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Market Analysis – February 12
AVAXUSD exhibits persistent distribution beneath overhead barriers. AVAXUSD market remains firmly embedded in a clearly defined downward configuration on the daily chart, evidenced by a consistent sequence of declining peaks and troughs. Price continues to trade below the 9-period and 21-period moving averages, positioned around $10.05 and $8.90, thereby affirming prevailing negative momentum. Both averages are bearishly stacked and angled downward, reflecting ongoing supply-side control. In parallel, the MACD histogram hovers slightly below the equilibrium axis while its signal components remain in sub-zero territory, highlighting entrenched selling pressure and subdued upside conviction.
AVAXUSD Key Levels
Resistance Levels: $12.50, $17.30
Support Levels: $8.60, $6.00
AVAXUSD Long-Term Trend: Bearish
From a market-structure perspective, the instrument has conclusively breached the $12.50 and $13.70 support thresholds, effectively transforming former accumulation bases into layered resistance. The subsequent failure within the $14.00 to $15.60 corridor reinforced the integrity of the dominant downward cycle. Price activity is presently consolidating around the $8.80 to $8.60 demand pocket, yet rebound efforts lack the strength required to overcome the $10.05 dynamic ceiling. The repeated inability to secure acceptance above short-term trend metrics implies that upward retracements are being methodically distributed, signaling continued bearish order flow targeting deeper liquidity.
Looking ahead, the prevailing technical landscape supports a drift toward the $8.00 psychological marker, with scope for extension toward approximately $6.00 if downside velocity intensifies. Interim recoveries are likely to encounter supply friction between $10.00 and $12.50, coinciding with prior structural breakdown zones. Without a decisive reclaim and sustained stabilization above $12.50 on a closing basis, directional risk remains weighted to the downside, favoring gradual value erosion across the near- to medium-term horizon.
AVAXUSD Short-Term Trend: Bullish
AVAXUSD on the four-hour chart is exhibiting early bullish reversal characteristics, with price stabilizing above the $8.60–$8.80 support band and compressing beneath a descending trendline. The 9-period moving average is attempting to cross above the 21-period moving average near $8.80, signaling improving short-term momentum, while the MACD gradually rotates toward positive territory.
Repeated higher lows around $8.70 indicate accumulation and weakening downside pressure despite the broader bearish backdrop. A confirmed breakout above $9.00 would likely open upside continuation toward the $11.50–$12.50 supply zone, aligning with expectations derived from crypto signals.
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