Market Analysis – July 28
In the first quarter of 2025, USOIL experienced a major structural shift, signaling a transition from a bullish to a bearish trend. The preceding bullish trend, which reached a higher high in early January 2025, was invalidated by a subsequent breakdown in market structure—confirming the onset of bearish control.
USOIL Key Levels
Demand Levels: 64.50, 55.00, 47.50
Supply Levels: 71.00, 80.00, 88.40
USOIL Long-Term Trend: Bearish
Following the structural shift, price declined sharply, breaking through the $64.50 demand level. The downward move extended into the $55.00 demand zone, where a strong bullish reaction temporarily pushed the price above the $71.00 supply level. However, this breakout was short-lived, as price quickly reversed after sweeping liquidity above that zone.
At present, USOIL remains in the early stages of its emerging bearish trend. The daily Relative Strength Index (RSI) continues to point to downside potential, suggesting a possible breach below the $64.50 support area. If bearish momentum persists, further declines toward the $55.00 level—and potentially $47.50—are expected. Traders monitoring forex signals may find this price action particularly relevant.
USOIL Short-Term Trend: Bearish (with Retracement)
On the 4-hour chart, the price is currently undergoing a bullish retracement, likely targeting a significant 4-hour order block. The RSI on this timeframe also reflects growing bullish momentum, supporting the idea of a short-term pullback before a continuation of the broader bearish move. This retracement may present an ideal setup for another leg downward, in line with the higher timeframe bearish structure.
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