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In a move signaling confidence in the UK economy, the Bank of England (BoE) has decided to increase the Bank Rate by 0.5% to 5%, marking the highest level seen in the past decade and a half.
The decision was made by a majority vote of 7-2 by the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC), with Swati Dhingra and Silvana Tenreyro dissenting in favor of maintaining rates at 4.5%. The MPC emphasized the need to closely monitor potential inflationary pressures in the economy, particularly in relation to labor market conditions, wage growth, and service price inflation. The committee expressed readiness for further monetary policy tightening if persistent pressures emerged.
Bank of England Expects Decline in Inflation in 2023
While the BoE expects a substantial decline in inflation this year, primarily attributed to lower energy prices, they project minimal change in the services Consumer Price Index (CPI) and a further drop in food price inflation over the coming months. These factors contribute to the BoE’s optimistic outlook on curbing inflation.
Reaction from the GBP/USD
The initial announcement led to a surge in the value of the British pound against the US dollar, with GBP/USD reaching a high of 1.2843. However, the currency has since retreated to pre-release levels, currently trading around 1.2740 amidst volatile market conditions. Short-term yields on UK government bonds experienced a slight decline initially but are expected to rebound and trend higher.
Analysis of retail trader data reveals that 36.68% of traders maintain net-long positions, with a short-to-long ratio of 1.73 to 1. Comparing the figures to the previous day and week, there has been a 5.89% increase in net-long traders compared to yesterday and a 7.29% increase compared to last week. Conversely, the number of net-short traders has decreased by 3.18% compared to yesterday and by 1.30% compared to last week.
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