USOil (WTI) Retains Persistent Downward Momentum Under Fragile Technical Structure

Market Analysis – October 10

USOil retains persistent downward momentum under a fragile technical structure. The asset continues to exhibit a clear bearish configuration as analytical indicators remain aligned with a declining trajectory. Price action currently trades below the 9-day Simple Moving Average, signaling diminishing bullish strength and limited rebound potential. The MACD histogram remains in negative territory, with the signal line positioned beneath the equilibrium level, reflecting a subdued market tone and declining demand pressure. Altogether, these readings emphasize a supply-driven environment, supporting the likelihood of further weakness within the prevailing trend.

USOil Key Levels

Resistance Levels: $66.40, $72.20, $80.70
Support Levels: $61.50, $55.20, $52.00

USOil Long-Term Trend: Bearish

From a structural perspective, price action reveals a clear rejection near the $66.40 distribution block, where prior liquidity was absorbed. Subsequent attempts to reclaim upward momentum have consistently failed below $63.00, forming a sequence of lower highs and shallow corrective movements. The interim demand area between $61.50–$61.99 now acts as a weak support zone, susceptible to renewed selling pressure. Market behavior indicates a sustained distribution pattern, with repeated rejections restricting recovery efforts and reaffirming dominance by bearish participants.

Looking ahead, a sustained break below $61.50 could trigger further declines toward the $55.20 base level, with extended weakness possibly testing the $52.00 region. The bearish outlook will remain valid unless a confirmed reaccumulation phase lifts prices above $66.40, which would neutralize the current downward structure. Without such a reversal, momentum is expected to favor sellers, maintaining a defensive stance for USOil over the mid-term horizon. Traders following forex signals may monitor this setup for potential continuation entries aligned with the dominant trend.

USOil Short-Term Trend: Bearish

USOil maintains a bearish structure as price continues to trade below the 9-period SMA, showing weak buying momentum. The recent retracement into the $63.40–$64.10 order block coincides with the 50–61.8% Fibonacci retracement area, suggesting a possible rejection zone.

Momentum indicators such as the MACD reflect limited bullish strength, implying exhaustion in the short-term rebound. A decisive break below $61.50 would likely confirm a renewed bearish continuation toward the $60.00 region.

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