NZDUSD Lurks in Redistribution Phase

Market Analysis – June 25

The NZDUSD market price is currently fluctuating within a range between a major resistance level and a demand level on the daily chart. This has resulted in the formation of a price range, indicative of a redistribution phase, even though the overall bullish market structure remains intact.

Key Levels for NZDUSD

Demand Levels: 0.6080, 0.6000, 0.5860
Supply Levels: 0.6180, 0.6300, 0.6400

NZDUSD Long-Term Trend: Bullish

The NZDUSD market recently experienced a false breakout above 0.6180 due to a loss in bullish momentum. After briefly surpassing 0.6180, the price declined below this resistance zone and has struggled to rise again. However, the decline did not sweep the previous low, thereby sustaining the long-term bullish narrative.

The current support level was established from the test of the swing high formed in April during the previous downtrend. The Hull Butterfly Indicator has shown a significant decline in bullish momentum, further highlighting the redistribution phase.

NZDUSD Short-Term Trend: Ranging

The current redistribution phase is expected to be followed by a breakout. A significant push above 0.6180 is anticipated to resume the bullish trend. Conversely, a dip below 0.6000 could establish a bearish trend. The price action is currently choppy, suggesting that it may not be the safest environment for trading. Patience and careful observation of the market’s intentions are crucial to avoid potential losses.

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