Market Analysis – January 17
The USDJPY currency pair has undergone a notable bullish trend shift after establishing a significant low at the 141.650 demand level. This development follows a prolonged bearish trend that originated at the 161.750 resistance level in early July 2024.
USDJPY Key Levels
Demand Levels: 148.670, 141.650
Supply Levels: 156.440, 161.750
USDJPY Long-Term Trend: Bullish
The initial bearish phase led to a decisive breach below the critical 148.670 demand level as the price approached the 141.650 zone. At this juncture, a bullish reaction emerged, prompting a temporary upward correction. However, the bearish momentum persisted, driving the pair back to the 141.650 level. Despite repeated attempts, the price failed to break below this key demand zone. This failure was a pivotal turning point, marking a shift in market sentiment from bearish to bullish.
Since this reversal, USDJPY has embarked on a sustained bullish rally, reclaiming key levels such as 148.670 and surging past the 156.440 resistance. The breach of these significant levels underscores the robustness of the bullish trend in the long term.
USDJPY Short-Term Trend: Bearish
Despite the overall bullish outlook, the short-term trend currently exhibits bearish characteristics, as observed on the 4-hour timeframe. A minor bearish shift has occurred, with the 4-hour Moving Average providing a bearish signal that aligns with this temporary downward movement.
This retracement is expected to encounter support at the bullish trend line, which has been guiding the pair’s recovery. A rebound from this trend line would likely reaffirm the broader bullish narrative, offering potential forex signals for traders to capitalize on the upward trend continuation.
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