USOIL (WTI) Price Retracement Poses Reversal Risks
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USOIL (WTI) Price Retracement Poses Reversal Risks

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Azeez Mustapha

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Market Analysis – October 22

The USOIL index recently surged into the supply zone at $80.00, encountering significant selling pressure, which triggered a sharp decline. This drop pushed prices down to the $68.00 demand level, where the market briefly saw a bullish recovery. However, the aggressive retracement has raised concerns, as buyers now face the risk of a bearish break of structure, potentially leading to further downside movement.


USOIL Key Levels

Demand Zones: $72.00, $68.00, $60.00
Supply Zones: $80.00, $84.00, $88.00

USOIL (WTI) Price Retracement Poses Reversal Risks USOIL Long-Term Trend: Bearish

In September, the USOIL index fell to the $68.00 demand zone, forming a double bottom pattern that initially hinted at a bullish reversal. This led to a short-lived rally, pushing prices up to $78.00.

However, the move was capped at the $80.00 supply zone. Since then, USOIL has been trading below the 9 and 21-period Moving Averages, indicating the continuation of bearish momentum. The Awesome Oscillator reaching zero further confirms this outlook, alongside forex signals suggesting caution.

USOIL (WTI) Price Retracement Poses Reversal Risks USOIL Short-Term Trend: Bearish

In the lower timeframes, the market structure remains bearish, posing a threat to the $68.00 demand zone, where the recent bullish shift occurred. A break below this level, particularly under the double bottom, could signal a deeper bearish reversal and amplify selling pressure.

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