Trump’s Tariff Policies: US Market Reactions, Inflation Risks, and Political Implications
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Trump’s Tariff Policies: US Market Reactions, Inflation Risks, and Political Implications

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Azeez Mustapha

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President Donald Trump’s sweeping tariff policies have sparked concerns among economists, business leaders, and policymakers. While some view them as a necessary tool to address trade imbalances, others fear they could disrupt supply chains. They also see it as a way to increase inflation and create market uncertainty. Experts EJ Dionne Jr. and Linda Yueh (London Business School) weighed in on the potential economic and political fallout.

Trump’s Tariff Policies: US Market Reactions, Inflation Risks, and Political Implications

Tariffs are effectively taxes on businesses and consumers, increasing production costs and leading to price hikes. Businesses face uncertainty, making them hesitant to invest or expand due to unpredictable trade policies. If tariffs disrupt supply chains and drive sustained price increases, inflation could remain elevated longer than expected.

Companies that relocated manufacturing to Mexico or Vietnam to avoid China tariffs may still be affected. If other countries respond with tariffs of their own, global trade could suffer, impacting U.S. businesses. Targeting countries with trade surpluses—including those with Value-Added Tax (VAT) systems—could affect over 175 nations, further complicating trade relations.

Tariff Implications: Political Ramifications for Trump

Trump campaigned on lowering prices for Americans, but tariffs could drive inflation higher, contradicting his promises. Swing voters who backed him due to economic concerns may reconsider their support if costs continue rising. Opponents may use inflation concerns to attack Trump’s economic policies, especially ahead of the 2026 midterms. Trump’s tariff policies could have far-reaching consequences for the economy, businesses, and political landscape. While they may serve as a negotiation tactic, they also risk fuelling inflation, deterring investment, and straining global trade relations.
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