After BoE Decision, Pound Falls While Dollar Softens

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At today’s BoE meeting, investors who expected additional hawks to enter the policy discussion were disappointed. The pound has fallen sharply today as the BoE failed to surprise with a hawkish statement. While the outlook appeared to be positive, the MPC, except head economist Andy Haldane, would prefer to wait until August to make any policy decisions.

Andy Haldane was the lone dissenter, advocating for a reduction in bond purchases, but he is leaving the bank at the end of June. Policymakers agreed unanimously to preserve interest rates at their present record low of 0.1 percent, and a majority of policymakers voted to keep asset purchases at £895 billion.

After weaker-than-expected jobless claims and durable goods orders, the dollar is also weak. The New Zealand Dollar, on the other hand, is currently the strongest currency, followed by the Yen and then the Euro. US futures are currently pointing to a higher open, and we’ll see if the risk-on surge continues, putting pressure on the Dollar and Yen.

Today, the pound has lost ground against every major currency, falling as high as 0.5 percent versus the Euro and 0.7 percent against the Swedish Krona. On the daily charts, the GBPUSD currency is under pressure, with resistance near 1.40. A strong daily close below 1.39, which is also below the 100-day SMA, might imply a return to the weekly lows around 1.3786. A significant move back above 1.40, on the other hand, might lead to 1.4080 and 1.4133, respectively.

Dollar: Jobless Claims Marginally Falls

On Thursday afternoon, the dollar sank as the Labor Department reported that jobless claims in the United States fell 411,000 last week, compared to market expectations of 380,000. This was essentially the same as the previous week’s 412,000 claims.

The disappointing unemployment claims could add to the cacophony and contradictory signals from Federal Reserve policymakers on the timing of tightening monetary policy, given how the Fed has made it clear to markets that employment is a crucial component of its mandate.

Philadelphia Fed President Patrick Harker, Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic, St. Louis Fed President James Bullard, and New York Fed President John Williams will all be in the center today, as will other Federal Reserve officials.