Weekly Market Outlook For AUDNZD, EURGBP, AUDCAD, NZDCHF, EURNZD (August 18 – August 22, 2025)

This week’s foreign exchange market exhibits a divergence in institutional order flow, with bearish sentiment dominating AUDNZD and NZDCHF, while bullish momentum is evident in AUDCAD, EURGBP, and EURNZD. The price action and technical indicators, analyzed through an ICT (Inner Circle Trader) lens, reveal key insights into market structure and potential liquidity hunts.

AUDNZD

Major Bias: Bearish

AUDNZD market structure indicates a sustained downtrend. The Stochastic Oscillator, a key momentum tool, confirms a bearish bias as the pair has moved from a premium zone near the 1.06000 resistance level to a discount zone around the 1.05000 support. This price displacement reflects strong sell-side order flow. A break of the 1.04500 support level would likely trigger a liquidity hunt for stops below this mark, targeting the 1.04000 psychological level.

EURGBP

Major Bias: Bullish

EURGBP market is displaying a clear bullish character. The Stochastic Oscillator’s ascent from oversold territory confirms a shift in institutional sentiment. The pair’s movement from the 0.86000 support  to the 0.87000 resistance  is a result of robust buy-side pressure. A continued move above the 0.87500 level would likely trigger a run on buy-side liquidity, pushing the price towards the next institutional resistance at 0.88000. A failure to hold above 0.86500 would suggest a temporary pullback or a potential market structure break.

AUDCAD

Major Bias: Bullish

AUDCAD price action is consistent with a bullish institutional narrative. The Parabolic SAR, which tracks trend momentum, has its dots positioned below the price, signaling an upward trajectory and a high-probability continuation of the trend. This is further validated by the Stochastic Oscillator’s robust move from 66.29 to 73.17, indicating increasing bullish order flow. The pair’s advance from the 0.90000 institutional support demonstrates a strong rejection of lower prices, likely stemming from the activation of an order block.

NZDCHF

Major Bias: Bearish

NZDCHF chart exhibits a distinct bearish market structure. The Stochastic Oscillator reflects sustained selling pressure, with the pair’s price displacing from the 0.46500 resistance level. This downward movement is a result of dominant sell-side order flow. A breach of the 0.45000 support would serve as a high-probability signal for a continuation of this bearish order block, with the next logical target being 0.44500. A recovery above 0.46000 would be required to invalidate this bearish bias and signal a potential market manipulation or reversal.

EURNZD

Major Bias: Bullish

EURNZD’s price action is indicative of a bullish institutional play. The Stochastic Oscillator has moved into a premium zone, supporting the upward momentum. The pair’s rally from the 1.92643 support to the 1.96000 resistance suggests a strong institutional accumulation and subsequent price displacement. A break above the 1.96500 level would confirm a buy-side liquidity run, with the next target at 1.97000.

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