The EURCHF pair continues to consolidate as neither bulls nor bears establish dominance. On the daily chart, we observe a well-defined symmetrical triangle taking shape, characterised by successively lower highs and higher lows. This tightening price action signals an impending volatility expansion.
Currently, opposing forces remain perfectly balanced, creating a stalemate that has persisted for weeks. The market clearly lacks conviction from either side, resulting in this prolonged indecision.
In March, bullish momentum surged unexpectedly, propelling prices upward to test the 0.9600 resistance. However, bears quickly retaliated with equal force, triggering a steep decline that found support at 0.9220. These opposing impulses – first a bullish breakout followed by an equally strong bearish reversal – demonstrate the ongoing tug-of-war between market participants.
When prices reached the 0.9220 support, the Stochastic oscillator flashed oversold conditions, typically suggesting an impending bounce. Surprisingly, instead of witnessing a meaningful recovery, the pair entered this prolonged coiling pattern. Presently, the 9-period Moving Average sits nestled within the candle bodies, further confirming the market’s indecisive state.
EURCHF Short-Term Trend: Ranging
As the symmetrical triangle reaches its apex, we anticipate an explosive breakout in either direction. Such a move will finally resolve the current standoff, providing traders with much-needed clarity. A successful bullish breakout could ignite sustained upward momentum, while a bearish resolution may trigger another test of lower supports.
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