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The foreign exchange market is showing decisive moves as we enter the new week. Bullish breakouts are gaining traction in AUDCAD and EURGBP, while the strong uptrend in AUDNZD has hit a significant roadblock. EURNZD shows signs of exhaustion after its recent rally, and the bearish grip on NZDCHF remains firm. This week, traders will be closely watching key technical levels for confirmation of these emerging trends.
AUDCAD
Major Bias: Bullish
AUDCAD has broken out with conviction from its multi-month consolidation range. A strong bullish candle has propelled the price above the 0.89656 level, signaling a significant shift in momentum. Buyers are now targeting the upper resistance levels at 0.90679 and potentially 0.91379. With both the Momentum and Money Flow Index (MFI) indicators rising, the path of least resistance appears to be to the upside, suggesting the previous sideways market has resolved in favor of the bulls.
EURNZD
Major Bias: Bullish
The powerful bullish trend in EURNZD has stalled, giving way to a period of consolidation and uncertainty. After failing to hold above the 2.0000 mark, the pair has entered a sideways phase above the 1.96935 support level. The MFI has dipped below 50, indicating a slowdown in buying pressure, while the Momentum indicator has flattened near zero. The immediate bias is neutral as the market decides its next direction. A break below support would signal a deeper correction, while a move back above 2.0000 is needed to re-ignite the uptrend.
AUDNZD
Major Bias: Bearish
AUDNZD’s uptrend has reversed sharply after encountering major historical resistance near 1.11729. The pair faced a strong rejection at this level, and sellers have begun to take control. The MFI is deeply in overbought territory at nearly 79, which strongly suggests the rally was exhausted and a correction was overdue. The immediate bias has shifted to bearish, with downside targets likely towards the 1.10123 support level in the coming week.
NZDCHF
Major Bias: Bearish
The bearish trend in NZDCHF remains firmly intact. Although the downward momentum has slowed into a tight consolidation above the 0.46389 support, there are no signs of a bullish reversal. The price action indicates a pause in the trend rather than a bottom. The MFI remains low, reflecting a lack of buying interest, and the overall market structure is decisively negative. Sellers are poised to push the pair lower, with a break of the current support likely to trigger the next leg down.
EURGBP
Major Bias: Bullish
EURGBP continues to exhibit bullish characteristics as buyers defend key levels and prepare for another push higher. The price is consolidating constructively near the top of its recent range, with indicators pointing towards renewed upside momentum. The MFI is climbing above 67, showing strong capital inflows, and the Momentum indicator is positive and rising. This suggests that buyers are in control and are likely to challenge the 0.87267 resistance zone again in the near term.
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