NZDUSD Experiences Significant Plunge Following False Breakout

Market Analysis – July 23

The NZDUSD price has been confined within a well-defined range, oscillating between the resistance level at 0.6400 and the support level at 0.6100. During this period, the Stochastic indicator has proven to be an effective tool, providing valuable signals of price extremes and potential reversals as the market approaches the boundaries of the range.

Key Levels for NZDUSD:

• Demand Levels: 0.6150, 0.6050, 0.6000
• Supply Levels: 0.6350, 0.6450, 0.6500

NZDUSD Long-term Trend: Ranging

In July, a notable rally occurred as the Stochastic signalled an oversold market, prompting a reversal and driving the price towards the resistance level. However, a false breakout above the previous relative equal highs at the resistance level ensued due to the test of a bearish order block positioned above the range.

NZDUSD Short-term Trend: Bearish

At present, the Stochastic is entering the oversold territory on the daily chart, suggesting a potential downturn. On the 4-hour timeframe, the price is significantly oversold according to the Stochastic indicator, further supporting the likelihood of a bearish move towards the lower boundary of the range. However, a bullish reversal is anticipated once the price reaches the support zones.

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