Ixesha elide -Isicwangciso esifutshane se-Forex Hedging Forex-Funda ukuRhweba

UMichael Fasogbon

Ukuhlaziywa: 16 Novemba 2023

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Imirhumo yenyanga iqala kwi-£58.

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IINKCUKACHA

Kukho iindlela ezimbini onokurhweba ngazo kwi-forex kunye nazo zonke ezinye iimarike zemali, unokuthenga okanye uthengise. Sikholisa ukubhekisa koku 'njengende okanye emfutshane'. Ixesha elide lithetha ukuthenga kunye neendlela ezimfutshane zokuthengisa. Ukuba ulandela uhlaziyo lwethu lwemarike ephilayo kunye nohlalutyo lwemarike ke kuya kufuneka udibane nala magama mabini rhoqo. Rhoqo, endaweni yokuthi 'sithenga oku okanye sithengisa le' sithi sitsala i-EUR/USD okanye sithenga i-USD/JPY, umzekelo.

Ke ngokusisiseko, xa uvula urhwebo lokuthenga (okanye kwimeko yethu yokuthenga umqondiso we-forex) uhambe ixesha elide kweso sibini. Ukuba uthenga i-GBP / i-USD, umzekelo, kuthetha ukuba uhambe ixesha elide kwi-British Pound kwaye ufutshane kwiDola. Kungenxa yokuba ukuba uthenge i-GBP / i-USD kwaye ixabiso liya phezulu, othemba ukuba liyakwenza, lithetha ukuba i-GBP iyayixabisa i-USD, ngoko ke, i-USD iyancipha.

Isicwangciso se-hedging yindlela ekhuselekileyo yokuthengisa ukuba uyisebenzisa ngendlela efanelekileyo

Omnye umzekelo ophumeleleyo wokuvula uphawu lwe-forex oluthengiweyo lwexesha elide ekuqaleni kukaMeyi 2016, xa i-USD / CAD yenze umkhondo omangalisayo emva kwe-epic yeminyaka emibini yokunyuka. Ixabiso lisanda kuchukumisa i-100 ehambayo ehambayo (MA) eluhlaza ngoko ke sagqiba ekubeni sihambe ixesha elide kwesi sibini. Ke, siye sahamba ixesha elide kwi-USD ngokuchasene neCAD sinethemba lokufumana iipips ezingama-300 kuyo. Njengoko ubona, ixabiso liye lanyuka malunga ne-700 pips ukuze sifumane into esiye sangena kuyo, kunye nabo balandela uphawu lwe-forex.

Sahamba ixesha elide kwi-USD / CAD kwaye ixabiso lithinte i-100 MA

Omnye weyona mizekelo ilungileyo yale nto xa sifutshane isibini se-forex kuxa sithengisa i-EUR / USD ngosuku lwe-referendum ye-Brexit. Asizange sicinge ukuba icala le-Brexit liza kuphumelela kodwa ekubeni esi sibini sasijikeleze inqanaba le-1.14-15, eliye laba linqanaba elinamandla lokuchasa ixesha elingaphezu konyaka, sasikholelwa ukuba nayiphi na isiphumo se-referendum ixabiso liya kubuyela emva. phantsi. Siyazi ukuba icala le-Brexit liphumelele kwaye, ngaphandle kwe-GBP, i-Euro nayo yahlupheka. Oko kubangele ukuthatha inzuzo kwi-Euro yethu emfutshane ye-forex yesiginali isinika inzuzo ye-280 pip.

Abanye abarhwebi okanye iimali ze-hedge zihlala zihamba ixesha elide kwizixhobo zemali kwaye zingalokothi zifutshane nantoni na. Phantse zonke iibhanki ezingoovimba behlabathi - kunye noorhulumente ngokunjalo - bebekwinkqubo yokunciphisa imali iminyaka eliqela ngoku, ukuze bakhuthaze uqoqosho. Abarhwebi abaninzi bakholelwa ukuba oku kuya kuqhubeka iminyaka emininzi ezayo de uqoqosho lwehlabathi luzinze ngokupheleleyo. Ngoko ke, isicwangciso sabo sokurhweba sihlala sihamba ixesha elide, ngakumbi kwii-stocks, kuba imali eninzi iphonswa kuqoqosho iphezulu amaxabiso e-stock. Bebenyanisile ukuza kuthi ga ngoku kwaye benze ingeniso encinci kakhulu.

Abanye abathengisi bazama ukufumana iindawo ezibuthathaka zezixhobo zemali okanye babone imeko engalunganga apho izinto zingahamba kakuhle kwaye zithumele enye okanye ezininzi zemali kunye nezixhobo zemali phantsi kwe-drain. Kwi-movie ethi "I-Big Short" kunye no-Christian Bale, u-Brad Pitt, kunye no-Steve Carell - abanye abarhwebi beengcali babona ukuba ingxaki enkulu yezemali yayiza ngo-2008 kwaye yahamba ixesha elifutshane, eliye labenza baxhamla. UGeorge Soros wayengomnye waba barhwebi; wathengisa i-GBP kwi-1992 kwaye wayifutshane i-AUD kwi-2004 eyabangela inzuzo engaphezu kwe-1 yeebhiliyoni zeedola. Urhwebo olumangalisayo.

Kodwa abaninzi abahwebi bahamba ngeendlela zombini kwizixhobo zemali ezahlukeneyo, okanye kwimeko yethu, kwiibini ze-forex - sihamba sifutshane kwaye side. Yiloo ndlela amacebo okukhusela asebenza ngayo. Enyanisweni, uninzi lwamaziko otyalo-mali lwezemali asebenzisa esi sicwangciso, kungoko igama elithi 'hedge funds'. Ukusebenzisa ngokufanelekileyo isicwangciso se-forex yesihloko, ufumana izibini ezimbini ze-forex ezihambelanayo (masithi i-AUD/USD kunye ne-NZD/USD). Ukuba uhlalutyo lwakho lwe-forex lukuxelela ukuba i-USD iya kuxabisa, ukuze unciphise umngcipheko, uthenga isibini kwaye uthengise enye.

Ukufumana okungakumbi malunga ne-hedging: Hedging - I-Forex Trading Strategies

Kodwa, yiyiphi omele uyithenge kwaye yiyiphi omele uyithengise ukuze wenze inzuzo kungakhathaliseki ukuba yeyiphi indlela i-USD egqiba ngayo? Ukujonga kwiitshathi zombini, kwiiveki ezidlulileyo ze-10-12, i-USD / NZD yenze ngokucacileyo i-uptrend kunye nemarike yezindlu eNew Zealand ekhuphuka kunye ne-Royal Bank yaseNew Zealand (RBNZ) inikezela ekunciphiseni izinga.

I-AUD / USD ingaphantsi kweeveki ze-12 ezidlulileyo

I-NZD/USD iphezulu kuneeveki ezili-12 ezidlulileyo

Ngelixa i-AUD / i-USD ithengise ngecala kwiiveki ze-12 zokugqibela, ngokwenene iphantsi kuneeveki ze-12 ezidlulileyo. Ke, uthenga i-NZD/USD kwaye uthengise i-AUD/USD. Ukuba izinto zihamba kakuhle kwaye i-USD iyayixabisa, ngoko i-AUD / USD iya kuwa nzima kune-NZD / USD. Kwimeko apho, uya kulahlekelwa yi-500 pips kwi-NZD / USD kwaye uphumelele i-1,000 pips kwi-AUD / USD. Ukuba izinto zihamba kakubi kwaye i-USD iyawa, i-NZD / USD ibophelelekile ukuba ihambe phezulu kune-AUD / USD - apho uya kuphinda ufumane ngaphezulu kwi-NZD / USD yorhwebo olude kunokuba ulahlekelwe kwi-AUD / USD yorhwebo olufutshane.

I-Man Group PLC yinkampani yotyalo-mali esekelwe eLondon, eyasungulwa ngo-1783 nguJames Man njenge-sugar brokerage. Kwi-2015, ibhengeze ingeniso yayo kwi-1.135 yeebhiliyoni zeedola. Inamasebe awohlukeneyo otyalo-mali asebenzisa iindlela ezahlukeneyo zotyalo-mali kunye nezicwangciso zokurhweba. Amasebe ambalwa asebenzisa i-hedging njengeqhinga labo lokurhweba.

Basebenzisa esi sicwangciso sokurhweba kwizixhobo ezininzi zemali. Izixhobo eziphambili zemali apho i-hedge funds igxininise khona izitokhwe. Abahlalutyi be-Hedge fund kwi-Man Group bazama ukufumana ixabiso elifanelekileyo lesitokhwe baze bathelekise nexabiso lokwenyani. Emva koko, bahamba ixesha elide kwisitokhwe esingabalulekanga kwaye bafutshane kwisitokhwe esinexabiso eliphezulu. Esi sicwangciso-qhinga sinciphisa umngcipheko onokuthi uvele kwezinye izinto ezifana noluvo lwemarike. Ukuba amanye amandla emarike akhona, urhwebo olubini oludityanisiweyo luya kugqiba ukuqhekeka. Ukuba akunjalo, ngoko zombini urhwebo luya kuphelela kwinzuzo.

Ukufunda ngakumbi malunga novakalelo lwentengiso: Ukurhweba ngoluvo lweMarike - Iindlela zokuRhweba nge-Forex

Kodwa abasebenzisi nje iindlela zokukhusela kwizitokhwe. Basebenzisa kwakhona esi sicwangciso sokurhweba kwiimpahla, ikusasa kunye ne-forex okanye zidibene. Phakathi koJanuwari 2016 isebe elikhuselayo leMan Group liye lafutshane kwioli kwi-33 yedola / umgqomo kwaye lahamba ixesha elide kwi-CAD ngokuthengisa i-USD / CAD kufuphi ne-1.47, ekubeni zihambelana ngokufanelekileyo. Bavala urhwebo lwe-USD / CAD kwi-1.25, oku kuthetha ukuba inzuzo ye-2,200 pip ngelixa behleli ezandleni zabo kwintengiso yeoli. Ukuba bayayivala ngoku nge-1.45 yeedola / umgqomo baya kwenza i-1,000 pips idityanisiwe kodwa basalinde ukuphuma ngexabiso elingcono.

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Njengoko ubona, amacebo okukhusela sisicwangciso se-forex enenzuzo kakhulu enciphisa umngcipheko kunye nokuvezwa. Yiyo loo nto uninzi lweefemu ezinkulu zokurhweba zisebenzisa esi sicwangciso sokurhweba kwaye yiyo loo nto zibizwa ngokuba yihedge funds. Ukuhamba ixesha elide kwi-forex kunye nokuhamba ngokufutshane kwesinye isibini se-forex ehambelana ngokufanelekileyo (njengoko sichaze kwi-AUD / USD kunye nomzekelo we-NZD / USD) mhlawumbi kuya kubangela inzuzo encinci kwimeko embi kakhulu. Ukuba izinto zihamba njengoko kulindelwe, ngoko uya kuhlala kwinzuzo enkulu ukuba usebenzisa amaqhinga okukhusela.

Ixesha elide-Isicwangciso esifutshane se-Forex Hedging Forex

UMichael Fasogbon

Isicwangciso se-hedging yindlela ekhuselekileyo yokuthengisa ukuba uyisebenzisa ngendlela efanelekileyo

Sahamba ixesha elide kwi-USD / CAD kwaye ixabiso lithinte i-100 MA

I-AUD / USD ingaphantsi kweeveki ze-12 ezidlulileyo

I-NZD/USD iphezulu kuneeveki ezili-12 ezidlulileyo

Joyina wethu yocingo Iziteshi