Could Bitcoin’s Recent Rally be an Orchestration by Whales?

Investors have been trooping into Bitcoin (BTC) and other cryptocurrencies since August 37, with the overall market capitalization rising from $348 billion to its current peak at $400 billion.

This inflow of capital has assisted Bitcoin to grow by over $800 from its August low of $11,115 set four days ago as it approaches the all-important $12,000 level. Bitcoin has now cleared the strong $11,650 – $11,800 resistance region just today.

Some analysts are now asking if this the beginning of a fresh bull run, which could take BTC to a new YTD high, or if it is just another ploy by whales to precipitate a pump and dump momentum to shake out ‘weak hands.’

Based on our 4-hour chart, the 50 and 100 Simple Moving Average have intersected, suggesting that bulls are highly favored currently.

The major worry, at press time, is that BTC is now venturing into overbought territories, which could mount pressure on Bitcoin and cause trading bots to dump the market. This could trigger a fresh selloff in Bitcoin.

Key Levels to Watch

Currently, Bitcoin is trapped around the strong $11,995 level which has remained unbroken for a few weeks now. The benchmark cryptocurrency needs to clear this level to open it up to higher hurdles.

If the crypto picks up momentum, the first hurdle to overcome is the $12,056 pivot zone followed by the YTD-high of $12,400, and finally the $12,800 weekly resistance.

That said, if this volatility-rush turns out to be a whale manipulation pattern, then we should expect a sharp correction to the downside ($11,650 and lower)in the near-term. From there, Bitcoin could experience another bout of consolidation before attempting a recovery.

Total market capital: $392 billion

Bitcoin market capital: $222 billion

Bitcoin dominance: 56.6%

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