Kutengeserana neCentral Banks - The Rhetoric

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Masvondo mashoma apfuura, takanyora chinyorwa chine nzira dzekutengesa zviito zveCentral Bank. Sekutaura kwatakaita uko, maCentral Banks ane zvese zvekudzikisira kana kukoshesa mari yavo uye vanoishandisa pese pavanofunga kuti hupfumi hwenyika hunoda gumbo. Isu takatsanangura nzira yekutengesa iyo 'knee-jerk reaction' (mubereko unochekwa kana kukwira unounzwa), nzira yekutengesa zvinozoitika, uye takazopedzisa nekutsanangura nzira yekutengesa iyo chaiyo maitiro angave nechiitiko munguva refu. .

Asi zviito zvakadai sechirongwa cheQE, apo Central Banks inopinza mari muhupfumi, kucheka / kukwira kwemari yemari uye yakaipa mari yekuisa mari nezvimwewo, haisi iyo chete maturusi eCentral Banks ane chikwata chavo. Ivo zvakare vanoshandisa iyo 'rhetoric' chishandiso, uye yakawanda yacho. Vanoendesa mameseji kune vatori vechikamu uye vanofambisa musika kuburikidza neanosvika mwedzi nemwedzi musangano wevatori venhau, maminetsi emusangano uye mamwe mazwi akasarudzika. Muchokwadi, kazhinji musika unofamba zvakanyanya zvichienderana nezvakataurwa kubva kumabhanga epakati pane pane zvavanoita.

Dzimwe nguva, kana chiito chaitwa neCentral Bank hachikanganisi musika zvachose nekuti yakatove yakatemerwa mutengo zvichienderana nezvakataurwa zvinotungamira kune chiitiko. Chinhu chakadaro chakaitika pakutanga kwaDecember 2015, apo ECB yakacheka mari yedhipoziti ne10 basis points (bps) uye yakawedzera mari yakawedzerwa purogiramu yavo yeQE. Sezvineiwo, Euro haina kuderera - pachinzvimbo, yakadzora uye yakawana anenge masendi mashanu mumazuva mashoma anotevera. Izvi zvaive nokuti zvinhu zvose zvakatengeswa zvichienderana nemashoko akawanda ayo nhengo dzeECB dzakanga dzatopa mumwedzi miviri inotangira chiitiko chacho.

Kana iwe ukaverenga iyo CB makomendi chaiko iwe unogona kugadzira akawanda pips

Scalping the comments

Maonero kubva kumabhengi epakati akakwana kune scalping. Inonzi 'scalping' nekuti iwe unopinda nekubuda munzvimbo mumaminetsi mashoma kana masekonzi, asi huwandu hwepips hwaunogona kugadzira hwakakura kwazvo kupfuura zvakajairika scalping panguva dzakajairika. Kuti uite izvi unofanirwa kutarisa ajenda yenhengo dzeCentral Banks mangwanani ega ega uye ramba wakatarira kune forex nhau mawebhusaiti akadai se: forexlive.com, fxstreet.com nezvimwewo, izvo zvinotumira pfupi pfupi nezve nhau dzine chekuita ne forex. ; pane zvakawanda zvavo. Iwe unogona zvakare kutevera mapepanhau emari seReuters, Financial Times, Bloomberg nezvimwe kana chiteshi pa Twitter.

Apo mabhengi epakati anotsanangura pamusoro pemari yemari yekutanga maitiro emutengo wekutengesa ndeyekuenda nemashoko. Semuyenzaniso, kana chirevo chacho chiri dovish, mari yakabatana inokurumidza kudzika pasi, kana iri hawkish inopfura kumusoro. Maawa mashoma apfuura, mutungamiri weECB Draghi akataura muchidimbu pamusangano. Matauriro ake anga akadzikama, saka chinhu chekutanga chinouya mupfungwa ndechekuti Euro ichadzika - uye ndizvo chaizvo zvakaitwa nemari iyi! Iyo Euro yakaramba inosvika zana nemakumi mashanu pips kurwisa US Dollar, kubva 150 kusvika 1.0920. Ndakakwanisa kupinda mune imwe nzvimbo hafu yenzira ndokuvhara pamusoro pe1.0770, inova nhanho yekupikisa, ichiita nezve 1.08 pips.

Ichi ndicho chikamu chekutanga che scalping nhau, chikamu chechipiri chinoitika panguva yekudzokera shure. EUR/USD yakanyura munguva pfupi iri pazasi 1.08 asi yakakurumidza kudzoserwa pamusoro peiyo nhanho, chinova chiratidzo chekuti reverse, kana kuti chidzoreso chakakura, chinogona kutevera chisati chadzokera pasi. Saka, panguva ino ndakatenga iyo Euro ichangopfuura 1.08 uye ndakagadzira anenge makumi mana pips payaidzokera kumusoro. Sezvauri kuona, kune akawanda pips ekuti aitwe scalping zvakataurwa nenhengo dzeCentral Bank asi iwe unofanirwa kukurumidza.

 

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Kuti udzidze zvakawanda nezve yakakosha scalping zano: Scalping - Forex Trading Strategies

Kuti uwane mamwe mashandisiro enhau kuburitswa kune mukana wako: Kutengeserana Nhau - Forex Trading Strategies

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Kutengeserana kwenguva pfupi kwemashoko

Kutengeserana kwenguva pfupi kwekutaura kunosanganisira kubata vatengesi kwemaawa mashoma kana kusvika mazuva mashoma kuti ugone kukohwa zvese zvakanaka kubva kwavari. Mushure mekuita kwekutanga uye kudzoka, misika inowanzoita imwe kufamba kana maviri munzira yekutanga kufamba. Nekutengesa kwenguva pfupi, iwe unofanirwa kuve neruzivo rwakanyanya uye kutsvaga zvinongedzo uye meseji mukati memhinduro.

Chimwe chiitiko chakadaro chaiva musangano wehurukuro nasachigaro weFED Yellen muna March 2015. Musika wakanga wakamirira kwenguva refu FED kuti itange mutsara wekuwedzera kwezvikwereti. Pakutanga kufunga, ungafunga kuti EUR/USD yaizonyura pasi pechiyero ichipihwa kudzika kwakasimba muEUR/USD uye kusiyanisa marongero emari pakati peECB neFED. Asi zvidiki zvakataurwa mukati meFOMC chirevo chakapenda mufananidzo webearish. Nekuda kweizvozvo, vaviri ava vakapinda munguva yekunonoka uptrend, vachikwira pa1.17 kubva ku1.0450s.

Asi mashoko maduku akatii? Vati kukwidzwa kwemitengo kuchauya kana inflation yakwira uye maitiro akakonzerwa nekuderera kwemitengo yemagetsi. Vatiwo vanoda kuona hupfumi hweAmerica huchienderera mberi. Panguva iyoyo kunyange zvakadaro, US yakanga ichipinda munguva yekushaya simba nekuda kwechando chakanyanya.

Iyo USD yakarasikirwa ne600 pips apo FED yakaunza chirevo che dovish

Kutengeserana kwenguva refu kwemashoko

Mhedzisiro yenguva refu yemashoko eCentral Banks ndiyo kutengeserana kwechokwadi. Dzimwe nguva musika unogona kududzira zvisizvo mazwi kwenguva pfupi uye zvinokwanisika kuona chimwe chiitiko chemutengo chisinganzwisisike munguva pfupi. Zvakadaro munguva refu, musika unogara uchienda munzira kwayo.

Pane dzimwe nguva apo chirevo chimwe chete kana chiziviso chinodonha sebhomba rinotumira kudonha kwemari, sezvakataurwa nemutungamiri weECB Draghi muna Chivabvu 2014. Akazivisa kuti ECB ichatanga chirongwa chekurerutsa (QE) uye Euro hasn' t ndakatarisa kumashure kubva ipapo. Iyo Euro yakaramba ichidzikira ichipokana nevakuru vese, kunyanya iyo US Dollar, uye panguva iyo QE yakatanga, mazhinji ekufambisa akange atove nemutengo mukati.

Kune dzimwe nguva apo manzwiro anoumbwa vhiki nevhiki zvichibva pamashoko maduku akawanda. Muenzaniso wakanaka ndeye 10 cent kuenda kumusoro kudivi reUS Dollar kubva muna Gumiguru kusvika Zvita 2015. FED yakaodza mwoyo musika munaGunyana pavakasakwira mibairo. Zvisinei, kutanga munaOctober, rhetoric yenhengo dzeFED dzakatanga kuwedzera, nemashoko maduku pano neapo pamusoro pekuti zvakakodzera uye zvakakosha sei kutanga kukwidza mitengo. Musika wakawana zano uye iyo USD yakakwira ingangoita masendi gumi kusvika Zvita pavakanyanya kukwidza mitengo uye nemitengo mukati, uye saka iyo USD yakangowana ingangoita zana pips.

Kunzwisisa mhedzisiro yenguva refu yeCentral Bank rhetoric iri nyore. Kunyangwe iwe usingazive zvakawanda nezve zvakakosha, kune mazana emawebhusaiti ane ongororo uye maonero kubva kune nyanzvi dzinotsanangura zvese. Dambudziko riripano nderemoyo murefu. Iwe unofanirwa kuve netsinga dzesimbi kuitira kuti utore zvinzvimbo kwemwedzi uye kunyangwe makore kuti uwane zvese zvakanaka, asi zvinogona kubatsira zvakanyanya kana washanda pahunhu uhu.

Sezvauri kuona, kune zviuru zvepips zvaunogona kuita kutengesa zvirevo zveCentral Banks. Mashoko kubva kunhengo dzeCentral Banks anoisa toni yemusika kune yavo mari. Zvingangoita kuti kana ukapotsa zvakataurwa, hapazove nemapips akawanda anokusiira iwe kana Central Bank inonyatso tora danho nenzira yekukwira chiyero / kucheka kana kutanga QE. Iwe unogona scalp 50-100 pips mune imwe nyaya yemaminitsi, kana kutengesa kwenguva pfupi kwemazana epips, kana kutengesa munguva refu kwezviuru zvepips. Chero nzira yawakasarudza, kana ikashandiswa nemazvo inogona kubatsira zvakanyanya.