Kodi Yen Yaku Japan idachita bwanji mu Q1: Chotsatira Ndi Chiyani?

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ZINTHU

Yen yaku Japan idakumana ndi kusakhazikika koyambirira kwa 2023, kusuntha kuchoka ku kufooka kupita kumphamvu ndikubwereranso motsutsana ndi dollar yaku US. Kodi ndi zinthu ziti zimene zachititsa kusinthaku, ndipo tingayembekezere chiyani kwa chaka chonsecho?

Chimodzi mwazinthu zomwe zayambitsa mayendedwe a yen ndi kusiyana kwa mfundo zandalama pakati pa US Federal Reserve ndi Bank of Japan. Ndalama zakhala zikuyenda movutikira, kukweza chiwongola dzanja ndikuwonetsa maulendo ochulukirapo omwe akubwera, pomwe BOJ yasungabe malingaliro ake otayirira, kusunga mitengo pamilingo yoyipa ndikugula ma bond ambiri.

Izi zapangitsa kusiyana kwakukulu pakusiyana kwa zokolola pakati pa ndalama ziwirizi, zomwe zimapangitsa kuti dola ikhale yokongola kwambiri kwa osunga ndalama omwe akufuna kubweza ndalama zambiri.

Vuto la Banking

Komabe, zinthu zidasintha kwambiri kumapeto kwa February, pomwe chiwopsezo chachikulu chidayambika m'mabanki aku US. Mabanki akuluakulu angapo anaimbidwa mlandu wa chinyengo, kuba ndalama, ndi zinthu zina zosaloledwa, zomwe zinayambitsa kufufuza, milandu, ndi chindapusa. Izi zidasokoneza chidaliro cha osunga ndalama pazachuma ku US ndipo zidapangitsa kuti ndegeyo ikhale yotetezeka, zomwe zidakulitsa kufunika kwa zinthu zotetezedwa ngati yen.

Yen inagwirizana kwambiri ndi dola mu March, kupeza ma pips oposa 700 kuyambira February 28. Mavuto a mabanki adalemeranso pa malingaliro a zachuma a US ndikukayikira kuti Fed ikhoza kupitiriza kukweza mitengo.

Chiyembekezo cha Japan Yen

Pamene tikulowa mu Q2, yen imakhala yosasunthika poyerekeza ndi dola, ndipo zopindula zoyamba za Q1 zafufutidwa ndi kusintha kwaposachedwa. Funso ndilakuti ngati izi zipitilira kapena kusintha m'miyezi ikubwerayi.

Yankho litha kutengera momwe vuto lakubanki ku US limasinthira komanso momwe limakhudzira zisankho za mfundo za Fed. Ngati vutoli likupezeka ndikuthetsedwa mwachangu, ndipo ngati chuma cha US chikhalabe cholimba, ndiye kuti Fed ikhoza kuyambiranso kulimbitsa kwake ndikuthandizira dola. Kumbali inayi, ngati vutoli likuipiraipira ndikufalikira kumadera ena ndipo ngati chuma cha US chikuyenda pang'onopang'ono, ndiye kuti Fed ikhoza kuyimitsa kapena kusinthira kukwera kwake ndikufooketsa dola.