FTSE 100 Analysis – June 18
FTSE 100 is experiencing rejection at an overhead supply block amid weakening momentum. After an extended bullish run, the index now trades just below the $8,900 level, coinciding with the 9-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) at $8,850 and a significant supply zone. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) currently reads 60.65, indicating fading momentum and hinting at possible divergence. With candles closing beneath the SMA and RSI unable to reach overbought territory, the current momentum structure suggests that the recent rally may be losing steam and nearing correction.
FTSE 100 Key Levels
Resistance Levels: $8,900, $9,000, $9,200
Support Levels: $8,480, $8,110, $7,540
FTSE 100 Long-Term Trend: Bearish
Structurally, the index has been rejected at the $8,900 resistance level, an area previously identified as an order block (OB) likely containing institutional sell orders. The ascending trendline that supported the rally from the April lows is now under threat, and the market’s inability to surpass the $9,000 psychological level reinforces a bearish outlook. Price activity within the supply block, coupled with repeated upper wicks, points more toward distribution than accumulation.
In the short to medium term, FTSE 100 appears set for a bearish retracement, with a likely move down to the $8,480 level. A breakdown below this zone could accelerate losses toward $8,110, a key historical demand level. Considering the fading bullish momentum and current market direction, a further drop to the $7,540 region remains a possibility, especially if macroeconomic factors intensify selling pressure. Traders using forex signals should watch for daily candle closures beneath the trendline as potential confirmation for short entries.
FTSE 100 Short-Term Trend: Bearish
FTSE 100 has failed to break decisively above the $8,900 resistance, with price action now trading below the 9-period SMA and encountering rejection at the supply block. Bearish divergence is confirmed as RSI falls to 48.02 while price remains elevated.
The ascending trendline that has underpinned this bullish phase is weakening, suggesting an impending structural breakdown. A clear move below $8,830 may prompt a rapid decline toward $8,480, with $8,110 as the subsequent downside target.
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