‎Avalanche Bearish Trend With Short-Term Pullback

‎Avalanche Market Analysis- November 30

Avalanche continues to exhibit strong bearish behavior in the higher timeframe, as buyers are currently attempts a short-term corrective recovery.

‎‎AVAXUSD Key Levels

‎Support Levels: $19.00, $12.50
‎Resistance Levels: $24.40, $31.30

‎AVAXUSD Long-Term Trend: Bearish

Avalanche remains decisively bearish on the higher timeframe after the structural shift recorded in early October 2025. Price extended its decline from the $31.30 supply level, forming multiple bearish breaks of structure that confirmed seller dominance. This persistent downside movement continued until price tapped the $12.50 demand zone after breaching the $19.00 support level in November.
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‎While the $12.50 zone induced a minor reaction, there is still no convincing evidence of a full bullish reversal. The daily RSI sits at oversold levels, suggesting a possible retracement toward premium pricing where sellers may re-enter the market. However, long-term sentiment remains bearish as price maintains its position below the daily moving average, reflecting continued downside momentum.
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‎The most probable scenario is a temporary bullish correction into the daily order block before the broader downtrend resumes. Failure of buyers to sustain strength above $12.50 would further increase the likelihood of continuation into lower price territories.
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AVAXUSD Medium-Term Trend: Bullish Correction

‎‎On the lower timeframe, Avalanche price reacted positively from the $12.50 demand zone, creating a failed low pattern, which initiated a medium-term bullish correction. Higher highs have formed as price gradually pushes toward the daily bearish order block, reflecting short-term buyer interest.
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‎However, the 4H RSI has begun to turn downward, signalling early signs of weakness within the retracement. The bullish correction remains valid only while price holds above the $12.50 demand level; a break below this zone would invalidate the recovery and re-align price with the dominant bearish trend.

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