Weekly Forex Market Outlook: AUDNZD, EURGBP, AUDCAD, NZDCHF, EURNZD (December 20 – 25, 2025)

As we transition into the final days of 2025 and look toward the opening of 2026, the forex market is characterized by typical year-end price action: thin liquidity, choppy ranges, and the testing of long-term structural boundaries. While many pairs are showing signs of exhaustion, the technical setups suggest that the first week of the New Year could be defined by key support and resistance battles.

AUDNZD

Market Bias: Bullish

AUDNZD has shown remarkable resilience throughout the final quarter of the year. After a sustained rally, the pair is currently hovering around 1.1510, well above the previous structural support of 1.1420.
The technical outlook remains constructive as long as price holds above the 1.1420 handle. While the PPO is showing signs of a slight slowdown in momentum (typical for year-end trading), the MFI (Money Flow Index) sitting at 56.26 suggests there is still healthy buying interest. A clear daily close above 1.1630 would likely open the door for a continuation toward the 1.1700 psychological level.

EURGBP

Market Bias: Bearish

EURGBP has entered a corrective phase after failing to sustain a breakout above the 0.8829 resistance zone. Price action is currently testing the 0.8720 support level, which served as a significant pivot point in previous months.

The momentum indicators support a more cautious or bearish view in the near term. The PPO has crossed into negative territory (-0.07%), and the MFI at 40.29 indicates that capital is flowing out of the Euro relative to the Pound. If the 0.8720 level fails to hold on a closing basis, we could see a slide back toward the major demand zone at 0.8527.

AUDCAD

Market Bias: Bearish

AUDCAD is currently trapped in a high-level consolidation range. Price is bumping up against the ceiling at 0.9181, where sellers have historically stepped in. Current price action near 0.9181 suggests a double top potential if the pair cannot clear this hurdle.

The PPO is flat, reflecting a lack of directional conviction, and the MFI at 47.31 places the pair squarely in neutral territory. Traders should watch for a break below 0.9137 as an early signal of a bearish reversal, while a sustained break above 0.9185 would invalidate the bearish bias and target 0.9250.

NZDCHF

Market Bias: Bearish

NZDCHF remains one of the cleanest trend plays on the board, characterized by a persistent lower-high and lower-low sequence. Recent attempts to rally were rejected sharply at the 0.4602 resistance level, keeping the structural bearishness intact.

With the PPO showing a bearish convergence and the MFI indicator hovering at 34.03, the path of least resistance remains to the downside. The immediate objective for sellers is the yearly low at 0.4470. Any rallies toward 0.4700 are likely to be viewed as selling opportunities unless a major fundamental shift occurs.

EURNZD

Market Bias: Bullish

EURNZD continues to trade within a broad bullish channel, though it is currently experiencing a cooling off period. Price is resting near 2.0178, finding support just above the key 2.0010 psychological floor.

Despite the recent dip, the macro structure remains bullish. The MFI at 60.92 indicates that buyers are still largely in control of the trend. For the bullish trend to resume with vigor, price needs to clear the 2.0310 resistance. A failure to hold the 2.0000 support level would be the first major warning sign for bulls, potentially leading to a deeper correction toward 1.9240 key zone.

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