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The USD has suffered further losses, especially during the Asian session on Wednesday, and has reached a new 3-months low. This is one of the major factors supporting the rise in the price of gold. This coupled with the possibility of a dovish outlook from the Fed in their meeting scheduled for today. Hints of this were picked in the slide in US Treasury bond yields which also gave additional support to the yellow metal.
However, the near-term risk-on sentiment remains as a result of the growing optimism for a V-shaped recovery for the global economy and expectations that the worst of the pandemic is behind us. This sentiment creates further resistance for any significant rally in gold.
Market participants remain focused on today’s Fed interest rates decision and economic projections. Speculators expect that the Fed will likely keep their rates unchanged, however, the focus will be specifically on the comments and tone of the Fed Chair, Jerome Powell, at the post-meeting press conference.
Comments on the future policy path will give investors a better perspective of the market and will determine what the near-term price action of the USD and gold will look like.
Volana (XAU) Vinavina ny vinavina - 10 Jona
XAU / USD Bias lehibe: Bullish
Haavo famatsiana: $ 1,722, $ 1,730, ary $ 1,740
Haavon'ny fangatahana: $ 1,700, $ 1,690, ary $ 1,677
The resistance at $1,722 has capped any further climb for gold and might continue to do so until after the Fed meeting. This meeting takes center stage in the price action for gold today and so technical floors and ceilings might not be as effective. However, a sustained drop below the $1,700 pivot will most likely send gold spiraling down to $1,670 and below. On the flip side, dovish comments from Powell could return the gold price to the $1,744 in the coming hours.
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