Weekly Market Outlook for AUDCAD, EURGBP, NZDCHF, AUDNZD and EURNZD (June 30 – July 5, 2025)

The FX market displays diverse trends across key pairs as we head into the second week of July. Strong bullish momentum is evident in EURNZD and EURGBP, while AUDNZD shows signs of a potential bullish recovery. Conversely, NZDCHF remains under clear bearish pressure, and AUDCAD appears to be consolidating with a neutral bias.

AUDCAD

Major Bias: Bearish

AUDCAD has been trading within a defined range, oscillating between the 0.88464 support and 0.89505 resistance levels. While there have been attempts by both buyers and sellers to push the price beyond these boundaries, neither side has established clear dominance. The Stochastic Oscillator and MACD are currently showing a relatively flat momentum, supporting the view of consolidation. A decisive breakout above 0.89505 or below 0.88464 would likely dictate the next major move for the pair.

EURGBP

Major Bias: Bullish

EURGBP continues its strong bullish ascent, recently breaking above the 0.85833 resistance and pressing towards the 0.86721 level. The pair has demonstrated consistent higher highs and higher lows since early May. Both the Stochastic Oscillator and MACD indicators are firmly in bullish territory, suggesting sustained buying interest. While a temporary pullback is always possible, the overall momentum strongly favors further upside, with bulls aiming for a test of the 0.86721 resistance and potentially higher.

NZDCHF

Major Bias: Bearish

NZDCHF remains under significant bearish pressure. The pair has been consistently making lower lows and lower highs, recently dropping below the 0.49399 support level and heading towards 0.47718. Both the Stochastic Oscillator and MACD are indicating strong bearish momentum, with the Stochastic in oversold territory but showing no clear sign of a strong reversal yet. Unless buyers can decisively reclaim key resistance levels, the path of least resistance for NZDCHF appears to be to the downside.

AUDNZD

Major Bias: Bullish

AUDNZD is showing early signs of a potential bullish reversal after a prolonged downtrend that saw it drop significantly from its earlier highs. The pair has found strong support near the 1.06564 level and has begun to form higher lows. Buyers are attempting to push the price back towards the 1.08538 resistance. The Stochastic Oscillator has recently turned upwards from oversold conditions, and the MACD is showing signs of positive divergence. While it’s still early, sustained momentum above 1.07486 could confirm a shift in bias towards bullish.

EURNZD

Major Bias: Bullish

EURNZD is experiencing strong bullish momentum, having broken above the 1.91817 resistance and currently consolidating near its recent high around 1.94302, approaching the 1.97271 resistance. The overall trend remains clearly upward since early May, with consistent buying pressure. Both the Stochastic Oscillator and MACD are signaling strong bullish conditions, though the Stochastic is in overbought territory, which could suggest a temporary pause or minor pullback. However, the dominant trend remains bullish, with buyers likely targeting the 1.97271 level and beyond if momentum persists.

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