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ITHELELELI

IZIPHUMA

Njengabahwebi, sinezinto eziningi okufanele sizicabangele. Kufanele sisebenzise izici eziningi nezinkomba ekuhlaziyeni kwethu ukuze siphumelele kuleli bhizinisi, kungakhathalekile ukuthi uhweba isikhathi esifushane noma eside. Lokhu kungabandakanya izinkomba ezibalulekile, izinkomba zobuchwepheshe, noma kokubili.

 

 

Ngakolunye uhlangothi, akufanele sigcwale amashadi ngezinkomba eziningi kakhulu ezizongqubuzana futhi zifiphaze ukwahlulela kwethu. Ngibone abadayisi abaningi, ikakhulukazi abasha, abalayisha kakhulu amashadi abo ngazo zonke izinhlobo zemigqa nezinkomba, okuthi bese kuba umthwalo kubahwebi esikhundleni sokubasiza. Uma ubheka lawa mashadi awazi ngempela ukuthi ubhekeni, abukeka njengama-matrix akusasa.

Akufanele senze ukuhweba kube nzima kunalokho osekuyikho. Amashadi kufanele aqondeke kalula futhi izinkomba zibe lula ukuzihumusha. Izinkomba ezilula zisebenza kangcono ngoba abadayisi abaningi bayazisebenzisa, okwandisa amathuba okuthi ukuhweba okusekelwe kulezi zinkomba kuzohamba ngendlela efanele.

Enye yezinkomba ezilula isilinganiso esihambayo (MA). Kulula ukuyihumusha futhi ingafakwa eshadini ukuze ungadingeki wenze izibalo. Uvele ulinde kuze kube yilapho inani lisondela kuyo bese uthatha isinqumo sokuthenga noma ukuthengisa. Zisebenza njengama-cushions entengo, zinikeza ukusekela nokumelana.

Kunezinhlobo ezine zama-avareji ezihambayo; elula, ebushelelezi, exponential futhi linear isisindo. Akumele uqagele ukuthi iyiphi isilinganiso esinyakazayo ongasisebenzisa, vele ubheke umlando weshadi futhi ubone ukuthi yimaphi asebenze kangcono kakhulu esikhathini esidlule, yilokho okwenza isu elimaphakathi elihambayo libe lula kakhulu ukulisebenzisa. Ngokwami, ngisebenzisa izilinganiso ezintathu noma ezine ezihambayo kumashadi ami.

Njengoba sishilo ngenhla, kufanele sikugcine kulula ngisho noma kukhulunywa ngezilinganiso ezihambayo, ngakho ngisebenzisa izinombolo eziyindilinga kubo. Ngisebenzisa i-MA engu-50 elula, i-MA eyi-100 elula, i-MA eyi-100 ebushelelezi kanye ne-MA eshelelezi engu-200. Kwesinye isikhathi phakathi kwamathrendi aqinile kanye namashadi efreyimu yesikhathi emincane, ngiphonsa i-20 exponential MA futhi. Angasetshenziswa ekuvuleni noma entengo yokuvala ikhandlela, kodwa kuyalulekwa ukuthi uwasebenzise ngentengo yokuvala.

Izinombolo zezilinganiso ezihambayo zibonisa inani lamakhandlela asetshenziselwa ukubala. Isibonelo, ku-50 MA eshadini lehora, intengo yokuvala yamakhandlela okugcina angama-50 ibaliwe. Kodwa akudingeki wazi ukuthi ungazibala kanjani. Ngoba bonke abadayisi banikela ngale nkomba ngeplatifomu yabo, udinga nje ukwazi ukuthi ungayisebenzisela kanjani ukuhweba.

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Ukuchaza amathrendi

Kulungile, ngakho-ke ake siqale ngengxenye ebalulekile, okuwukuthi uhweba kanjani ngokusekelwe kusu elihambayo eliyisilinganiso. Isilinganiso esihambayo siyithuluzi eliwusizo lokubonisa ithrendi. Uma i-MA ingaphansi kwentengo, sikwi-uptrend. Uma ingaphezulu kwentengo ngakho-ke sisesimweni esiphansi. Uma intengo ingezansi bese ihamba ngaphezu kwesilinganiso esinyakazayo, singacabangela ushintsho ekuqondeni kwethrendi. Ukuze uthole ukuqinisekiswa okungcono kakhulu kufanele silinde ukukubona kudlula isikhathi esiphezulu se-MA, yingakho ngisebenzisa okumaphakathi okuhambayo okungaphezu kokukodwa.

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Ukuze uthole okwengeziwe mayelana neTrend Trading - Forex Trading Strategies

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Ishadi lansuku zonke le-USD/CHF elingezansi libonisa ukuthi phakathi nezinyanga ezimbalwa zokuqala, intengo yayingaphansi kwe-50 MA ngokuphuzi kanye ne-100 elula ye-MA eluhlaza. Iphule i-50 MA ngenyanga yesine, okukhombisa ukuthi kungenzeka ukuthi sekuqalile ukukhuphuka. Kepha njengoba sibona ukuthi bekwenze njalo izikhathi ezimbalwa ngaphambili, yingakho bekubalulekile ukulinda ikhefu le-100 MA ukuze uqiniseke ukuthi kwakhiwa i-uptrend. Cishe ngemva kwesonto yephula i-100 MA, iqinisekisa ukuphakama. Kamuva ngalowo nyaka intengo yabhoboza i-50 MA izikhathi ezintathu ngesikhathi sokukhuphuka, okwabonisa ukuthi inkambiso ingase ihlehle, kodwa ayizange ivaleke ngaphansi kwe-100 MA, ngakho-ke inkambiso yahlala injalo. Lokhu kuphuma okungelona iqiniso okufanele sikuqaphele futhi lesi ngesinye isizathu sokuthi kungani kufanele sisebenzise isilinganiso esingaphezu kwesisodwa esinyakazayo. 

Ukuphumula kwe-50 ne-100 MAs kuqinisekisile ukukhuphuka. Kamuva sibona ukuphuma okungelona iqiniso oku-3 kwe-50 MA, kodwa i-100 MA ibambe i-uptrend injalo.

Enye indlela ephephile yokubona amathrendi usebenzisa isu elimaphakathi elinyakazayo (MA) ukuwela. Kulelisu kusetshenziswa ama-average amabili kuphela anyakazayo, ngokuvamile ayi-10 nama-20 MA. Siyazi ukuthi i-MA encane ihamba ngokushesha futhi ibophekile ukweqa enye i-MA uma ithrendi iqala, yingakho igama lesu. Esimeni sethu umugqa oluhlaza weqa obomvu. Uma lokhu kwenzeka inkambiso iyaqinisekiswa futhi kufanele singene ngendlela efanayo. Leli isu lokusalela emuva kunelokuqala, okusho ukuthi kukhona ukubambezeleka okuthile ekuboneni amathrendi. Singase sigcine sihweba lapho ukuthambekela sekuzophela, yingakho leli su livame ukusetshenziswa ekuhwebeni kwesikhathi eside. 

Umkhuba uqinisekiswa lapho i-MA eluhlaza iwela i-MA ebomvu

Ukunikeza ukwesekwa nokumelana

Womabili amasu esiwachazile ngenhla asalele emuva futhi izilinganiso ezihambayo zisebenza kahle kuwo, kodwa ngingathanda ukusebenzisa ama-MA njengezinkomba ezihamba phambili. Ama-avareji ahambayo angamathuluzi awusizo kakhulu okunikeza ukumelana nokusekelwa kwentengo ku-uptrend noma i-downtrend. Futhi, kungcono ukusebenzisa okungenani ama-avareji angu-2-3 ahambayo kulelisu; ngoba uma i-MA eyodwa yephulwe enye iyangena. Sonke siyazi ukuthi intengo ayehli noma ehle ngendlela eqondile. Esikhundleni salokho, yenza ukunyuka, ilungise isikhathi esithile, bese iphinda iqhubeke nokuya phezulu futhi.

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Izikhathi eziningi ukulungisa kuba kukhulu kunokulingana kwethu. Lokhu kusho ukuthi uma sifuna ukuthenga nge-uptrend, kufanele silinde ukulungiswa kuqedwe. Kodwa sazi kanjani lapho ukulungiswa kwenziwa? Kulapho isu elimaphakathi elihambayo lisiza khona. Kusebenza kahle kakhulu uma sengeza enye inkomba efana ne-Stochastics noma i-RSI kulelisu. Ishadi le-GBP/USD elingezansi libonisa leli su kahle. Ngesikhathi sokukhuphuka kweshadi lansuku zonke, intengo yenze izilungiso ezimbalwa, iphindela kuma-MA angama-50 noma ayi-100. Ingase ithinte i-MA noma isondele kuyo; akukho okusebenza kahle kupayipi kulo mdlalo, yingakho sidinga ukushiya indawo lapho sibeka izitobhi. Ngesikhathi esifanayo, ama-stochastich afinyelele ezingeni elidayiswe kakhulu. Lesi isiqinisekiso sokuthi ukubuyisa sekuphelile, yingakho kufanele sithenge. Kufanele sibeke isitobhi ezingeni elifanelekile ngaphansi kwe-MA, kuye ngamabhangqa kanye nesikhathi esibekelwe sona. 

Ama-50 kanye nama-MA angu-100 ahlinzeka ngokusekela eshadini lansuku zonke

I-20 exponential MA inikeza ukwesekwa eshadini lamasonto onke

Kungaba okuphephile uma lezi zilungiso zihambisana nenani elithinta isilinganiso esinyakazayo kwelinye ishadi lesikhathi. Ishadi lamasonto onke elingenhla libonisa ipheya efanayo ngesikhathi sokukhuphuka. Siyabona ukuthi intengo ithinta i-20 exponential MA ngesikhathi esifanayo lapho ukulungiswa kubonakala kuphelile eshadini lansuku zonke. Abanye abathengisi basebenzisa amashadi nsuku zonke, kanti abanye basebenzisa amasonto onke. Uma zihambisana kwenza ukumelana kuqine nakakhulu, ngoba womabili amaqembu athenga ipheya, ngakho-ke alithumela phezulu. Phakathi kwamathrendi aqinile, izikhathi ezincane ezihambayo ezimaphakathi yizo ezinikeza ukusekela/ukumelana. Bese kuthi lapho amathrendi eba buthakathaka, lawa ma-MA ayaphuka futhi ama-MA enkathi enkulu enza umsebenzi wawo, ngakho kufanele siqaphele lapho sinquma ukuvula izikhundla ngemva kokuba ukuthambekela kwehle kancane. Ishadi le-EUR/GBP elingezansi libonisa ukuthi i-20 exponential MA inikeze ukumelana namathuba amahle okuthengisa ngesikhathi se-downtrend eqinile. Lapho ukuthambekela kuncipha, ama-MA angu-50 kanye ne-100 alula, kanye ne-100 MA ebushelelezi enikeziwe ukumelana. 

I-20 MA isebenza njengokumelana ngesikhathi se-downtrend eqinile engxenyeni yokuqala yeshadi. Ama-MA angu-100 alula futhi abushelelezi asebenza njengokumelana lapho ukuthambekela kuba buthaka

Ama-20 kanye nama-50 MA anikeza ukumelana ekuqaleni, kodwa aphenduke abe usekelo ngemva kokuba ephukile

Singasho into efanayo kumathrendi aqala kancane kodwa athathe ijubane kamuva. Ekuqaleni isikhathi eside ama-MA ahlinzeka ngosekelo, kodwa lapho amathrendi eba namandla isikhathi esincane sama-MA athatha indawo yawo. Enye into okufanele siyazi ukuthi ama-MA ahlinzeka ngokumelana, kodwa ngemuva kokuthi ephukile, aphenduka abe ukwesekwa futhi ngokuphambene nalokho. Lokhu singakubona ekuqaleni kwaleli shadi, lapho ama-20 nama-50 MA asebenza njengokumelana ekuqaleni, kodwa aphenduka abe ukusekelwa ngemva kokuba intengo ihambe ngaphezu kwawo.v