EURCHF Struggles to Break Through Volume Imbalance
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EURCHF Struggles to Break Through Volume Imbalance

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Azeez Mustapha

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Market Analysis – May 14

EURCHF experienced a sharp decline to the key demand level at 0.92160, driven by strong selling pressure. The rapid sell-off created a notable volume imbalance, underscoring temporary market inefficiency. Subsequent recovery attempts were met with rejection at this imbalance zone, reinforcing its role as a resistance area and suggesting continued bearish sentiment in the near term.

EURCHF Key Levels

Demand Zones: 0.93370, 0.92160, 0.90000
Supply Zones: 0.9400, 0.9600, 0.97710

EURCHF Struggles to Break Through Volume Imbalance EURCHF Long-Term Trend: Ranging

The pair had recently shifted into a bullish phase, climbing toward 0.96640 before encountering a sharp reversal. A 4.33% drop from this high erased recent gains, bringing price action back to the structure’s origin at 0.92170. The RSI (Relative Strength Index) had previously signalled overbought conditions near 0.9600, foreshadowing the subsequent correction.
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The sell-off also formed a volume imbalance near 0.93900, characterized by overlapping wicks and minimal body consolidation, indicating market inefficiency. Despite attempts by bulls to regain control, the imbalance, reinforced by anchored volume profile resistance, effectively capped upward momentum, maintaining a ranging market structure.

OANDA:EURCHF Chart Image by Nice11111EURCHF Short-Term Trend: Ranging

After stabilizing near a daily bullish order block, EUR/CHF is now retesting the 0.93900 imbalance zone. However, a bearish order block at 0.9500 presents the next critical resistance barrier. Bulls must decisively break through the 0.93900–0.9500 resistance cluster for the recovery to extend. Failure to do so could trigger another leg down, potentially retesting the 0.92160 demand zone.
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The short-term outlook remains range-bound, with price action likely to oscillate between 0.92160 support and 0.9500 resistance until a clear breakout occurs. Traders should monitor volume and order flow for confirmation of the next directional move.
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