Ukuhweba Nge-Forex Ngokuphikisana Nezinketho kanambambili: Iyiphi Engcono? (Ingxenye 2)

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ITHELELELI

IZIPHUMA

“Ukuze uphumelele, kufanele uhlale ukhumbula ukuthi ukuphela kwendlela ongaqhubeka ngayo nokusebenza ukuvikela i-akhawunti yakho ekubuyiseleni emuva okukhulu noma, okubi nakakhulu, ukucekelwa phansi. Ukugwema ukulahlekelwa okukhulu yinto eyodwa ebaluleke kakhulu yokuwina okukhulu njengomqageli. Awukwazi ukulawula ukuthi sikhuphuka kangakanani isitoko, kodwa ezimweni eziningi, ukuthi uthatha ukulahlekelwa okuncane noma ukulahlekelwa okukhulu kuyisinqumo sakho ngokuphelele. Kunento eyodwa esingaqinisekisa ngayo: uma ungakwazi ukufunda ukwamukela ukulahlekelwa okuncane, ngokushesha noma kamuva uzolahlekelwa kakhulu. Akunakugwenywa.” - UMark Minervini (Umthombo: Tradersonline-mag.com)

Lokhu kumane kuwukuphikisa izinganekwane ezizungezile ongakhetha kukho kanambambili (okubizwa nangokuthi ama-fixed odds), ukuvula amehlo ethu kumaqiniso.

Izimpikiswano Ezivuna Izinketho kanambambili
Ngenxa yokulula kwayo okuzwakalayo, abantu abaningi bakhangwa okukhethwa kukho kanambambili, becabanga lokho Forex kudinga kancane ukujwayela. Eqinisweni, ochwepheshe abaningi ababizwa ngezinketho kanambambili baye babhala izimpikiswano ezinengqondo ezivuna izinketho kanambambili, futhi ngokwezinga elithile zilungile ngokwengxenye.

Ubucabanga ukuthi izinketho kanambambili (BO) zinezinzuzo ezithile kune-Forex? KULUNGILE, ake sihlole izinzuzo ezimbalwa ochwepheshe abathi i-BO inazo futhi sibone ukuthi izinzuzo azikho yini ku-Forex.

Inganekwane 1
I-BO isuselwe esikhathini futhi i-FX isuselwe enanini. Iningi labathengisi be-FX alinaki isici sesikhathi ekuhwebeni kwabo kuyilapho abahwebi be-BO besazi isikhathi.

Reality
Imakethe ayinandaba noma uyahweba ngokuya ngenani noma isikhathi. Ungangena unesikhathi esithile noma inani elithile engqondweni, kodwa lokho akuqinisekisi lutho. Izokwenza lokho ezokwenza ngaphandle kokuba nawe engqondweni, futhi lokhu kungase kuvune wena noma ngokumelene nawe, noma ngabe uhweba nge-BO noma i-FX. Ukwenza kwakho isikhathi kungase kungalungile ngokushesha noma kamuva noma ungalokothi. Isikhathi sakho singaba silungile ngokushesha noma kamuva noma ungalokothi. Lokhu kunendima encane ongayidlala empumelelweni yakho.

Inganekwane 2
Abathengisi be-BO baphoqeleka ukuthi baphume esikhundleni ngesikhathi esinikeziwe kungaba ngokuwina noma ukulahlekelwa. Njengoba bephoqelekile ukwenza lokhu, banenzuzo ngaphezu kwabathengisi be-FX abangenqaba ukuphuma esikhundleni ngokuwina noma ukulahlekelwa ngenxa yokuhaha nokwesaba.

Reality
Yebo abathengisi be-FX abayizimfundamakhwela bangabambelela ezikhundleni ezilahlekile futhi bakhiphe abawinile, okuyindlela yokuhweba embi. Kodwa abahwebi abanesizotha banciphisa ukulahlekelwa kwabo futhi banikeze abawinile babo inkululeko ethile. Ukuphoqwa ukuba uphume ngesikhathi esinikeziwe akukwenzi umhwebi ocebe kakhulu; uma kungenjalo, amasistimu e-automated azoba ngeyesibili kokunye. Ukuphoqeleka ukuthi uphume njalo ngamazinga anqunywe kusengaphambili ngeke kusize uma indlela yakho yokuhweba iyimbi futhi imakethe inokulindela okungekuhle ngokwemvelo. Isiyalo osiphoqelela kuwena sanelisa kakhulu kunesiyalo umuntu asibekela sona.

Abadayisi be-BO babhekana nenkinga yokuphoqelelwa ukuba baphume ngaphandle kwentando yabo, nakuba indaba ebaluleke kakhulu kuyinzuzo, okusaphunyuka abaningi naphezu kokuphoqwa ukuphuma ngezikhathi zokuphelelwa yisikhathi. Ku-FX, sikhululekile ukuphuma ngesikhathi sethu esikahle. Singase siqhubeke nokwenza inzuzo ukuze siyengeze. Kusukela ngomhla ka-Mashi 3 – 11, 2015, ngabe ngizuze cishe ama-pips angu-500 uma kwenzeka ngihamba isikhathi eside ku-USDCHF futhi ngivumele inzuzo yami isebenze.
Ukuhweba Nge-Forex Ngokuphikisana Nezinketho kanambambili: Iyiphi Engcono? (Ingxenye 2) Inganekwane 3
I-BO isiza ukwehlisa imizwelo ngoba ingozi nomvuzo kanye nokuphelelwa yisikhathi konke kumisiwe futhi kunqunywe kusengaphambili.

Reality
Bonke abathengisi kuzo zonke izimakethe zezimali abagonyiwe emizweni, ngakho-ke i-BO injalo. Impumelelo yaphakade ekuhwebeni ihlanganisa isilinganiso esithile sokulawula izikhundla zethu. Lokhu akunakwenzeka e-BO, ngoba uhlala ungenakuzisiza uma isikhundla sesivuliwe, ulinde ukuphelelwa yisikhathi.

Ngokucabangela izinganekwane namaqiniso angenhla, ngingathanda ukufaka amanye amanga abathengisi be-BO abawaphethe emakhanda abo kanye namaqiniso mayelana namanga.

Ukunemba Okuphakeme Okukhohlisayo
Ngokomthombo othile, i-BO ngokwemvelo yayo idinga isilinganiso esikhulu kunokuwina njengoba ukubheja ngakunye kubalwa 70% - 90% inzuzo ngokumelene no-100% wokulahlekelwa. Ngakho-ke lokhu kusho ukuthi udinga ukuzuza njengomthengisi we-BO izinga lokuwina elingaphezu kuka-50% ngokwesilinganiso esingu-54% - 58% ukuze uvele uphule.

Iqiniso liwukuthi ngokuhamba kwesikhathi akekho ongafinyelela ukunemba okungaphezu kuka-50%. 80%, 90%, 75% njll. hit rates zingamanga ekugcineni. Angase abe yiqiniso uma ubheka emuva, kodwa hhayi ezimakethe ezibukhoma. Ngisho nama-scalpers abeka engcupheni i-500 USD ukuze azuze i-2 USD ngokuhweba ngakunye ekuhwebeni kwe-FX angabonakala enamazinga aphezulu okushaya, kodwa lokhu kuzokwehla kakhulu uma amazinga okushaya encishisiwe.

Kuwubuwula ukucabanga ukuthi kukhona amasu ekhompyutha, azenzakalelayo, angokwezifiso, angaziwa, ezinkanyezi, angokomoya, engqondo, okuzikhethela, ayisisekelo, aphathwayo, njll. asenza sikwazi ukuthola izinga eliphezulu elingaphezu kuka-50% esikhathini esizayo. Abathengisi nabathengisi be-novice bangasitshela kanjalo, kodwa abantu abaningi balahlekelwe imali ngezinhlelo ezithenjiswe ukuthi zizothwala ukunemba okuphezulu kakhulu ngoba umzuzu olandelayo (ikusasa) awukwazi ukubikezelwa. Okuthile okuzwakala kukuhle ngokombono kungahluleka ekusebenzeni futhi lokho okubukeka njengohlelo oluhle kakhulu kungachithwa yisici esingaphezu kwamandla ethu.

Abathengisi be-BO bavame ukukhohliswa ekukholelweni ukuthi bangakwazi ukuzuza izinga lokushaywa kwe-70% noma ngaphezulu unomphela. Ungakwenza lokho ngokuphonsa uhlamvu lwemali ngokungapheli. Kungakhathaliseki ukuthi lihle kangakanani noma liyinkimbinkimbi kangakanani isu lakho noma inkomba, uqinisekiswa kuphela izinga lokushaya elingu-50% noma ngaphansi ngokuhamba kwesikhathi. Lapho uphonsa uhlamvu lwemali ngokungapheli, isabelo phakathi kwamakhanda nemisila sizolingana ku-50/50.

Noma kunjalo, kungase kube nezikhathi lapho amakhanda ezoshaywa ngaphezu kwemisila phakathi kwamasonto ambalwa noma izinyanga (noma ngisho neminyaka). Uthola amakhanda izikhathi ezingu-10, nomsila izikhathi ezi-2. Bese ukhanda ezinye izikhathi eziyisi-8 bese umsila izikhathi ezi-3. Bese ekhanda izikhathi eziyisi-9 nemisila izikhathi ezi-4. Lokhu kuzokunikeza umbono ongamanga wokuthi unendlela yokuhweba enembayo, ngaphandle kokuthi wazi ukuthi kuwina imivimbo ebangela lokho. Esikhathini eside, izinto zizojika ngenye indlela futhi ufinyelele ku-50% ngoba imisila izoqala ukushaywa ngaphezu kwamakhanda (njengokuthola imisila izikhathi ezingu-9 namakhanda izikhathi ezingu-2).

Okuwukuphela kwendlela yokusinda ukwenza imali eningi ngezikhathi zokuwina kunaleyo olahlekelwa yizikhathi zokulahlekelwa. Ingabe i-BO iyakuvumela lokhu?

Ukukhohlisa Kokuphathwa Kwemali
Ukuphathwa kwemali kubaluleke kakhulu ekuhwebeni noma yiziphi izimakethe zezezimali, ngakho-ke abathengisi be-BO bathi bangakwazi ukuqhubeka nezindlela ezinhle zokuphatha imali. Inkinga yilena: ingabe indlela yokuphatha imali enhle ingakusiza kugeyimu lapho ubungozi bakho buzohlala buphezulu kunemiklomelo yakho? Ungasinda kanjani kugeyimu lapho uzokhokhelwa khona kuphela u-70 noma 80 USD ngo-100 USD ngamunye engcupheni yakho?

Uma uwina uthola u-80 USD, kodwa uma ulahlekelwa, ulahlekelwa ngu-100 USD. Ingabe lokho kuyakukhanga? Ikuphi ukuphatha imali ongakusebenzisa?

Akukhathalekile ukuthi ubeka engcupheni u-1% noma u-0.5% noma u-2% ngokuhweba ngakunye - umane uzuza ngaphansi kwalokho onakho kungakhathaliseki ukuthi wenzani. Ukuphatha imali kunengqondo kuphela uma ukulahlekelwa kwakho kukuncane kunezinzuzo zakho, hhayi ngenye indlela.

Ake sithi ukhokhelwa u-90 USD nge-100 USD ngayinye (ngoba lokhu okuphezulu kakhulu umthengisi ophana kakhulu angakunikeza) futhi ubeka ukuhweba okungu-100 ngonyaka.

Masisebenzise izivivinyo eziyi-100 ngesilinganiso senkokhelo esingu-90% (abathengi abaningi bakhokha kuphela u-50% - 80% wemali esengozini). Ake sithi unemali engaba ngu-10,000; sicabanga ukuthi ukuphathwa kwemali kungu-1% ngokuhweba ngakunye. 100 x 100 = 10,000.

Uwina u-50%
$ 90 X 50 = $ 4,500

Ulahlekelwa ngu-50%
-$100 X 50 = -$5,000

Ingabe lokhu kuhlale kunengqondo noma kunengqondo?

Ku-FX, singabeka engcupheni i-50 USD ngokuhweba ngakunye ukuze sizuze u-200 USD. Ngalokhu, singalahlekelwa u-75% wezohwebo zethu futhi senze imali.

-50 USD X 75 = -3,750 USD (ukulahlekelwa)

200 USD X 25 = 5,000 USD (wina)

Ingabe lokhu akuwenzi umqondo?
Ukuhweba Nge-Forex Ngokuphikisana Nezinketho kanambambili: Iyiphi Engcono? (Ingxenye 2) Inkohliso yoMgembuli
Okuwukuphela kwendlela yokujabulela impumelelo yesikhathi eside ku-BO ukusebenzisa izindlela zokulinganisa ze-Martingale, ezikwenza ube kabili isigxobo sakho esilandelayo ukumboza ukulahlekelwa okudlule (futhi lokhu akwethuli noma iyiphi inkatho enkulu ngokwakho). Sicela useshe ulwazi ku-inthanethi ukuze wazi ukuthi iyini i-Martingale nokuthi isebenza kanjani.

I-Martingale ayilungele abadayisi abaningi ngoba abanayo imali eyanele. Lokhu kuyinkinga enkulu. Abathengisi abaningi kakhulu bavula ama-akhawunti anezimali ezincane kakhulu, futhi ngaphansi kwezimo ezinjalo, ukuphathwa kahle kwemali akukwazi ukwenziwa.

Ngeshwa, labo abanama-akhawunti amakhulu abaqondi imiqondo yokulinganisa isikhundla esihle kakhulu noma bahluleke ukuhlonipha imiqondo.

Lokhu kusiholela emangeni oMgembuli. Uma usemgqeni wokulahlekelwa, ucabanga ukuthi amathuba akho okuwina ayathuthuka ngezikhundla ezilandelayo, njengoba ezangaphambilini ziwukulahlekelwa. Ucabanga ukuthi abawinile baseduze. Ukuphinda kabili izitezi zakho ngokulahlekelwa ngakunye kukhulisa ukungabi nandaba kwakho futhi kuqede i-akhawunti yakho ngokushesha.

Mhlawumbe ngemva kokulahlekelwa ukuhweba oku-4, okubize u-2,000 USD, uphinda kabili isabelo sakho sibe ngu-4,000 USD. Ungase ube nokulahlekelwa oku-5 okulandelanayo ngoba usesekuphumeleleni kokulahlekelwa.

Ngisho noma ulinda ukulahlekelwa okungu-4 ngokulandelana ngaphambi kokufaka engozini u-20% we-akhawunti yakho ukuze ubuyisele ukulahlekelwa kwakamuva, usabhekene nenkinga yomgembuli ngoba ukuhweba kwakho okulandelayo kungase kube ukulahlekelwa, futhi lokhu akuhlangene nalokho okwenzeka kuwe okwedlule.

Utshani Buhlala Buluhlaza Kakhudlwana Ngakolunye Uhlangothi Lothango
Abanye bayalizonda ibhizinisi lezokuthutha kanti abanye bayalithanda. Ubungozi ebhizinisini lezokuthutha (izingozi, ukwehluleka, ukusekela kancane, ukulahlekelwa, izinkinga neziphathimandla, njll.) akubavimbeli abantu abathile ekulenzeni ngenxa yemivuzo yalo. Abanye abahlulekayo kwezolimo bacabanga ukuthi ezemidlalo zingcono. Abanye abahlulekayo kwezombusazwe sebefuna ukuzama ukushicilela, kanti ukushicilela kunezinselelo zakho. Abanye abaye badumala ngemisebenzi eholelayo manje bafuna ukuzama imboni yomculo; kanti akulula ukuba usaziwayo noma umgqugquzeli. Abanye abaqale amabhizinisi abo babone ukuthi akulula ukuqhubeka nokwenza inzuzo. Abantu abathile abafuni ukwenza lutho ngokuhweba kuze kube yilapho bephansi ngokwezimali, sebeqede zonke ezinye izindlela. Ingabe leso yisikhathi esifanele sokuba ngumhwebi?

Labo abangayenzi imali nge-CFD bakholelwa ukuthi ukusabalalisa ukubheja kungcono. Labo abazonda izimakethe zamasheya bacabangela izimakethe zesikhathi esizayo. Labo abanezinkinga nge-FX bacabanga ukuthi i-BO ingcono.

Yini ofuna ukuyenza ngempilo yakho? Yini ofuna ukuyenza ukuze uziphilise? Yini ongayenza ukuze ubeke ukudla etafuleni lakho (noma ukuphakela izingane zakho, uma ungumzali)? Ukuphila kufushane: iminyaka engama-70 - 90 kuphela, futhi abanye abafinyeleli kuleyo minyaka yobudala. Ukuphila okufushane kunenjongo uma umuntu ekhululekile ngokwezimali futhi egculisekile.
I-Caveat
Bengingaqondile ukucasula abadayisi be-BO. I-BO yinhle futhi inikeza amandla amahle, kodwa abantu baphinde baphuphuthekiswe izingibe zayo kanye nokubi okungokwemvelo. Ibhizinisi elihlala lenza inzuzo enkulu kunezindleko ngezinye izikhathi liyodlula ezikhathini ezineziyaluyalu, kangakanani-ke ibhizinisi elenza inzuzo ehlala incane kunezindleko!

Uma ngenza isiphakamiso sebhizinisi kuwe, ngikutshela ukuthi imali engenayo/inzuzo yakho evela ebhizinisini ngokuyinhloko, izoba ngaphansi, unomphela kunezindleko zakho kanye nezinye izindleko zokuqhuba ibhizinisi, ungasivuma leso siphakamiso sebhizinisi? Ingabe lolo hlobo lwebhizinisi luzwakala lunengqondo kuwe? Ngokudabukisayo, lokhu kuyiqiniso elihlala njalo le-BO.

Akunangqondo ukuqhuba ibhizinisi lapho izindleko ziyohlala zikhulu kunemali engenayo. Ngizohweba nge-BO kuphela uma abathengisi beqala ukusinika ithuba lokuthola umvuzo omkhulu kunengozi yokuhweba ngakunye. Nokho, ngibona sengathi lokhu kungase kubabeke esimeni esihle.

Isiphetho: Into ejabulisa kakhulu ngemakethe ukungabikezeli kwayo. Ukungaqiniseki komsebenzi wethu wokuhweba akuhlali kujabulisa, nokho. Siyakha futhi senza amasu. Senza izinhlelo zokuhweba, ukuqagela kanye neziphakamiso mayelana nalokho esingathanda ukukubona kwenzeka kumaphothifoliyo ethu, kodwa ngokuvamile kungaphezu kokuqagela kwethu okuhle kakhulu. Asazi ukuthi usuku, isonto, inyanga noma unyaka kungaletha ini.

“Kungani ungadlali nje ucabanga ukuthi ungenza iphutha kodwa uphumelele. Ukuba okulungile noma okungalungile kuwukusungulwa okungenangqondo kwengqondo yakho. Kunalokho, kuthiwani uma usanda kuthuthukisa uhlelo oluhle futhi wazilolongela ukululandela? Ukulahlekelwa akuhlangene nokungalungile. Esikhundleni salokho, ukulahlekelwa kuhlobene nakho konke ukulandela uhlelo lwakho futhi ungenzi iphutha…. Manje kuthiwani uma usanda kwamukela ukulahlekelwa lapho ukutholile, okukuvumela ukuthi kube ukulahlekelwa okuncane futhi uvumele inzuzo yakho isebenze lapho unohwebo oluhle? Awucabangi ukuthi kungaba umqondo omuhle lowo?” – Dr. Van K. Tharp (Umthombo: Vantharp.com)

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