Kālepa i nā Panakō Kūwaena - The Rhetoric

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24/7 kālepa cryptocurrency. I kou hiamoe ʻana, kālepa mākou.

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I kekahi mau pule i hala aku nei, ua kākau mākou i kahi ʻatikala me nā hoʻolālā e pili ana i ke kālepa ʻana i nā hana a ka Central Bank. E like me kā mākou i ʻōlelo ai ma laila, aia nā Central Banks i nā mea hana a pau e hoʻohaʻahaʻa a mahalo paha i kā lākou kālā ponoʻī a hoʻohana lākou iā lākou i nā manawa a lākou e manaʻo ai e pono ai ka hoʻokele waiwai. Ua wehewehe mākou i ke kālepa ʻana i ka 'knee-jerk reaction' (ua ʻoki ʻia ka uku paneʻe a i ʻole ka piʻi ʻana), pehea e kūʻai ai i ka hopena, a laila hoʻopau mākou me ka wehewehe ʻana i ke kālepa ʻana i ka hopena maoli o ka hanana i ka wā lōʻihi. .

Akā ʻo nā hana e like me ka papahana QE, kahi e hoʻokomo ai nā Central Banks i ke kālā i loko o ka hoʻokele waiwai, ʻoki a piʻi i ka uku ukupanee a me nā kumukūʻai hōʻemi maikaʻi ʻole a me nā mea ʻē aʻe, ʻaʻole wale nā ​​mea hana a nā Central Banks i kā lākou pahu. Hoʻohana pū lākou i ka mea hana 'rhetoric', a he nui. Hāʻawi lākou i nā leka i ka poʻe i komo i ka mākeke a neʻe i ka mākeke ma o nā ʻaha kūkā nūhou kokoke i kēlā me kēia mahina, nā minuke hālāwai a me nā manaʻo sporadic ʻē aʻe. ʻO ka ʻoiaʻiʻo, ʻoi aku ka nui o ka neʻe ʻana o ka mākeke ma muli o nā ʻōlelo mai nā waihona kālā waena ma mua o kā lākou hana.

I kekahi manawa, ke hana ʻia kahi hana e ka Central Bank ʻaʻole ia e pili i ka mākeke no ka mea ua kūʻai ʻia ma muli o nā manaʻo e alakaʻi ana i ka hanana. Ua hana ʻia ia mea i ka hoʻomaka ʻana o Dekemaba 2015, i ka wā i ʻoki ai ka ECB i nā kumukūʻai waihona ma 10 kumu kumu (bps) a hoʻohui i ke kālā hou i kā lākou papahana QE. ʻO ka mea mahalo, ʻaʻole i emi ka Euro - akā, hoʻohuli a loaʻa iā ia ma kahi o 5 keneta i nā lā e hiki mai ana. ʻO ia no ka mea i uku ʻia nā mea āpau ma muli o nā ʻōlelo he nui i hāʻawi mua ʻia e nā lālā o ka ECB i nā mahina ʻelua e hiki mai ana i ka hanana.

Inā heluhelu pololei ʻoe i nā ʻōlelo CB hiki iā ʻoe ke hana i nā pips he nui

Scalping i nā manaʻo

ʻO nā manaʻo mai ka poʻe waihona kālā he kūpono no ka scalping. Kapa ʻia ʻo ia ʻo 'scalping' no ka mea ke komo ʻoe i loko a i waho o kahi kūlana i loko o kekahi mau minuke a i ʻole kekona, akā ʻoi aku ka nui o nā pips āu e hana ai ma mua o ka scalping maʻamau i nā manawa maʻamau. No ka hana ʻana pēlā, pono ʻoe e nānā i ka papa kuhikuhi o nā lālā o ka Central Banks i kēlā me kēia kakahiaka a e makaʻala i nā pūnaewele nūhou forex e like me: forexlive.com, fxstreet.com etc. ; nui o lakou. Hiki iā ʻoe ke hahai i nā nūpepa kālā e like me Reuters, Financial Times, Bloomberg etc. a i ʻole nā ​​kahawai ma Twitter.

I ka wā e ʻōlelo ai ka poʻe waihona kālā ma ke kulekele kālā, ʻo ka pane mua o ka hana kumukūʻai e hele pū me ka ʻōlelo. No ka laʻana, inā he dovish ka ʻōlelo, e neʻe koke ke kālā pili i lalo, inā he hawkish e pana i luna. He mau hola wale nō i hala aku nei, ua ʻōlelo pōkole ʻo Pelekikena ECB Draghi i kahi hālāwai kūkā. Ua aneane mālie kāna mau ʻōlelo, no laila ʻo ka mea mua i hiki i ka noʻonoʻo ʻo ia ka emi ʻana o ka Euro - a ʻo ia ka mea i hana ai kēia kālā! Ua hōʻole ka Euro ma kahi o 150 pips e kūʻē i ka US Dollar, mai 1.0920 a i 1.0770. Ua hiki iaʻu ke komo i kahi hapalua o ke ala a pani ʻia ma luna o 1.08, kahi pae kūʻē, e hana ana ma kahi o 60 pips.

ʻO kēia ka ʻāpana mua o ka scalping i ka nūhou, ʻo ka hapa ʻelua i ka wā o ka hope. Ua emi koke ka EUR/USD ma lalo o 1.08 akā ua piʻi koke i luna ma luna o kēlā pae, he hōʻailona ia e hiki ai ke hoʻohuli, a i ʻole ka hoʻihoʻi nui ʻana, ma mua o ka neʻe ʻana i lalo. No laila, i kēia manawa ua kūʻai au i ka Euro ma luna aʻe o 1.08 a hana i kahi 40 pips i kona hoʻi ʻana i luna. E like me kāu e ʻike ai, nui nā pips e hana ʻia e scalping i nā ʻōlelo a nā lālā o ka Central Bank akā pono ʻoe e wikiwiki.

 

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E aʻo hou e pili ana i ka hoʻolālā scalping maʻamau: Scalping - Forex Trading Strategies

No nā mea hou aʻe e pili ana i ka hoʻohana ʻana i nā nūhou i kāu pono: Ke kālepa ʻana i ka Nūhou - Forex Trading Strategies

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kālepa wā pōkole o nā manaʻo

ʻO ke kālepa manawa pōkole o nā manaʻo e paʻa ana i nā kālepa no kekahi mau hola a i ʻole kekahi mau lā i hiki iā ʻoe ke ʻohi i nā pono āpau mai lākou. Ma hope o ka pane mua a me ka hoʻi hou ʻana, hana pinepine ka mākeke i kahi neʻe ʻē aʻe a ʻelua paha i ke kuhikuhi o ka neʻe mua. No ke kālepa wā pōkole, pono ʻoe e ʻike hou aʻe a ʻimi i nā hōʻailona a me nā leka i loko o nā manaʻo.

ʻO kekahi o ia manawa ʻo ia ka ʻaha kūkā o ka FED chairwoman Yellen i Malaki 2015. Ua kali lōʻihi ka mākeke i ka FED e hoʻomaka i kahi ʻano o ka piʻi kālā. I ka noʻonoʻo mua, manaʻo ʻoe e luʻu ka EUR / USD ma lalo o ka parity ma muli o ka haʻahaʻa ikaika o ka EUR / USD a me ka hoʻololi ʻana i nā kulekele kālā ma waena o ka ECB a me ka FED. Akā ʻo nā ʻōlelo liʻiliʻi i loko o ka ʻōlelo FOMC i pena i kahi kiʻi bearish. ʻO ka hopena, ua komo kēia pālua i kahi manawa o ka piʻi lohi, piʻi i ka 1.17 mai ka 1.0450s.

Akā he aha ka ʻōlelo a nā ʻōlelo liʻiliʻi? ʻAe, ua ʻōlelo lākou e hiki mai ana ka piʻi ʻana o ka uku i ka wā e piʻi ai ka inflation a ua alakaʻi ʻia ke ʻano e ka emi ʻana o nā kumukūʻai ikehu. Ua ʻōlelo pū lākou ua makemake lākou e ʻike i ka holomua mau o ka ʻoihana US. I kēlā manawa, ke hele nei ʻo ʻAmelika i kahi manawa nāwaliwali ma muli o kahi hoʻoilo paʻakikī.

Ua nalowale ka USD ma kahi o 600 pips i ka wā i hāʻawi ai ka FED i kahi ʻōlelo dovish

Kalepa lōʻihi o nā manaʻo

ʻO ka hopena lōʻihi o nā manaʻo o nā Central Banks ke kālepa maoli. I kekahi manawa hiki i ka mākeke ke kuhi hewa i nā manaʻo no kahi manawa pōkole a hiki ke ʻike i kekahi hana kumu kūʻai ʻē i ka wā pōkole. Akā i ka wā lōʻihi, hele mau ka mākeke i ke ala kūpono.

Aia kekahi mau manawa e hāʻule ai ka manaʻo hoʻokahi a i ʻole ka hoʻolaha ʻana e like me ka poma e hoʻouna ana i kahi kālā e hāʻule ana, e like me ka ʻōlelo a ka Pelekikena ECB Draghi ma Mei 2014. Ua hoʻolaha ʻo ia e hoʻomaka ka ECB i kahi papahana quantitative easing (QE) a me ka Euro hasn´ t nana i hope mai. Ke emi nei ka Euro i nā mea nui a pau, ʻoi aku ka US Dollar, a i ka manawa i hoʻomaka ai ka QE, ua kūʻai mua ʻia ka hapa nui o ka neʻe ʻana.

Aia kekahi mau manawa e hoʻokumu ʻia ai nā manaʻo i kēlā me kēia pule ma muli o nā ʻōlelo liʻiliʻi he nui. ʻO kahi hiʻohiʻona maikaʻi ka piʻi ʻana o 10 keneta ma ka ʻaoʻao o ka US Dollar mai ʻOkakopa a Dekemaba 2015. Ua hōʻino ka FED i ka mākeke i Kepakemapa i ka wā ʻaʻole lākou i piʻi i ka uku ukupanee. Eia naʻe, e hoʻomaka ana i ka mahina o ʻOkakopa, ua hoʻomaka ka ʻōlelo a nā lālā FED e hoʻonui, me nā ʻōlelo liʻiliʻi ma ʻaneʻi a ma ʻaneʻi e pili ana i ke kūpono a me ka nui o ka hoʻomaka ʻana e hoʻonui i nā uku. Ua loaʻa i ka mākeke ka hōʻailona a ua piʻi ka USD ma kahi o 10 keneta a hiki i Dekemaba i ka wā i piʻi maoli ai lākou i nā kumukūʻai a kūʻai ʻia, a no laila ua loaʻa ka USD ma kahi o 100 pips.

He maʻalahi ka hoʻomaopopo ʻana i ka hopena lōʻihi o ka ʻōlelo a Central Bank. ʻOiai inā ʻaʻole ʻoe ʻike nui e pili ana i nā kumu, aia nā haneli o nā pūnaewele me nā loiloi a me nā manaʻo mai ka poʻe loea e wehewehe i nā mea āpau. ʻO ka pilikia ma ʻaneʻi ʻo ke ahonui. Pono ʻoe e loaʻa nā aʻalolo kila i mea e paʻa ai i nā kūlana no nā mahina a me nā makahiki i mea e ʻohi ai i nā pōmaikaʻi āpau, akā hiki ke loaʻa ka loaʻa kālā ke hana ʻoe i kēia pono.

E like me kāu e ʻike ai, aia nā kaukani pips hiki iā ʻoe ke hana i ke kālepa ʻana i nā ʻōlelo a nā Central Banks. ʻO nā manaʻo mai nā lālā o nā Central Banks i hoʻonohonoho i ka leo o ka mākeke no kā lākou kālā pono'ī. Malia paha inā e poina ʻoe i nā ʻōlelo, ʻaʻole nui nā pips i koe i ka wā e hana maoli ai ka Central Bank ma ke ʻano o ka piʻi ʻana a i ʻole ka hoʻomaka ʻana i ka QE. Hiki iā ʻoe ke hoʻopaʻa i ka 50-100 pips i loko o kahi mau minuke, a i ʻole kālepa pōkole no nā haneli haneli, a i ʻole kālepa i ka wā lōʻihi no nā kaukani pips. ʻO kēlā me kēia hoʻolālā āu i koho ai, inā hoʻohana pololei ʻia hiki ke loaʻa ka waiwai.