Market Analysis – October 3
The US 30 index is displaying clear indications of a potential retracement after its recent bullish rise from 39,999.0, driven by a pullback to a fair value gap on the daily chart. Buyers now appear to be losing strength, suggesting a possible shift in the market trend.
US 30 Key Levels:
Demand Levels: 41,402.0, 39,999.0, 36,648.0
Supply Levels: 42,630.0, 43,000.0, 44,000.0
US 30 Long-term Trend: Bullish
In September, the Stochastic indicator reached the oversold region, halting the previous pullback. This created the conditions for the US 30 bullish trend to resume, highlighted by a hammer candle at 39,999.0. From there, the price moved upward, reaching 42,630.0.
However, recent price movement has become more stagnant, with smaller candles forming sideways, which points to waning bullish momentum. An inverted hammer at 42,630.0 signals a possible decline, further supported by the Stochastic indicator shifting away from the overbought region as prices start to fall.
US 30 Short-term Trend: Bullish
On lower timeframes, the price action has formed three falling peaks, indicating a potential decline. It is advisable to wait for confirmation of trend resumption before entering long positions to ensure a higher chance of success. Engaging in counter-trend trades at this stage carries heightened risk, even with favorable forex signals.
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