The FX market this week blends bullish momentum and bearish continuation. AUDNZD and AUDCAD are pressing resistance with strong upside, EURNZD is stabilizing above a key breakout level, while EURGBP and NZDCHF remain vulnerable below critical ceilings. Stochastic and ADR readings highlight potential inflection points and measured volatility across pairs.
AUDNZD
Market Bias: Bullish
AUDNZD closed at 1.16650 and is testing upper resistance. Stochastic is deeply overbought, hinting at near-term consolidation before any continuation. With ADR at 0.00483, volatility supports a potential breakout, provided price holds above 1.16360. Upside focus sits on 1.16650 and 1.17000; failure to hold could invite a pullback toward 1.14210.
EURGBP
Market Bias: Bearish
EURGBP trades at 0.86784 (+0.04%) but remains capped beneath 0.87267/0.88290. Stochastic is near oversold—bounces may fade unless resistance breaks. ADR at 0.00272 suggests a grind lower is more likely than sharp moves. Sellers eye 0.86000 zone first, then 0.85270; a daily close above 0.87260 level would neutralize the bias.
AUDCAD
Market Bias: Bullish
AUDCAD sits at 0.92980 (+0.11%) and presses 0.93000 resistance. Stochastic is overbought, signaling caution for late longs. ADR at 0.00445 provides room for swings within the resistance band. A daily close above 0.93000 opens continuation; failure at this area risks a pullback toward 0.92698, then 0.913790.
NZDCHF
Market Bias: Bearish
NZDCHF trades at 0.45920 (-0.05%) near 0.46025 support, within a broader downtrend. Stochastic is approaching overbought, favoring rollover if resistance holds. ADR at 0.00253 points to subdued ranges and a potential slow drift lower. A break beneath 0.46025 exposes 0.44720 and 0.43467; rallies face resistance at 0.48770.
EURNZD
Market Bias: Bullish
EURNZD is at 2.03000 key level, holding above 2.00178 and challenging the 2.03120 resistance. Stochastic is elevated, consistent with strong momentum, while ADR at 0.01057 indicates high potential range once price expands. A sustained move above 2.03129 targets 2.05000; a close below 2.00178 would dampen the bullish structure.
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