TONUSD Structure Deteriorates As Downside Momentum Pressures Intensify

TONUSD Analysis – February 11

TONUSD structure deteriorates as downside momentum pressures intensify. TONUSD continues to exhibit a structurally bearish configuration, with price trading below the 9- and 21-period moving averages and maintaining a downward slope in both metrics. Momentum studies reflect limited upside conviction, as the MACD remains subdued beneath the signal line, indicating weak bullish participation. The broader trend has transitioned from distribution near $2.3560 and $1.8880 into a sustained corrective phase. Overall, the technical landscape favors supply dominance while rallies remain technically constrained.

TONUSD Key Levels

Supply Levels: $2.3560, $3.2680
Demand Levels: $1.4520, $0.5740

TONUSD Long-Term Trend: Bearish

TONUSD recently rejected the imbalance zone and order block confluence around $1.4520 to $1.4800, reinforcing this region as a firm supply ceiling. The sequence of lower highs from $1.8883 down to $1.7400 and now beneath $1.4520 confirms ongoing structural degradation. Current consolidation around $1.3740 reflects temporary equilibrium, yet repeated failures to reclaim $1.4167 suggest latent selling pressure. The inability to sustain bids above $1.3605 further validates short-term distribution behavior.

Failure to decisively recover $1.4520 is likely to expose TONUSD to renewed downside extension toward $1.2000 in the near term. A sustained break below $1.3605 would accelerate bearish continuation dynamics and increase the probability of testing deeper liquidity pockets. Should downside momentum expand, the broader structural target rests near $0.5740 as the next major support level. Unless price reclaims and holds above $1.4800, the prevailing outlook remains skewed to the downside.

TONUSD Short-Term Trend: Bearish

TONUSD remains structurally weak on the four-hour chart, with price trading beneath the key resistance at $1.4520 and capped by the broader supply zone around $1.5000–$1.5500. The 9- and 21-period moving averages are flattening to slightly bearish, reflecting fading upside momentum after the recent rebound toward $1.3810.

Price continues to print lower highs within the short-term range, while repeated failures to sustain bids above $1.4000 signal persistent overhead supply. A breakdown below $1.3500 would likely trigger renewed downside pressure toward the $1.2000 region, reinforcing the prevailing bearish outlook highlighted by crypto signals.

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