Avalanche (AVAX) Signals Weakening Momentum as Bearish Reversal Looms

‎AVAXUSD Market Analysis – August 15

‎Avalanche hints at a potential shift in market direction as sellers regain strength near a critical resistance zone.

‎AVAXUSD Key Levels

‎Support Levels: 20.50, $14.50
‎Resistance Levels: $26.30, $30.80

‎AVAXUSD Long-Term Trend: Bearish

‎Avalanche has maintained a dominant bearish trajectory since the start of 2025, with price action experiencing a sharp decline in the early months. In April 2025, however, the market shifted into a sustained bullish phase, functioning primarily as an extended retracement within the broader downtrend.
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‎Despite this bullish advance, the $26.30 supply zone has remained a steadfast resistance level, repeatedly rejecting upward moves and subtly affirming continued seller control. Recently, price action has formed a failed low pattern at this critical level, hinting at a potential reversal back into bearish territory.
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‎Adding weight to this outlook, the daily Relative Strength Index (RSI) has fallen from the overbought region, signaling waning bullish momentum. A decisive breach of the prevailing bullish trendline would likely confirm the resumption of Avalanche’s primary bearish trend.

‎AVAXUSD Medium-Term Trend: Bearish

‎In the medium term, Avalanche’s latest bullish run toward the $26.30 supply zone has stalled, resulting in a failed low pattern that aligns with early signs of a bearish reversal. At present, the bullish trendline remains intact, indicating that the reversal is still in its formative stage.
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‎Nevertheless, a breakdown below this trendline could accelerate bearish momentum. The 4-hour RSI shows a notable decline, with price now trading beneath the indicator — a strong confluence for bearish sentiment and an anticipated continuation of the downward trend.
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