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TONUSD Market Analysis – August 22
Toncoin recent rally into the $3.6100 supply zone has set the stage for a potential bearish reversal, as technical signals point to renewed downside momentum.
TONUSD Key Levels
Support Levels: $2.8100, $2.3700
Resistance Levels: $3.1630, $3.6100
TONUSD Long-Term Trend: Bearish
TONCOIN’s recent price action reveals a shift in market structure after its recovery from the $2.3700 demand level. This support initially slowed the prevailing bearish momentum and fueled a strong bullish push that appeared to signal a potential long-term reversal. However, the rally quickly lost strength as bearish momentum reemerged.
Price later found support at the $2.8100 demand zone, producing only a minor bullish reaction before sellers regained control. Despite several retests, buyers struggled to establish dominance above this level, highlighting sustained bearish pressure.
Most recently, the market rallied into the $3.6100 supply zone, where a failed high pattern developed. This pattern, coupled with a declining Relative Strength Index (RSI) on the daily chart, strengthens the outlook for a bearish continuation. A decisive break below $2.8100 would likely confirm the next leg of downside movement.
TONUSD Medium-Term Trend: Bearish
On the 4-hour timeframe, the early stages of this bearish reversal are more evident. The failed high formation led to a clear break of the bullish trend line, confirming bearish alignment across both the daily and 4-hour charts.
Although the RSI on the 4-hour timeframe shows a temporary uptick suggesting short-term bullish momentum, this move is best viewed as a retracement. Price is anticipated to retest the broken trend line before resuming its bearish trend.
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