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Market Analysis – October 31
USOil is awaiting clear direction amidst uncertainty about the price trend. The USOil market is currently experiencing a period of indecision. There is also a lack of clear trends as traders grapple with a variety of factors.
In recent days, the market has witnessed a reluctance by the bears to sustain their selling momentum. The bears, who initially seemed dominant, have grown cold and unwilling to push prices lower. This shift in momentum is evident at the 89.690 key level, a crucial juncture for the market. Despite their efforts to hold off buyers, the sellers have not been able to mount a more significant push to the downside.
USOil Price Levels
Resistance Levels: 95.550, 89.690
Support Levels: 85.880, 74.980
USOil Long-Term Trend: Bearish
The result is a market characterized by low volatility, where price movement remains trapped and unable to establish a decisive direction. Technical indicators provide further insight into this state of affairs. The Moving Average Convergence and Divergence (MACD) still indicates a lack of commitment from the bears to gain control. The bearish histogram is gradually diminishing on the daily chart, reflecting waning selling pressure.
Similarly, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) shows a price signal below the mid-level line. This suggests that the sellers have yet to establish a dominant position. It appears that the sellers still have opportunities to extend their influence and continue their trend.
USOil Short-Term Trend: Bullish
On shorter time frames, such as the 4-hour chart, both bulls and bears appear to be hesitant to push for more significant price movements. However, it’s essential to recognize that price volatility in the oil market can fluctuate and return with more force. This resurgence in volatility may pave the way for a more definitive trend to emerge in the oil market.
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