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Iyo yen yeJapan yakasangana nekusagadzikana kwekota yekutanga ya2023, ichizununguka kubva pakushaya simba ichienda kusimba uye ichidzoka zvakare ichipokana nedhora reUS. Ndezvipi zvinhu zvakakonzera kuchinja uku, uye chii chatingatarisira kwegore rose?
Imwe yemadhiraivha makuru ekufamba kweyen kwave kusiyana kwegwaro remari pakati peUS Federal Reserve neBhangi reJapan. Iyo Fed yanga iri munzira yehawkish, ichikwidza mubereko uye kusaina mamwe mafambiro ari kuuya, nepo BOJ yakachengetedza chimiro chayo chekupedzisira, ichichengeta mitengo pamazinga asina kunaka uye kutenga huwandu hukuru hwemabhondi.
Izvi zvakaita kuti pave nemusiyano wegoho pakati pemari mbiri idzi, zvichiita kuti dhora rinyanye kukwezva kune vanoisa mari vari kutsvaga kudzoka kwepamusoro.
Dambudziko reBhangi
Nekudaro, zvinhu zvakachinja zvakanyanya mukupera kwaKukadzi, pakatanga kunyomba mubhanga reUS. Mabhangi makuru akati wandei aipomerwa mhosva yekubiridzira, kubira mari zvisiri pamutemo, uye mamwe mabasa asiri pamutemo, zvichikonzera kuferefetwa, mhosva, uye faindi. Izvi zvakazunungusa chivimbo chemuridzi wemari muUS hurongwa hwemari uye zvakakonzera kutiza kuenda kwakachengeteka, zvichiwedzera kudiwa kwemidziyo yakachengeteka seyen.
Iyo yen yakasangana zvakasimba nedhora muna March, ichiwana zvinopfuura 700 pips kubva munaFebruary 28. Dambudziko rebhangi rakaremedzawo maonero ehupfumi hweUnited States uye rakakanda kusava nechokwadi pamusoro pekukwanisa kweFed kuramba ichikwidza mitengo.
Iyo Outlook yeJapan Yen
Sezvo isu tichipinda muQ2, iyo yen yakanyatso furatirwa nedhora, nekuwana kwekutanga kwakaitwa muQ1 kwakadzimwa nekudzoserwa kwazvino. Mubvunzo ndewokuti maitiro aya achaenderera mberi here kana kuchinja mumwedzi iri kuuya.
Mhinduro inogona kuenderana nekuti dambudziko rebhangi reUS rinoshanduka sei uye kuti rinokanganisa sei sarudzo dzeFed. Kana dambudziko ririmo uye rakagadziriswa nekukurumidza, uye kana hupfumi hweUS hukaramba hwakasimba, Fed inogona kutangazve kusimba kwayo uye kutsigira dhora. Nekune rumwe rutivi, kana dambudziko rikawedzera uye richipararira kune mamwe masangano uye kana hupfumi hweUnited States hukadzikira zvakanyanya, Fed inogona kumbomira kana kudzoreredza kukwira kwayo uye kuderedza dhora.
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