Bitcoin Cash (BCH) Rebounds above $500 Support, Resumes up Trending

Bitcoin Cash (BCH) Rebounds above $500 Support, Resumes up Trending

Key Highlights
BCH recovers from a downtrend above $467
The altcoin resumes a fresh uptrend

Bitcoin Cash (BCH) Current Statistics
The current price: $696.72
Market Capitalization: $14,604,040,003
Trading Volume: $14,604,040,003
Major supply zones: $700, $720, $740
Major demand zones: $250, $230, $210

Bitcoin Cash (BCH) Price Analysis May 31, 2021
On May 23, Bitcoin Cash fell to the low $467 as bulls bought the dips. The altcoin has recovered from its downtrend but the upward move is stalled at the $800 high. Since May 24, BCH has been compelled to a sideways move below the $800 resistance. On the upside, if the bulls break the resistance at 800, the coin will rally to $1,000 high. Presently, BCH is rising to retest the resistance at $800 high.

BCH/USD – Daily Chart

Bitcoin Cash Technical Indicators Reading
The coin has risen to level 42 of the Relative Strength Index period 14. The crypto is in the downtrend zone and below the centerline 50. The 21-day and 50-day SMAs are sloping downward indicating the downtrend.

BCH/USD -4 Hour Chart

Conclusion
Bitcoin Cash has recovered from the bear market. The uptrend is facing a major resistance at $800 high. Meanwhile, On May 24 uptrend; a retraced candle body tested the 61.8 % Fibonacci retracement level. The retracement indicates that BCH will rise to level 1.618 Fibonacci extension or level $973. 54


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EUR/USD Throwback!

EUR/USD Throwback!

EUR/USD dropped and now it has reached and retested a support area. Technically, the pair is somehow expected to increase as the DXY is at resistance. Still, it remains to see how the price will react after the US data will be released today.

The US data could shake the market in the short term, intraday. EUR/USD increases right now only because the DXY plunged in the last hours. Some poor US data reported today could lift EUR/USD.

EUR/USD H4 Technical Analysis!

EUR/USD registered only false breakdowns with great separation through the weekly pivot (1.2183) signaling a potential rebound. It has also registered a false breakdown with great separation below the immediate uptrend line confirming strong demand.

The outlook is still bullish as long as it stays above the uptrend line. Its failure to stabilize under the weekly pivot point could attract more buyers in the short term.

Conclusion!

Staying above the weekly pivot point (1.2183) and above the uptrend line could bring an upside momentum in the short term.

 

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Olimpiu Tuns

Olimpiu Tuns graduated with a Master in Business Administration and is a seasoned Market Analyst / Trader / Trainer with 10 years of experience in the financial markets having expertise in Forex, Commodities, Index, Cryptocurrencies, and Stocks. He worked as a Market Analyst for three major brokerage companies, as a prop trader, and as a contributor/content creator for news portals and educational platforms.

Full Analytics of our VIP Signals (why you should join)

Full Analytics of our VIP Signals (why you should join)

I´ve been postponing doing this because I really wanted to show you in a very detailed post what our VIP signals are all about.

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AUDUSD Upside Move Capped by 0.7650 Barriers Despite USD Weakness

AUDUSD Upside Move Capped by 0.7650 Barriers Despite USD Weakness

AUDUSD Price Analysis – April 8

The AUDUSD pair remained above 0.7600 level for the first half of Thursday’s trading, but without gaining any firm upside traction while being capped by the barrier at 0.7650. The rise was aided by the current risk-on mood, which weakened the US dollar’s safe-haven status and boosted perceived riskier currencies, such as the Australian dollar.

Key Levels
Resistance Levels: 0.7850, 0.7725, 0.7650
Support Levels: 0.7531, 0.7461, 0.7220
AUDUSD Long term Trend: Ranging
On the daily AUDUSD time frame, we can see that the moving averages of 5 and 13 are under the trendline resistance which acts as a barrier. Bulls are also keeping an eye on the new 0.7650 level high for a possible upside breakout.

In terms of technical analysis, a simple split beyond the barrier at 0.765 favors bulls going north. RSI conditions, on the other hand, may pose a challenge to the bulls after that. As per the RSI trading beneath its midlines of 50, it signals a more consolidative stance and likely declines on the downside.
AUDUSD Short term Trend: Ranging
From level the end of the prior month, the AUDUSD has been trading horizontally, with an initial ranging intraday bias. To extend the correction to the 0.7650 zones, at least one more shift down is necessary. It’s worth noting that the high RSI conditions past the midline zone increase the likelihood of the pair moving higher.

A break of the 0.7557 level on the downside might move the downside bias from 0.5506 to 0.7064 at 0.6462 levels for a 38.2 percent retracement. AUDUSD is turned neutral as it retreated after hitting 0.7650. Another rise is mildly in favor as long as 0.7557minor support holds. Above 0.7650 will resume the rebound from 0.7531 short-term bottom to 0.7850 resistance.

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USD/JPY Slumps to Level 109.47, May Resume Up Trending

USD/JPY Slumps to Level 109.47, May Resume Up Trending

Key Resistance Levels: 111.000, 112.000, 113.000
Key Support Levels: 104.000, 103.000, 102.000

USD/JPY Price Long-term Trend: Bullish
The USD/JPY pair has continued its upward move but it is currently facing rejection from level 111.00. The pair is retracing and has found support above the 21-day SMA. Meanwhile, on March 31 uptrend; a retraced candlestick tested the 50% Fibonacci retracement level. The retracement implies that the Yen will rise to level 2.0 Fibonacci extension or level 113.49.

USD/JPY – Daily Chart

Daily Chart Indicators Reading:
The pair has fallen to level 57 of the Relative Strength Index period 14. The pair is in the uptrend zone and above the centerline 50. The 21-day SMA and 50-day SMA are sloping northward indicating the uptrend.

USD/JPY Medium-term Trend: Bearish
On the 4-hour chart, the pair is in a downward move after rejection from level 111.00. On April 5 downtrend; a retraced candle body tested the 50% Fibonacci retracement level. It indicates that the market will fall to level 2.0 or level 109.17.

USD/JPY – 4 Hour Chart

4-hour Chart Indicators Reading
USD/JPY pair has fallen below the 20% range of the daily stochastic. It indicates that the pair is in a bearish momentum. It also indicates that the market has fallen to the oversold region. The 21-day and 50-day SMAs are sloping downward indicating a downtrend.

General Outlook for USD/JPY
The Yen has been in a downward move. From the price action, the Yen has fallen and it is testing the 2.0 Fibonacci extension or 109.47 low. The pair will resume an uptrend if the current support holds. The market will decline to level 108.40 if the selling pressure persists.


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Unequal Vaccination Rate May Jeopardize Global Recovery – ECB

Unequal Vaccination Rate May Jeopardize Global Recovery – ECB

The unequal rate with which countries are conducting vaccination campaigns against COVID-19 poses the greatest threat to the global economic recovery, Ignazio Visco, a member of the Governing Council of the European Central Bank and Italy’s central bank governor, warned in an interview with the Financial Times.

“We need to maintain close international cooperation within the G20 to avoid the different stages of the vaccination campaign in different countries leading to excessive disparities in the economies of the countries concerned,”

“Increasing the issuance of the IMF’s Special Drawing Rights to help developing countries recover will be one of the main topics of discussion at the meeting.”

“But now the most important thing is to vaccinate people.” “The main instrument we have at the moment is neither monetary nor fiscal, it is vaccination.”
France Raises the Deficit, Debt Predictions for 2021, Cuts GDP Estimates to 5%
Speaking on LCI TV, French Finance Minister Bruno Le Maire on Sunday revised the forecast for France’s government deficit from 8.5% to 9.0%, Reuters reported.

The diplomat also said that public debt this year will reach 118% of GDP, compared with his latest forecast of 115%, and also revised the forecast for GDP growth for this year from 6% to 5%, the report said.

Gloomy economic forecasts show isolation from the third national coronavirus (COVID-19) in a European country. Given the broad strength of the US dollar and serious problems for Brussels, the news should weigh on EUR/USD prices.

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WTI flags bearish below the weekly pivot

WTI flags bearish below the weekly pivot

Key Resistance: 62.00
Key Support: 59.50

WTI dipped hard last week in a -12.29 move from high to low and this Sunday opened flat but the upside is capped by the 61.50 to 62.00 level which confluences with the weekly pivot.

This level is also a previous key level from back in February that also capped WTI prices.

We are targeting the previous weekly lows on a day trade on this great short setup for a bearish continuation.

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USOIL (WTI) Is in a Downtrend, Targets Level $55.52

USOIL (WTI) Is in a Downtrend, Targets Level $55.52

Key Resistance Levels: $66.00, $70.00, $74.00
Key Support Levels: $48.00,$44.00,$40.00

USOIL (WTI) Long-term Trend: Bearish
USOIL is in a downward move after the rejection from $68 high. The price has fallen to the low of $58.25. The price has broken the 21-day SMA and it is approaching the 50-day SMA. The selling pressure will persist if price breaks below the SMAs.

USOIL – Daily Chart

Daily Chart Indicators Reading:
USOIL (WTI) is at level 43 of Relative Strength Index period 14. It indicates that price is in the downtrend zone and it is below the centerline 50. The 21-day and 50-day SMAs are sloping northward indicating the uptrend.

USOIL (WTI) Medium-term bias: Bearish
On the 4 hour chart, the USOIL is in a downward move. On March 10 downtrend; a retraced candle body tested the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level. The retracement indicates that the USOIL will fall to level 2.618 Fibonacci extensions or the low of $55.52.

USOIL – 4 Hour Chart

4-hour Chart Indicators Reading
WTI Crude oil has fallen below the 30% range of the daily stochastic. The crude oil is in a bearish momentum. The SMAs are sloping downward indicating the downtrend.


General Outlook for USOIL (WTI)
USOIL (WTI) is in a downward move. WTI crude oil has been trading in the overbought region. The price has fallen to the low of $58. The USOIL is now consolidating above the $58 support. The selling pressure will resume if the support is breached.


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USDCHF breaks support

USDCHF breaks support

Key Support:0.9242
Key Resistance: 0.9190

Long Term View
The USDCHF broke with the mid to long term bullish structure this week and has been sitting at the next key level which confluences with the weekly pivot for the past couple of days. Sells are in play given that the DXY (US Dollar Index) has broken too with a key support.

1H Chart Analysis
The break of the 0.9240 brings sellers in whilst the US Dollar is also bearish now. We are targeting the next key level for a nice 1 to 2 R trade

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US Dollar (DXY) breaks with massive key level

US Dollar (DXY) breaks with massive key level

The DXY (US Dollar Currency Index) broke during the Asian session with a massive key level; the base/support level from November 2020. This is important because in an almost 12 month bearish market price has never pulled back above the previous base.

This comes from a rejection of a 12 year bullish structure (chart below) that, because of how fundamentally bearish the US Dollar is, was the make it or brake it level.
Now that the DXY has rallied from those lows and printed a new higher high after printing a higher low, the short-mid term structure is clearly bullish.

Having said that, the break above 92.20 was capped by the 92.50 level and now price has pulled back below that November 2020 base.
This by no means is a sign of weakness in my opinion; but rather a possible bear trap for a pull back to retest the previous high around the 91.60 level which confluences with the weekly pivot and the 38.2% of the full move (see chart below).

Should price pull back to this level, sellers will have trouble swiping all those buy orders and if this level holds we will look for opportunities to buy USDs on a super high probability trade.

This is what we do,  this is what we need to focus on, being patient and get in hard when these scenarios play out. The most likely markets that we will trade USD longs will be short metals, short EURUSD or long USDJPY-USDMXN.

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