Market Analysis – December 9
The EUR/CHF pair has been gaining steady upward momentum, largely driven by the widening divergence between the monetary policies of the European Central Bank (ECB) and the Swiss National Bank (SNB). With the ECB maintaining interest rates around 2.2% as of November, while Switzerland continues to hold rates near 0%, the yield advantage clearly favors the euro. This interest-rate gap has strengthened EUR demand and contributed to the persistent weakness of the Swiss franc.
As a result, the EUR/CHF pair has hovered near a three-month high, reflecting the market’s response to Switzerland’s ultra-low domestic rates and continued policy accommodation by the SNB. Additionally, the inherent nature of both currencies plays a role: CHF is a traditional safe-haven asset, attracting flows during periods of fear or risk aversion, while the euro is more of a risk-on currency, benefiting when economic activity and investor confidence rise.
This combination of policy divergence, yield advantage, and differing currency characteristics is helping maintain bullish momentum on the EUR/CHF pair.
EUR/CHF Continues to Sustain Upward Traction (Long-Term Trend: Bullish Recovery)
Building on the previous analysis, the EUR/CHF pair has continued to advance, gaining momentum toward the critical 0.94000 resistance level. As the market approaches this key zone, a mild phase of profit-taking has emerged, causing a slight pullback from the resistance area.
Despite this temporary retracement, the bulls have successfully maintained control, holding the price around 0.93730. If buyers continue to keep support levels ascending, the pair stands a solid chance of retesting—and potentially breaking above—the 0.94000 resistance level in the sessions ahead.
EUR/CHF Short-Term Trend: Bullish
On the lower timeframe, recent market behavior suggests that the EUR/CHF pair is beginning to consolidate around the newly established 0.9370 price level. The latest Bollinger Bands readings also support this view, as the bands are tightening—an early signal of developing consolidation.
The slight recoil of the upper band, combined with the current sideways movement of price, highlights the presence of strong resistance near the 0.94000 level. For now, the pair is likely to remain in consolidation within this zone while traders assess the strength of bullish momentum at this key area.
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