TONUSD Analysis – February 4
TONUSD falls further as buyers keep exiting the market. With overall market behavior aligned with declining trend and momentum indicators, TONUSD continues to trade within a clearly defined bearish regime. Price remains well below the falling short- and medium-term moving averages, clustered between $1.45 and $1.50, reinforcing sustained downside control. With weakening histogram readings and positioning below the zero line, the MACD reflects persistently negative momentum and very limited signs of bullish re-accumulation.
TONUSD Key Levels
Supply Levels: $2.3560, $3.2680
Demand Levels: $1.4520, $0.5740
TONUSD Long-Term Trend: Bearish
The market has preserved a sequence of lower highs and lower lows following the decisive breakdown from the $2.35 region. Recent recovery attempts have been shallow and corrective, with price repeatedly rejected near the $1.75–$1.90 fair value gap and failing to reclaim former demand zones. The loss of structural support around $1.45 has transformed this level into an active supply area, while current consolidation near $1.40 suggests trend continuation rather than base development.
TONUSD is likely to extend lower as long as price remains capped below $1.50 on a closing basis. A sustained breakdown beneath $1.35 would likely expose $1.20 as an initial downside target, followed by a deeper decline toward the $1.00 psychological level. In a more aggressive selloff scenario, downside liquidity could be targeted near $0.60, aligning with prior structural lows and unmitigated demand inefficiencies.
TONUSD Short-Term Trend: Bearish
TONUSD on the four-hour chart remains structurally bearish, with price trading below the declining moving averages around the $1.38–$1.40 region. Recent upside attempts remain corrective in nature and are capped by the supply confluence between $1.45 and $1.55, where prior order flow imbalance remains unresolved.
The rising intraday trendline from recent lows appears corrective within the broader downtrend and remains vulnerable to failure. A breakdown below support near $1.35 would likely trigger downside continuation toward $1.25, with extended risk toward the $1.20 region, a move often anticipated in broader crypto signals.
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