NZDUSD Bears Take Control as Price Rejects Channel Resistance
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NZDUSD Bears Take Control as Price Rejects Channel Resistance

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Azeez Mustapha

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Market Analysis – August 18th

NZDUSD shows clear bearish pressure, trading within a well-defined descending channel. After a recent rejection from the upper boundary, sellers have regained control, increasing the likelihood of a move toward the channel’s lower support.

NZD/USD Key Levels

Support Levels: $0.5830, $0.5710
Resistance Levels: $0.6096, $0.6200

NZD/USD Bears Take Control as Price Rejects Channel Resistance NZDUSD Long-Term Trend: Bearish

On the daily chart, the NZD/USD has been trending downward within a bearish channel since peaking in July. The consistent pattern of lower highs and lower lows confirms a controlled downtrend, following earlier bullish momentum. Currently, the pair trades around $0.5922, navigating between dynamic resistance and support levels.
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Although the pair rebounded from the channel’s lower boundary in early August, upward momentum is fading as it approaches the upper half of the formation. Unless buyers break above the upper trendline, the pair will likely retest lower levels. The Stochastic Oscillator sits neutrally at 49.42, while the Momentum indicator barely registers above zero at 0.00004, reinforcing the lack of strong bullish conviction.

OANDA:NZDUSD Chart Image by Gaint-writerNZDUSD Short-Term Trend: Bearish

The lower timeframe further confirms bearish dominance, with the pair now at $0.5922 after a decisive rejection from the $0.6000 psychological level. This reinforces the descending channel’s validity and highlights seller control in the near term.

The immediate trajectory points downward, with the next target at the channel’s lower trendline. Additionally, the Momentum indicator has turned negative (-0.00056), aligning with the recent decline and confirming bearish momentum.

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