US–Venezuela Tensions Put Bitcoin in Focus: Crash Risk or Catalyst for a New Rally?

Geopolitical shockwaves rippled through global markets after reports of a major U.S. military operation in Venezuela, yet Bitcoin has so far remained surprisingly resilient. Despite the escalation, BTC has continued to trade comfortably above the $91,000 level, raising a familiar question for crypto investors: will geopolitical turmoil drag prices lower, or could it ultimately fuel the next leg of the bull run?

Bitcoin Holds Steady as Markets Absorb the Shock

In the 24 hours following confirmation of the U.S. operation, Bitcoin gained around 1.7%, trading near the $91,200 mark. This move came even as President Donald Trump publicly confirmed the raid, describing it as a large-scale intervention that resulted in the detention of Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro. Trump also stated that the U.S. would oversee a political transition in Venezuela, adding that American oil companies would return to restore and operate the country’s energy infrastructure.

Despite the gravity of the headlines, crypto markets showed little sign of distress. Ethereum remained above $3,100, XRP held the $2 level, and other major cryptocurrencies such as Solana, Dogecoin, and Cardano posted moderate weekend gains. Market participants appeared to treat the development as a known risk rather than a sudden shock. Crypto analyst Michaël van de Poppe suggested that Bitcoin’s muted reaction indicates the event may have already been priced in, noting that coordinated geopolitical actions often generate less panic than unexpected escalations.

I don't think we'll see a widespread correction based on the attack in Venezuela on #Bitcoin.

It's a planned and coordinated attack on Maduro, and is already past us.

The likelihood of more negativity on the markets from that single event are relatively slim.

I would assume…

— Michaël van de Poppe (@CryptoMichNL) January 3, 2026

Monday’s Market Open and Key Bitcoin Levels Ahead

While weekend trading was relatively calm, attention is now turning to the reopening of global financial markets. Equities, commodities, and oil are expected to react more sharply to developments in Venezuela, and that response could spill over into crypto markets. Oil prices, in particular, are under scrutiny given Venezuela’s strategic role in energy supply and the implications of renewed U.S. involvement.

The situation has also reignited debate around international law and national sovereignty, adding another layer of uncertainty to the broader macro environment. Historically, such uncertainty has sometimes strengthened Bitcoin’s narrative as an alternative asset and geopolitical hedge.

From a technical standpoint, traders are closely watching Bitcoin’s ability to hold above $91,000. Sustained strength at this level could pave the way toward resistance around $95,000 and potentially $100,000. For now, Bitcoin’s steady posture suggests the market is weighing its next move carefully, rather than reacting impulsively to geopolitical tension.

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