ETH ETF flows may accelerate if they follow trends set by Bitcoin ETFs.
Rumors of a bearish outlook for Ethereum have surfaced, but hold on—there are signs that the situation may not be as dire as it seems. At least for the time being, the bear market appears to be holding off.
Bullish Signals for Ethereum’s Price Action
Jeff Sekinger, the founder of Nurp, recently stated that the chart for ETH looks promising, noting that it managed to find support after bouncing above the $2,300 level. Meanwhile, Volmex founder Cole Kennelly expressed confidence in ETH’s fundamentals, describing them as “strong.”
Kennelly further emphasized that Ethereum holds a unique position as the second-largest cryptocurrency to introduce spot ETFs. It remains the blockchain of choice for institutional tokenization and is home to key stablecoins.
According to Kennelly, “ETH boasts the most extensive ecosystem of applications and blockchain developers, paving the way for its peers. Short-term price movements may fluctuate, but in the long run, ETH remains bullish.”
On the other hand, K33 Research highlighted that ETH is currently underperforming, attributing this to “stagnant” ETF inflows. However, they suggest that if ETH ETFs begin to follow the same trajectory as Bitcoin ETFs, inflows could improve.
Ethereum Volatility and Future Outlook
Adding to the mix, CME futures premiums for ETH are trading at a rare premium compared to Bitcoin. K33 Research noted that much of this increased exposure stems from the September contracts, indicating that long-term traders are betting on a sustained upward trend.
Volmex’s volatility indices, which measure future volatility over 30 days, show ETH at 67 and BTC at 57. To give context, the Ethereum Volmex Implied Volatility (EVIV) Index hit a high of 88 in early August, coinciding with a price dip. ETH saw a low of $2,100 during that time but later recovered to over $2,500.
Kennelly added that “lower volatility will depend on the market’s next moves. If the bullish trend continues, we might see a positive correlation between price and implied volatility. However, with lingering uncertainties, volatility could remain elevated.”
ETH currently trades just below $2,600, which is about 47% below its all-time high from November 2021. As summer winds down and events like the upcoming U.S. election and potential rate cuts come into play, ETH could see an increase in volume.
Analysts are closely watching CME’s September contract activity, where traders are adopting long-term strategies, which may impact market momentum in the coming weeks.
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