʻia e hoʻopili ʻia ke kulekele kālā a i ʻole e neʻe mua ʻia ka piʻi mua.

Hoʻokuʻu ʻia nā ʻike hoʻokele waiwai mai ka hālāwai hope loa. Ua hoʻonui ʻia ka ulu ʻana o GDP i + 2.3% y / y i ʻApelila, ka pae kiʻekiʻe loa mai Iulai 2020, ʻoiai ua hoʻomāmā ʻia nā kapu e pili ana i ka maʻi pandemi. Ua hoʻonui ʻia ka nui o nā lawelawe e + 3.4%, ʻoiai ua emi ka nui o nā hana a me nā hana kūkulu e -1.3% a me -2%. Ua hoʻomau ʻo GDP o ʻApelila i ka 3.7% ma lalo o ka pae pre-pandemike i ʻike ʻia ma Pepeluali 2020. Eia nō naʻe, he 1.2 pp ia ma luna o kona piko mua o ka hoʻōla hou ʻana iā ʻOkakopa 2020. Kuhi ʻia nā ʻikepili ma ʻApelila i nā makaʻikaʻi e piʻi aʻe ana no ka wānana o ka Bank of England o 4.3% QoQ 2Q21. Hoʻolālā ka Confederation of British Industry (CBI) i ka ulu GDP o + 8.2% i kēia makahiki a + 6.1% i kēia makahiki aʻe.

Ke kali nei nā mea hoʻopukapuka i ka hālāwai o Bank of England ma ke ʻano he GBP / USD Rebounds

ʻOiai ke hoʻihoʻi nei i kahi noi mai nā lows swing lā, ʻo ka Pālua GBP / USD mālama i kāna leo i hāʻawi ʻia i hele i ke kau o ʻAmelika Hui Pū ʻIa. ʻIke hope ʻia ka pālua e kālepa ana ma kahi o 1.3885-80, ʻoi aku ma mua o 0.30 pakeneka i ka lā. Ua kānalua hoʻi nā mea hoʻopukapuka e hana i nā ʻoihana pīhoihoi, makemake e noho mālie i mua o ka hālāwai o ka Bank of England i ka Pōʻalima.

ʻO nā hopohopo e pili ana i ke kū ʻana o EU-UK ma luna o ka Hola ʻIlani ʻĀkau, ma ka ʻaoʻao ʻē aʻe, ua loli nui i ka paona. I ke kūkulu hou loa ʻana, ua haʻi ʻo Kuhina Nui Brexit Pelekane David Frost, "Ke hoʻāʻo nei mākou e loaʻa nā pane, akā ʻaʻole pili nui ka EU." Ua ʻōlelo ʻo Frost e kiola ʻia ana ke kaulike lahilahi o ka ʻAilike ʻIlani ʻAmelike ʻAmelike.

Ma waena o nā kūlana maikaʻi ʻole, ua hiki i ka GBP / USD paʻa ke hoʻokumu i kahi kākoʻo pae haʻahaʻa. Maikaʻi ke ʻike ʻia ka ʻike COVID-19, e like me ka ʻōlelo a ke Kuhina olakino Pelekane ʻo Matt Hancock, ka mea i manaʻo he hiki ke hāpai loa ʻia ka laka ʻana ma ʻEnelani i ka lā Iulai 19. ma ka liʻiliʻi no kēia manawa.