Weekly Technical Analysis and Market Outlook: Key FX Pairs (August 4 – August 15, 2025)

The foreign exchange market presents a bifurcated landscape for the upcoming period. Analysis reveals pronounced weakness in specific commodity-crosses such as AUDNZD and NZDCHF. Also, European-centric pairs including EURGBP and EURNZD, alongside AUDCAD, demonstrate bullish structural integrity. The following technical breakdown explores the prevailing biases and critical price levels for these five currency pairs.

AUDNZD

Major Bias: Bearish

AUDNZD pair is exhibiting a distinct downward trajectory, having been rejected from the resistance nexus around the 1.06500 level. This bearish momentum is corroborated by the Stochastic Oscillator, which shows its lines descending from overbought territory, indicating a shift in control to sellers. Price is currently testing the support zone at 1.05500. A sustained breach below the psychological 1.05000 handle would validate the bearish continuation, opening a path towards the next demand zone at 1.04500. Conversely, a reclaim of the 1.06000 level would be necessary to challenge the current bearish outlook.

EURGBP

Major Bias: Bullish

EURGBP demonstrates constructive price action, carving a path upwards from the 0.85727 support base. The prevailing bullish sentiment is echoed by the Stochastic Oscillator, which is trending upwards and has yet to reach overbought conditions, suggesting further upside potential remains. The pair is currently challenging immediate resistance at 0.86500. A decisive breakout and hold above the 0.87000 psychological barrier would signal a continuation of the bullish phase, with the next significant target located at the 0.87500 supply area. A break below the 0.86000 pivot would suggest a temporary loss of momentum and could initiate a corrective pullback.

AUDCAD

Major Bias: Bullish

A confluence of technical indicators points to a robust bullish structure for AUDCAD. The Parabolic SAR indicator remains positioned below the price candles, a classic signal of a sustained uptrend that also acts as a dynamic trailing support. This is further substantiated by the Stochastic Oscillator, which has ascended from 66.29 to 73.17, indicating strengthening upward momentum without being overextended. Having overcome the 0.89324 support, the price is now contending with resistance at 0.90500.

NZDCHF

Major Bias: Bearish

NZDCHF remains under considerable bearish pressure, as evidenced by its descent from the 0.47000 resistance zone. The Stochastic Oscillator corroborates this view, with its components trending downwards and showing no signs of a bullish divergence, thereby signifying persistent selling momentum. The immediate focus is on the structural support at 0.46000. A failure to hold this level, followed by a breach of the minor support at 0.45500, would likely intensify the downtrend and bring the 0.45000 psychological and structural support into focus. A reversal above 0.47000 would be required to neutralize the immediate bearish outlook.

EURNZD

Major Bias: Bullish

EURNZD cross is displaying a powerful bullish impulse, having rallied significantly from its support base near 1.91500. The upward trajectory is supported by the Stochastic Oscillator, which indicates strong and persistent buying momentum as it continues its ascent. The pair is now navigating the price territory approaching the 1.95500 resistance level. A successful breach of the 1.96000 level would confirm trend continuation, with traders likely eyeing the 1.96500 area as the subsequent objective. Conversely, a loss of the 1.92643 level, a recent higher low, could signal a potential momentum shift and trigger a corrective pullback.

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